Newfoundland and Labrador Votes 2019: Dwight Ball wins second term as premier


AT THE POLLING STATION TONIGHT, AND ZACH HAS BEEN SPEAKING TO PEOPLE, TRYING TO GET A SENSE OF HOW THEY ARE FEELING AS THEY HEAD INTO MARK THERE ASK. ZACH?>>Reporter: INDEED. IT HAS BEEN STEADY AT THIS POLLING STATION IN THE DISTRICT OF ST. JOHN’S EAST QUIDI VIDI. STUDY FOR THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS YOU CAN SEE A FEW LINEUPS AS PEOPLE LEAVE WORK FOR THE DAY AND MAKE SURE THEY CAST THEIR BALLOT. I SPOKE WITH SEVERAL PEOPLE WHO HAVE EXPRESSED THE SENSE OF FRUSTRATION WITH THE POLITICAL CHOICES AVAILABLE IN THIS ELECTION THAT WE HAVE BEEN HEALING A LOT — HEARING A LOT ABOUT. PEOPLE TODAY SEEM TO — SEEM TO BE EAGER TO CAST THEIR BALLOT. I HAVE SEEN PEOPLE ARRIVING HERE ON CRUTCHES. PEOPLE WHO HAVE GONE UP STEEP STAIRS OUTSIDE USING WALKERS, I SPOKE WITH A LADY ABOUT AN HOUR AGO WAS THAT SHE JUST GOT OFF A PLANE FROM A LENGTHY EUROPEAN VACATION AND STILL MADE IT OUT HERE TODAY TO CAST HER BALLOT. THIS PARTICULAR DISTRICT HAPPENS TO BE ONE OF THE KEY BATTLEGROUNDS IN THIS ELECTION. THIS IS ST. JOHN’S, EAST QUIDI VIDI WHERE ALISON COFFIN IS RUNNING, SHE IS HOPING TO RETAIN THE SEAT IN THE NEW DEMOCRAT COLUMN, FAILURE TO DO SO TONIGHT WOULD BE DEVASTATING FOR THAT PARTY. SHE IS BEING CHALLENGED BY GEORGE MURPHY, ATTEMPTING TO MOUNT A POLITICAL COMEBACK, AND APC NEWCOMER. WHAT HAPPENS HERE TONIGHT WILL HAVE BIG CONSEQUENCES IN THE MAKEUP OF THE NEXT PROVINCIAL LEGISLATURE. WE ARE ALL WAITING WITH BATED BREATH. DON’T GO ANYWHERE. FOR RIGHT NOW, WE WILL SEND IT BACK TO YOU.>>Anthony: I APPRECIATE THAT. WE WILL HOPEFULLY BE DESCRIBING PEOPLE GETTING OFF THE PLAINS TO GIVE YOU ENOUGH GUILT. ONE OF THE PLACES WE WILL BE GOING TO SEVERAL TIMES TONIGHT IS OUT TO CORNER BROOK, LIBERAL HEADQUARTERS. OUR REPORTER THERE IS KATIE BREEN. JUST LESS THEN AN HOUR TO GO. NOT A LOT GOING ON JUST YET, BUT GIVE US A SENSE OF WHAT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.>>Reporter: LET’S TALK ABOUT WHAT IS AT STAKE FOR THE LIBERALS HERE TONIGHT. LAST TIME AROUND, THEY WON WITH A HUGE MAJORITY. THIRTY-ONE OUT OF 40 SEATS. BUT THIS TIME AROUND, THE POLLS SHOW AND EVEN RACE. THIS DESPITE THE HUGE ADVANTAGE TO LEVELS OF GOING INTO THE ELECTION. WHILE THEY WERE IN GOVERNMENT, THEY STARTED MAKING SPENDING ANNOUNCEMENTS. AND THEN THEY RELEASE THE BUDGET AND GOT THE FULL PUBLICITY OF THAT AND EVERYONE KNEW WHAT THEY’D BE CAMPAIGNING ON. YET THE NEXT DAY, AND ELECTION THE N.D.P. IS STILL GETTING USED TO THEIR NEW LEADER. THE N.L. LINES DOES NOT YET HAVE A FULL PARTY. THEY WERE NEVER ABLE TO FULL — FILL A FULL SLATE OF CANDIDATES. THE LIBERALS HAVE 27 INCUMBENTS, AND THE BANK ACCOUNT 12 TIMES THAT OF THE P.C. GOVERNMENT. NOW ONCE THE CAMPAIGN STARTED, YOU CAN SEE THAT THE NERVES WERE STARTING TO SHOW. THEY STARTED MAKING EXTRA PROMISES, ANNOUNCING MORE MONEY, THINGS THAT WEREN’T IN THE LIBERAL RED BROOK — REDBOOK. THAT IS THE ELECTION FOR THE LIBERALS TO LOSE, THE QUESTION IS, WILL DAY?>>Anthony: WE HAVE A REPORTER WHO WILL BE COVERING THE CONSERVATIVES AND CHES CROSBIE TONIGHT AT THE TORIES HEADQUARTERS IN ST. JOHN’S. GARRETT BERRY IS THERE RIGHT NOW LESS THEN AN HOUR TO GO FOR PEOPLE TO GET OUT THERE TO VOTE BEFORE WE START COUNTING VOTES AS THEY WILL COME IN QUICKLY ONCE THE POLLS CLOSE. YOUR THOUGHTS AT P.C. HEADQUARTERS?>>YOU JUST HAD MY COLLEAGUE TALK ABOUT SOME OF THE LIBERAL PARTIES. THE CONSERVATIVES ARE FIGHTING NOT ONLY THE FULL SLATE OF CANDIDATES, BUT THEY HAD A SCRAMBLE TOYS THE END OF THE ELECTION TO GET CANDIDATES IN PLACE. THEY ALL HAD LESS MONEY IN THE BANK AS YOU HEARD, THERE IS A HISTORY THAT THE PEOPLE ARE FIGHTING TONIGHT. THEY ARE TRYING TO DO SOMETHING UNPRECEDENTED IN THIS PROVINCE, WHICH IS REENTER GOVERNMENT AFTER ONE TERM IN OPPOSITION. BUT CHES CROSBIE SAYS HE IS THE ONE WHO CAN BASICALLY REWRITE HISTORY. HE SAYS HE WOULD BE ABLE TO INSPIRE VOTERS TO MAKE THAT CHANGE. THAT IS SOMETHING THAT RUNS AGAINST THE CONVENTIONAL WISDOM THAT WE HEARD ABOUT, ESPECIALLY REPORTERS LIKE ME WHO TRAVELLED ON THE BUS AND HEARD FROM VOTERS WHO SAID THEY DON’T HAVE THAT ONE CHARISMA THAT THEY COME TO EXPECT FROM POLITICIANS. THE VERY SAME TIME, SOME OF THOSE VOTERS SAID THAT THAT ONE ON ONE CHARISMA, THOSE POLITICIANS HAVEN’T GOTTEN US VERY FAR, MAYBE IT IS TIME FOR SOMETHING DIFFERENT. AS KATIE MENTIONED, THE POLLS SHOW A VERY TIGHT RACE. MAYBE THE PROCEEDS WILL HAVE — THE P.C.S WILL HAVE THE MOMENTUM COMING INTO ELECTION NIGHT.>>Anthony: LOTS OF QUESTIONS FOR PEOPLE TO CONSIDER DEPENDING ON HOW YOU VOTE AND WHO YOU ARE CHEERING FOR. WHETHER IT BE A MAJORITY OR MINORITY. MANY ISSUES TO COVER. ONE OF THEM ALSO BEING IF YOU ARE SUPPORTER OF THE N.D.P. AND YOU LIVE IN WHEN HE WAS ONE OF MANY DISTRICTS, HOW IS THAT GOING TO PLAY OUT TONIGHT? THAT IS A KEY ISSUE FOR EVERYONE REGARDLESS OF WHO YOU THINK SHOULD BE IN GOVERNMENT. THE N.D.P. IS HOPING TO HANG ON. TERRY?>>Reporter: I’M HERE AT THE BENEVOLENT THING ON HARVEY ROAD IN ST. JOHN’S WHERE IT IS ALL ON THE LINE TONIGHT FOR THE N.D.P. WE HAVE LOTS OF SIGNS RIGHT NOW THAT THE N.D.P. HAVE COME INTO THIS ELECTION IN A BIT OF TROUBLE. THERE HAS BEEN SOME INFIGHTING. ONLY 14 CANDIDATES. ONE OF THE SIGNS THAT THIS CAMPAIGN HAS IT BEEN ALL THIS HIGHFLYING IS THAT THE N.D.P. DID NOT EVEN TRAVEL INTO LABRADOR WEST, WHICH TYPICALLY, A VERY STRONG UNION AREA. [Please Stand by]>>THERE WAS A LOT OF HARD WORK FOUR GUYS. IT’S BEEN A MORNING OF — WELL A WHOLE DAY OF LOTS OF ACTION ON THE GO. WE’VE BEEN ON THE GO AND CROWS WERE OUT UNTIL 11:30. CREWS UP TO 5:00 IN THE MORNING. TRYING TO MAINTAIN OUR PACE. WE’RE GETTING TO THE END OF THE WIRE.>>WHAT HAVE YOU BEEN DOING TO GET THE VOTE OUT TODAY?>>WELL, WE’VE BEEN MANNING THE PHONES HERE AND PEOPLE GOING NONSTOP CALLING AND REMINDING. THEY’RE DOING A FANTASTIC JOB. THE BASIC THINGS YOU ARE DOING. IT’S BEEN BUSY. IT’S 47-POINT 9% OF THE ELECTORATE OUT LAST TIME. THIS TIME DO YOU THINK FROM WHAT YOU HAVE SEEN IS THERE MORE OR LESS?>>IT’S HARD TO TELL. I KNOW WE’RE, YOU KNOW, I KNOW WE’D LIKE TO SEE IN THE PERFECT WORLD WE WOULD HAVE THAT NUMBER UP A LOT MORE. HOPEFULLY, THERE’S STILL AN HOUR SO HOPEFULLY EVERYBODY CAN GET OUT AND VOTE AND ALL ACROSS THIS PROVINCE.>>WE HAVE TALKED ABOUT VOTER APATHY. THINGS LIKE THAT. DO YOU FIND THAT WHEN YOU ARE OUT TALKING TO PEOPLE THAT PEOPLE NOT WANTING TO VOTE AND THINGS LIKE THAT?>>IT’S HERE AND THERE. LUCKILY WE GOT PERRY THERE WHO IS A GOOD TALKER AND HE CAN — HE KNOCKED ON A LOT OF DOORS.>>THANK YOU FOR TALKING WITH US TONIGHT AND WE’LL SEE WHAT HAPPENS LATER ON.>>Anthony: JACOB. YOU CAN SEE PERRY IN THE BACKGROUND. A CAMEO APPEARANCE. HE SUPPORTER HAS WORKED HARD. THESE ARE EXHAUSTING FOR PEOPLE WHO BELIEVE IN THE PARTIES THEY WORK FOR AND IT’S A VERY TIRING NIGHT. IT’S THE FATIGUE FACTOR FOR DEDICATED PEOPLE WHO HAVE MADE POLITICS A PART OF THEIR LIFE. SOMETIMES PEOPLE THINK ABOUT THE BIG PICTURE. OFTEN IN OTHER OCCASIONS IT’S SHORT THEY WERE BUT THERE’S THE LONG-TERM.>>Carolyn: THAT’S RIGHT. YEAH, POLITICIANS TEND TO THINK IN FOUR-YEAR CYCLES. THE LENGTH OF REGULAR TERM IN OFFICE. NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR’S FINANCIAL SITUATION WILL TAKE MUCH LONGER THAN FOUR YEARS FIX. BAILEY WHITE HAS BEEN TALKING TO VOTERS ABOUT THE ISSUES THEY THINK ARE MOST IMPORTANT AND LONG-TERM VISION IS ONE OF THEM. HAVE A LOOK.>>Reporter: SO WE HAVE SEEN IN OTHER JURISDICTIONS WHERE YOU HAVE A TECH-SAVVY LEADER THAT DRIVERS IT AROUND TECH AND THEY’RE THINKING ABOUT TECH FIRST AND THINKING ABOUT DIGITAL BY DESIGN SO WE WOULD BEN AT THIS TIME FROM IT AND WE HAVE AN AGING DEMOGRAPHIC AND TECHNOLOGY IS A CRITICAL ART OF THE SOLUTION FOR THE FUTURE PRODUCTIVITY OF THE PROVINCE. REALLY UNDERSTANDING THAT IS CRITICAL TO LEADERSHIP.>>TAKING SOMEONE THAT CAN GET OUT AND LISTEN AND LEARN TO THOSE WORKING REALLY WELL. IT REPLICATES IT. IT’S NOT GOING TO BE THERE IN THIS PROVINCE. THERE ARE PEOPLE WHO GET IT HERE. LIGHTENING TO THOSE PEOPLE WHO UNDERSTAND HOW IT WORKS, LISTENING MENTORS IN THE COMMUNITY WHO HAVE TAUGHT ME HOW TO DO THINGS. IT’S TAKING YOUR GUARD DOWN AND SAYING THESE KIDS NEED TO LEARN HOW TO DO THESE THINGS. THESE TRADITIONAL COMPANIES NEED TO TELL US HOW WE DO THAT AND MAKE IT A PRIORITY. IT’S THE MOST WE CAN ASK FOR AT THIS POINT.>>DO PEOPLE UNDERSTAND WHAT THEY’RE DEALING WITH HERE?>>IT’S COMING.>>IT’S ON THE HORIZON. IT STARTS WHEN YOU HAVE ONE OF THESE ANNOUNCEMENTS IT BECOMES ANOTHER PIECE. IT NEEDS TO FIX IT LONG-TERM IT NEEDS TO START AT THE YOUNGER AGES. EVERYONE IS STARTING TO USE THEIR PHONE FOR EVERYTHING NOW. KIDS SHOULD KNOW HOW TO DO BASIC THINGS NO OTHER THAN READ AND WRITE AND IT MAKES EVERYTHING EASIER.>>Reporter: SOME THOUGHTS FROM ADAM AND KENDRA WHO THINK TECHNOLOGY IS THE FUTURE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. THEY’RE GETTING AT THAT LONG-TERM VISION, THE IDEA THAT WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE AND I WANT TO BRING OUR INSIDERS’ PANEL BACK INTO THIS. WE HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT WHAT THE FUTURE HOLDS AND WE CONDITION FORGET ABOUT THE DEBT AND THE DEFICITS THAT WE HAVE TO CONTEND WITH. I’LL START DOWN HERE AT THIS TIME WITH THE P.C. PARTY AND KEITH, WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE NEXT FOUR YEARS, THE NEXT 10 OR 20 YEARS, YOU KNOW, WHAT IS THE VISION THAT GETS US OUT OF THIS DEBT HOLE AND GETS US PROSPEROUS AGAIN?>>IT’S A STRUCTURAL REVISION. WHEN YOU LOOK AT CHANGING GOVERNMENT AND MAKING ENHANCEMENTS OR CHANGES IN REGARDS TO EXPENDITURES IT’S OFTEN OVER BEYOND THE FOUR YEAR PERIOD BECAUSE YOU MAKE STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN THE PROCESS TO THE PUBLIC SERVICE AND HOW YOU ARE ALL OWE INDICATING PRE SOURCES AND IT TAKES LONGER AND HOW THEY GET THE INTO THE ECONOMY TO HELP COMPENSATE SOME OF THAT AS WE GO THROUGH A LONG-TERM PERIOD.>>Reporter: ABOUT WHAT DOES THE FUTURE OF THIS PROVINCE LOOK LIKE 10 YEARS DOWN THE ROAD?>>I HOPE IT LOOKS BETTER THAN IT DOES RIGHT NOW. I THINK WE HAVE TO GET AWAY FROM PARTISANSHIP IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. I REALLY THINK, WHERE A PROVINCE WAS ABOUT 500,000 PEOPLE, WE’RE NOT THE SIZE OF A SMALL CITY IN IS SOME PARTS OF CANADA. IF WE DON’T START PULLING TOGETHER AS POLITICAL PARTIES AND THE INDIVIDUALS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, WE’RE NOT GOING TO CHANGE OUR PATH. THAT HAS TO HAPPEN SO THAT WE CAN BUILD ON GOOD EDUCATION, KEEP RAISE OUR IMMIGRATION AND KEEP IT MOVING.>>Reporter: WHAT ABOUT THE NEXT 10 OR 15 YEARS?>>I AGREE. WITH AN ELECTION EVERY FOUR YEARS HE HAVE TO PUT VISIONS IN PLACE THAT ARE SEVEN TO 10 YEARS LONG. WE SAW IT WITH THE LIBERAL GOVERNMENT THIS LAST TIME AROUND AND WE’LL SEE IF THE PEOPLE LIKE IT.>>Reporter: SO SOME BOLD IDEAS. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT YOUR LEADERS SAY WHEN THEY MAKE THEIR SPEECHES TONIGHT WHETHER THEY’RE CONCESSION SPEECHES OR ACCEPTANCE SPEECHES. IF WE SEE THESE BOLD IDEAS GETTING AWAY FROM PARTISANSHIP AND ALL OF THESE THINGS AND IT’S NOT IT FOR THIS CONVERSATION. WE’LL TALK ABOUT THIS AS THE NIGHT GOES ON.>>Anthony: WE HAVE A REASON TO BELIEVE, YOU DON’T WANT TO PUT TOO MUCH STOCK AND OPINION POLLS, THEY GIVE YOU A SNAPSHOT SO WE BELIEVE THAT THERE ARE CERTAIN DISTRICTS TONIGHT THAT ARE GOING TO BE EXTREMELY IMPORTANT TO WATCH. I’M GOING TO INVITE FRED AND AIRARIANA. LET’S GO TO HARBOUR GRACE PORT DE GRAVE. WE HAVE TWO CONTENDERS THERE. A LOT OF PEOPLE THINK THIS COULD GO LATE.>>GLEN LITTLEJOHN, THIS IS HIS FOURTH ATTEMPT. HE WAS SUCCESSFUL IN 2011 BUT IN 2015 HE WAS KNOCKED OFF BY PAM PARSONS. MYSELF AND KATIE BREEN WERE IN THAT DISTRICT AND I CAN TELL YOU WE’VE SEEN SPLIT. PAM PARSONS HAS A LOT OF SUPPORT. LITTLEJOHN SAYS THAT HE IS HEARING SOMETHING DIFFERENT AT THE DOOR. HE SAYS THE PEOPLE WANT CHANGE AND THERE’S A DISLIKE OF DWIGHT BALL AND HE IS HOPING TO CAPITALIZE ON THAT.>>Anthony: MOVING ON. HARBOUR MAIN. THIS WAS THE ONLY LIBERAL CANDIDATE WHO HAD TO FIGHT TO GET THE NOMINATION. BETTY PARSLEY.>>Reporter: BETTY PARSLEY WAS NOT POLLING GREAT WHICH IS WHY THEY WANTED A DIFFERENT CANDIDATE IN PLACE. SHE WAS A FORMER MAYOR FROM THAT AREA. SHE’S HAD A LOT TO DO WITH DARK N.L. AND SHE MADE A NAME FOR HERSELF. GOT ELECTED. BUT FOR SOME REASON, THE PARTY WANTED TO TRY TO ALLOW SOMEONE ELSE TO CARRY THE BANNER. SO THE FIGHT HERE IS –>>OTTENHEIMER IS A BIG NAME. SHE HAS PRACTICED LAW FOR MANY YEARS AND THIS IS ACTUALLY ONE OF THE TORY AREAS WHERE THERE WERE FOUR PEOPLE WHO WANTED TO RUN FOR THE P.C.s SO THAT GOES TO SHOW YOU WHERE THE SUPPORT IS THERE.>>Anthony: AND YOU HAVE MIKE COOZE. HUMBER BAY OF ISLANDS. YOU HAVE BRIAN DICKS AND EDDY JOYCE.>>THESE ARE TIGHT RACES. SUPPOSEDLY. I THINK EDDY JOYCE WILL MAKE A LITTLE BIT OF HISTORY AND BE THE FIFTH INDEPENDENT M.H.A. IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. HE IS A FIGHTER. I WAS JUST LOOKING AT THE RESEARCH, IN 1975, HE WON A BRONZE MEDAL IN BOXING AT THE CANADA WINTER GAMES. HE IS IN THE CORNER BUT HE WILL COME OUT SWINGING. LOOK OUT FOR THE HEY MAKER.>>Anthony: MOUNT –>>OBVIOUSLY BEING AN M.H.A. OR IS IT ENOUGH TO JUST TAKEAWAY VOTES FROM THE P.C.s?>>OK. LET’S HAVE OTHER TOUGH FIGHTS TO TAKE A LOOK AT LATER. LET’S BRING CAROLYN STOKES BACK IN.>>Carolyn: LIGHTENING THINGS UP A LITTLE BIT, COMEDIAN VICKEY MALONELY HAS TOUGH QUESTIONS AND SHARP ADVICE FOR THE PEOPLE PEOPLE LOOKING FOR YOUR VOTE TO THE. HOW ARE WE GOING TO MAKE IMPROVEMENTS? MAKING SURE IT’S NOT A DUMB OK RA SEE. GOOD ON YOU. I CAN’T RUN FOR 30 SECONDS. SERIOUSLY, WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO TO MAKE SURE OUR CONCERNS ARE HEARD BECAUSE WE HAVE A FEW. LIKE THE ATLANTIC ACCORD, $2.5 BILLION COMING INTO NEWFOUNDLAND IN THE YEARS TO COME. IT’S GOOD AND THE PROVINCIAL ELECTION IS COMING UP SOON AND A LOT OF US ARE LOOKING FOR GOOD CHANGES AND IMPROVEMENTS. HOW ARE WE GOING TO MAKE SURE THAT HAPPENS? MAKING SURE IT’S NOT A DUMB-OCRACY. TO THE CROWD THAT IS RUNNING, FIRST OF ALL, GOOD ON YOU. I MYSELF CAN’T RUN FOR 30 SECONDS WITHOUT GETTING WINDED. WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO TO MAKE SURE OUR CONCERNS ARE HEARD. WE HAVE A FEW. LIKE THE ATLANTIC ACCORD. $2.5 BILLION COMING NO NEWFOUNDLAND IN THE YEARS TO COME. THAT’S GOOD AND EVERYTHING. IT SOUNDS SIMILAR TO THE DEBT I’M GOING TO BE IN FROM MY POWER BILL ALONE. THAT LIGHT BULB GOING OFF ON HOW TO ADDRESS THAT. IT’S IF YOU CAN AFFORD TO TURN ON THE SWITCH? I SUPPOSE WE WON’T HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT THE BIRTHRATE BECAUSE WHEN EVERYONE SHUTS OFF THEIR POWER IN PROTEST, WORE GOING TO HAVE ANOTHER BABY BOOM IN THE WORKS. AND I DON’T WANT TO SOUND LIKE A BROKEN RECORD BUT IF WOULD BE NICE IF I COULD START A FIRE AND NOT LOSE A TIRE. THE POTHOLES ARE RIDICULOUS. I SUPPOSE IF YOU DON’T GET AROUND TO FIXING THEM, IT WILL SURE PUT A BOOST IN TOURISM THAT WE HAVE OUR OWN GRAND CANYON. SO IF YOU WANT OUR VOTE, YOU HAVE TO LISTEN TO US AND YOU HAVE TO ACT. DON’T MAKE IT A DUMB-OCRACY.>>Anthony: I DON’T THINK THERE’S A POLITICAL CAMPAIGN WHERE POTHOLES AND ROADS GET IN THERE. ONE WAY OR ANOTHER. IT’S INTERESTING THAT IS AN ISSUE THAT PEOPLE REALLY WERE TALKING ABOUT DURING THIS ELECTION CAMPAIGN. THE RUTS ON THE OUTER RING ROAD, POTHOLES IN THEIR COMMUNITY AND THAT GOES BACK TO WHAT WE’RE TALKING ABOUT IN TERMS OF THIS. PEOPLE CANNOT WRAP THEIR HEAD AROUND A 22 BILLION-DOLLAR DEBT.>>THINGS THAT ARE HARD TO UNDERSTAND, ESPECIALLY MUSKRAT FALLS. THEY’RE DIFFICULT TO UNDERSTAND. YOU CAN UNDERSTANDING DRIVING YOUR CAR NO A BIG OLD POTHOLE. WHEN I WAS IN SPRINGDALE, I SPOKE TO A TABLE OF OLD GENTLEMEN IN TIM HORTONS AND I SAID WHAT ARE THE ISSUES OUT HERE. POTHOLES.>>THE TEMPERATURES BETWEEN A LEVEE BUDGET.>>THOSE BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ARE STARS WARS TO PEOPLE. THEY WANT SOMETHING THEY CAN SEE THAT’S WHY THE LEADERS AND I KNOW SOME ARE SAYING THEY ARE ADDRESSING IT BUT IT’S SUCH A HUGE PROBLEM. IT’S EASIER TO FIX THE LITTLE PROBLEMS ALONG THE WAY TO MAKE PEOPLE FEEL OK, BUT THIS BIG DEBT PROBLEM IS REALLY WHAT’S BEHIND EVERYTHING THAT UNDERLINED WHAT IS GOING ON HERE.>>Anthony: ONE OF THE THINGS YOU DO FOR SPECIAL LIVE COVERAGE, AS YOU KNOW HAVING DONE MANY OF THEM, YOU DON’T HAVE THE CHRONOLOGICAL ADVANTAGE THAT WE HAVE, IN THE PLANNING PHASE, YOU ASK WHAT WAS THIS ELECTION ALL ABOUT. THIS IS ONE ELECTION I HAVE TO SAY PROVINCIAL AND FEDERAL, WHAT’S THE ELECTION ABOUT?>>I THINK FOR THE LIBERALS AND DWIGHT BALL IT’S STAYING THE COURSE AND NOT FALLING ONE WAY OR THE OTHER. OTHER THAN THAT, THERE WAS NO REAL BIG ISSUE. THEY’RE NOT TACKLING THE DEBT. LEADERSHIP IS A BIG THING BUT WE KNOW THE LEADERS ARE POLLING UNDER THEIR PARTIES SO OBVIOUSLY THAT’S NOT THE STORY HERE.>>LOOK AT THE ATLANTIC ACCORD MONEY THAT CAME IN, RIGHT. IT’S ALL FRONT LOADED TO THIS TIME. TAKE IT OUT AND WE HAD A 575 MILLION-DOLLAR DEFICIT, RIGHT. IT WOULD HAVE BEEN THAT MUCH HIGHER, RIGHT. PEOPLE WONDER WHERE DOES — WHO IS GOING TO FIX THIS? WHERE DO WE COME UP WITH THE MONEY? THE PROBLEM IS THE SAME AS IT WAS IN 1949 WHERE TOO FOO PEOPLE IN A LARGE AREA. WE HAVE TO GET MORE PEOPLE LIVING HERE, MORE PEOPLE PAYING TAXES OR PROVIDE FEWER SERVICES.>>IT’S A REALITY OF THE PLACE FOR SO MANY YEARS. OIL CAN GO TO WHATEVER. IT’S NOT GOING TO SOLVE THAT PROBLEM. FASTEST AGING POPULATION. WE HAVE SOME BIG ISSUES WHICH MAY EXPLAIN WHY SOME PEOPLE THROW THEIR HANDS UP. WE WANT TO GET BACK TO BAILEY WHITE BECAUSE WE HAVE SWITCHED TO NEW PEOPLE.>>YOU ASKED THE QUESTION, IS THERE A SINGLE TOPIC THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT? IS THERE A SINGLE KEY VOTING ISSUE. WE HAPPEN TO HAVE THREE AVERAGE VOTERS. WHY DON’T WE ASK THEM, WHAT WAS THIS ELECTION ABOUT IN YOUR MIND?>>IT WAS AN ELECTION ABOUT NOTHING. THEY DIDN’T WANT TO TALK ABOUT ANYTHING. IT WAS THE ABSENCE OF VISION OR PLAN. TO PICK UP ON WHAT FRED SAID, THE ONLY SOLUTION IS MORE PEOPLE. REALISTICALLY, WE NEED 500,000 MORE PEOPLE TO LIVE HERE AND HAVE ENOUGH PEOPLE TO PAY ENOUGH TAXES TO SERVICE THE REGIONS AND ALL THE SERVICES WE NEED. THAT’S THE SOLUTION. NO ONE IS TALKING ABOUT IT. PEOPLE WOULD SAY UNDER THE AGE OF 45, WE WERE JUST SHOCKED AND NO ONE WANTED TO TALK ABOUT THE ISSUES. EVERYTHING IS GREAT OR IT WAS EITHER THE OTHER PARTY SUCKS OR EVERYTHING IS GREAT. THAT WAS ALL THEY WANTED TO TALK ABOUT. IT JUST SEEMS SO MISPLACED FOR WHAT WE’RE FACING?>>WHAT WAS THIS ELECTION ABOUT AS FAR AS YOU ARE CONCERNED?>>WHAT I THINK IT SHOULD HAVE BEEN ABOUT, I THINK WHILE TERRY IS SAYING WE NEED MORE PEOPLE, THEN WE ALSO NEED THE JOBS THAT GO WITH IT. WHAT DOES THAT MEAN? HOW ARE WE DIVERSIFYING THE ECONOMY. WHAT ARE THE COMPANIES COMING IN AND HOW DO YOU SUPPORT COMPANIES TO GROW. THAT’S WHAT THE ELECTION SHOULD HAVE BEEN ABOUT.>>I SAY THE ELECTION WAS POLLING. THE ONLY POLL THAT MATTERS IS ON ELECTION DAY. I DON’T THINK IT’S TRUE IN THIS CALL EVERYBODY THOUGHT THE GOVERNMENT WAS GOING TO GET BACK IN AND WE WERE GOING TO HAVE LOW TURNOUT AND THEN WE HAD A FAIRLY HIGH NUMBER OF POLLS COME OUT IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. I THINK PEOPLE PAID ATTENTION MORE. I THINK PEOPLE THINGS THEY DIDN’T THINK WERE POSSIBLE LIKE A MINORITY OR P.C. GOVERNMENT. IF YOU THINK BACK TO BY GONE ERA IT CHANGED THE DISCUSSION A LOT.>>MAYBE PEOPLE ARE GOING TO VOTE FOR WHO THEY THINK WILL WIN BASED ON THE NUMBERS THAT SAID THEY’RE GOING TO WIN AND THAT’S GOING TO CHANGE THE OUTCOME. IT’S GOING TO SEE THE NUMBERS.>>I’M INTRIGUED BY MELISSA’S POINT, I WANT TO GET SOMETHING FROM FRED ON THIS. WE ONLY HAVE A COUPLE OF MINUTES. WE’VE SEEN WHAT HAPPENED IN THE REST OF THE COUNTRY AND OTHER PROVINCIAL ELECTIONS. THE MOTIF HAS BEEN GET RID OF THEM MANY OF THERE’S BEEN SOME ANGRY VOTE AND WE’VE SEEN AN INCREASE IN THOSE ELECTIONS. WILL NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR STAY LOW OR MAYBE, AS MELISSA MENTIONED, PERHAPS THERE’S AN ENGAGE VOTER THAT IS ANGRY?>>I THINK WITH STRONGER LEADERS WE MAY HAVE SEEN THAT AND PEOPLE ARE WEIGHING THEIR OPTIONS AND THEY’RE SAYING, I DON’T LIKE THAT OPTION. DON’T LIKE THAT ONE OR THE PERSON IN THE MIDDLE. IT WILL COME DOWN TO THE INDIVIDUAL CANDIDATES AND NOT NECESSARILY THE PARTY.>>NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, WE’VE ALWAYS ELECTED LEADERS WE’RE ON A FIRST-NAME BASIS WITH. WE HAVE DWIGHT, ALISON, NO ONE IS REALLY WOWED BY ANY OF THEM. THEY’RE ALL NICE PEOPLE. I’VE MET THEM ALL. IRE NOT SAYING ANYTHING DISPARAGING ABOUT THEM BUT THAT’S THE IMPRESSES I GOT. THERE’S NOTHING THERE — WHAT IS THIS ELECTION ABOUT? I DON’T THINK ANYBODY REALLY KNOWS. IS THIS ABOUT DWIGHT BALL SAYING THIS IS A GOOD OPPORTUNITY FOR ME TO NOT BE IN OCTOBER, RIGHT WITH JUSTIN TRUDEAU, WHO IS IN TROUBLERS GET THIS DONE NOW AND WE’LL PUT OUR BUDGET BUT WE WON’T PASS IT. EVERYBODY IS CONFUSED BY ALL THIS. WHAT IS INTERESTING AS A POLITICIANS TRY TO FRAME WHAT AN ELECTION IS, AND WHAT IS THE BALLOT BOX QUESTION. WHAT DO YOU WANT TO PLANT IN THE MINDS OF VOTERS AS THEY HEAD INTO MAKE THEIR EX. THIS IS GOING TO BE ABOUT YOUR POWER BILL. WHICH ONE OF US IS GOING TO MAKE SURE YOU ARE NOT GOING TO GO BROKE?>>CHES CROSBIE ADDRESSED THAT IN THE DEBATE. HE SAID FOUR YEARS AGO, ARE YOU BETTER OFF NOW? YOU JUST FILLED OUT YOUR TAXES, HOW ARE YOU FEELING ABOUT THAT.>>FOR THE LIBERALS WE’VE MADE HEAD WAY AND WE HAD TO MAKE BAD DECISIONS LET US KEEP MOVING FORWARD. FOR CROSBY IT SEEMS, I’M GOING TO ADD IN ADDED BONUSES, INCLUDING THE $25 A DAY CHILDCARE AND A LITTLE ADDED EXTRA INCENTIVE AND THE N.D.P., WE HAVEN’T REALLY RECEIVED THAT MUCH DETAIL.>>ASK KIM CAMPBELL HOW IT WORKED OUT FOR HER WHEN SHE SAID WE HAVE TO CUT TAXES. 195 SEATS DOWN TO TWO IN 1993. YOU CAN’T GET IN THERE AND SAY WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE. SOMETHING HAS TO BE DONE.>>YOU CAN’T HAVE COMPLICATED POLICY DISCUSSIONS IN THE DURATION OF A ELECTION CAMPAIGN BECAUSE IT’S HARD OVER A COURSE OF A MONTH. IF YOU HAVEN’T DONE IT IN FOUR YEARS, HOW ARE YOU GOING TO DO IT IN A MONTH.>>YOU ARE DEALING WITH A ELECTORATE LOOKING AT THREE AND A HALF YEARS, WE’RE ALMOST OVER THE EDGE AND NOW WE HAVE A HALF A BILLION DOLLARS AND OTTAWA SHOWED UP WITH 2.5 BILLION AND EVERYTHING IS OK VOTE FOR US.>>LOOK AT WHAT CHES CROSBIE DID. HE CAME OUT AND SAID HEALING CARE SPENDING IS A PROBLEM. WE HAVE THE HIGHEST SPENDING ON HEALTHCARE PER-CAPITA AND THE LIBERALS JUMPED ON HIM AND THE PUBLIC JUMPED ON HIM EVEN THOUGH WHAT HE IS SAYING IS TRUE. YOU DO NEED TO CUT HEALTHCARE SPENDING SOMEWHERE.>>THE PERSON THAT TRIES TO GET YOUR VOGUE SAYING I MIGHT HAVE TO REDUCE DOCTORS AND NURSES IS NOT THE BEST WAY TO GET ELECTED. SOME INTERESTING ISSUES TO TALK ABOUT ON THE AND WE’LL CONTINUE TALKING ABOUT THOSE ISSUES. 30 MINUTES LEFT BEFORE THE POLLS CLOSE. STAY TUNED.>>THE DAYS OF NO FIGHT AND DWIGHT ARE GONE AND YOU DON’T MESS WITH CHESS. [APPLAUSE] THIS CONFEDERATION IS NEVER HAPPENED. NO GOVERNMENT HAS LASTED JUST A SINGLE TERM. BUT TONIGHT, THIS IS A MAN WHO THINKS HE CAN KICK OUT THE LIBERALS.>>I WANT TO MAKE THIS A PROVINCE WHICH IS A BETTER PLACE TO LIVE WITH A BRIGHTER FUTURE.>>THE POLLS SHOW IT’S CLOSE. THE LIBERALS THINK THEY CAN HANG ON. THIS IS A TIME FOR PROVEN LEADERSHIP. IT’S A TIME FOR CLEAR DIRECTION. WE CANNOT GO BACKWARDS. WE MUST MOVE ONWARD.>>WILL AN EARLY ELECTION CALL HELP THE LIBERALS STAY IN POWER? THEY HAVE MORE MONEY, STRONGER ORGANIZATION AND THEY WANTED TO CATCH THE OTHER PARTIES OFF GUARD. BUT VOTERS HAVEN’T FORGOTTEN BROKEN PROMISES, TAX INCREASES AND THE TOUGHEST BUDGET IN DECADES BACK IN 2016. IT HASN’T BEEN THE EASY RIDE THE LIBERALS HAD HOPED FOR. THE CAMPAIGN HAS HAD NASTY MOMENTS.>>ARE YOU PROUD OF THAT?>>ARE YOU PROUD OF THAT?>>I’M TELLING THE TRUTH, YOU ARE NOT.>>WE’VE SEEN POOR DECISIONS MADE BY THE OTHER PARTIES.>>VOTERS ARE ANGRY WITH THE TWO MAJOR PARTY LEADERS BUT IN MOST DISTRICTS THEY CAN’T EVEN VOTE FOR THE N.D.P. THAT PARTY IS IN A FIGHT FOR ITS VERY SURVIVAL. AND THERE’S A NEW PARTY, ONE THAT IS ALL ABOUT NOT BEING A PARTY.>>THE REASON I DECIDED I COULD NO LONGER BE INVOLVED IN THE PARTY SYSTEM AS IT STANDS TODAY, IS BECAUSE IT DOES NOT REPRESENT THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.>>THEY ARE TRYING TO FIND A HOME IN THE LEGISLATURE BUT WILL NOT BE DECIDED BY POLITICIANS. WHAT HAPPENS TONIGHT IS UP TO THE VOTERS.>>30 MINUTES UNTIL THE POLLS CLOSE. UNDER 30 MINUTES. CLOSING ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. THIS IS NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR VOTES 2019 ON CBC TELEVISION. AND WELCOME ALSO TO VIEWERS JOINING US ACROSS THE COUNTRY. JOINING ME IN THE STUDIO TONIGHT TO HELP INTERPRET THE RESULTS ARE SOME OF OUR REPORTERS, ARIANA KELLAND AND FRED HUTTON WHO HAS COVERED POLITICS BEFORE JOEY SMALLWOOD NEEDED GLASSES AND BAILEY WHITE, SHE HAS TWO GROUPS OF INDIVIDUALS, DIFFERENT KINDS OF EXPERTS. THE OUTSIDERS MADE UP OF PEOPLE WHO ARE WATCH POLITICS AND ARE ENGAGE IN BOTH THE ECONOMY LOCALLY AND JOBS AND WHO WATCH WHAT HAPPENS IN POLITICS. AND OUR INSIDERS, PEOPLE WHO WORK WITH THE PARTIES IN CAMPAIGNS AND UNDERSTAND THE ELECTIONS. CAROLYN STOKES HAS BEEN GIVING US GREAT CONTEXT FROM PREVIOUS ELECTIONS TONIGHT AND WE WILL CHECK IN ACROSS THE PROVINCE TONIGHT. WE HAVE REPORTERS AT THE CAMPAIGN HEADQUARTERS TONIGHT AS WELL. KATIE BREEN IS WITH THE LIBERALS IN CORNER BROOK. GARRETT BARRY IN THE MIDDLE WITH THE P.C.s IN ST. JOHN’S AND ALSO IN ST. JOHN’S, TERRY ROBERTS IS WITH THE N.D.P. TONIGHT. AND IT’S A DIFFERENT KIND OF ELECTION WITH A NEW PARTY. I DON’T HAVE THAT IS HE OFTEN. ZACK GOUDIE WILL BE WITH THE N.L. ALLIANCE LATER ON. ZACH GOUDIE HAS BEEN BUSY. HE HAS BEEN OUR EYES AND EARS AT THE POLLING STATION TONIGHT. LET’S CHECK IN WITH ZACK WITH 26 MINUTES REMAINING BEFORE THOSE POLLS CLOSE.>>Reporter: THINGS ARE REALLY COMING DOWN TO THE WIRE. JUST A FEW LAST-MINUTE VOTERS CASTING THEIR BALLOT IN ST. JOHN’S EAST QUIDI VIDI. THINGS HAVE REALLY SLOWED DOWN IN THE LAST HOUR OR SO AS WE TICK DOWN TO THE FINAL FEW MINUTES OF VOTING DAY. AND SPEAKING WITH SOME OF THE RETURNING OFFICERS HERE, THEY HAVE BEEN TELLING ME THAT THEIR FEELING IS TURNOUT IS REALLY LOW. IN THIS PARTICULAR DISTRICT, THEY’RE TELLING ME IT’S LIKELY LESS THAN 50% TURNOUT AND OF COURSE THEY’VE GOT THE SHEETS. THEY KNOW WHO TO EXPECT. THEY CAN DO THE QUICK MATH IN THE LAST PROVINCIAL ELECTION TURNOUT WAS IN THE MID 50s, THAT WAS A HISTORIC LOW. IF THEIR ESTIMATION IS RIGHT IT COULD BE ONE OF THE BIG STORY LINES OF THIS PROVINCIAL ELECTION. AGAIN, IT’S JUST ONE DISTRICT IN ONE PART OF THE PROVINCE, PERHAPS THOUGH REPRESENTATIVE OF SOME OF THE VOTE ARE FRUSTRATION THAT WE HAVE BEEN HEARING ABOUT THROUGH OUT THIS CAMPAIGN. PEOPLE ARE NOT HAPPY WITH THE POLITICAL CHOICES ON THE BALLOT AND YET YOU STILL SEE SOME PEOPLE ARRIVING AT THAT LAST MINUTE TO MAKE SURE THEIR BALLOT IS COUNTED. LESS THAN A HALF-HOUR AWAY FROM REAL NUMBERS.>>Anthony: THAT WAS ZACH GOUDIE WHO WILL BE SHIFTING GEARS. LET’S GO TO THE ESTABLISHED PARTY STARRING IN ORDER OF THE NUMBER OF SEATS THEY HELD THE LAST TIME THEY WERE ELECTED. THAT STARTS WITH THE LIBERALS KATIE BREEN IS THERE AND JOINED BY SOMEONE WHO IS IMPORTANT TO DWIGHT BALL IN THIS ELECTION CAMPAIGN.>>Reporter: THAT’S RIGHT. I’M HERE WITH PETER MILES. HE IS AN ADVISOR AND CAMPAIGN COORDINATOR WITH THE LIBERALS. WHAT ARE YOU EXPECTING TO HAPPEN TONIGHT?>>I’M EXPECTING A LIBERAL MAJORITY OF COURSE. WE’LL SEE WHERE IT GOES. THE POLLS ARE CLOSING IN A HALF-HOUR. IF ANYONE HAS LIST MINUTE TIME TO VOTE, NOW IS THE TIME TO DO IT.>>Reporter: WE WERE JUST HEARING FROM OUR COLLEAGUE ABOUT APATHY, WHAT ARE YOU HEARING ABOUT GETTING OUT THE VOTE?>>I’M HEARING THAT THINGS ARE GOING PRETTY GOOD. ST. JOHN’S THEY’RE SEEING APATHY AND THE WEST COAST THINGS ARE GOING GOOD. THE HEADQUARTERS IS GOING WELL. NO HICCUPS FROM THE CAMPAIGN YET SO IT’S ALMOST OVER. WE’RE GETTING OUR VOTE OUT.>>Reporter: YOU WERE ON THE BUS HOW WAS THAT.>>YOU WERE THERE FOR A WHILE. WHICH WENT OVER 9,000 KILOMETRES AND TRY TO ENGAGE WITH PEOPLE AND WHAT THE PREMIER MADE AND LONG DIES AND THAT IS HAPPY.>>Reporter: WE SAW POLLS THAT PUT THE P.C.s NECK IN NECK AHEAD OF THE LIBERALS. WHAT CHANGE DID YOU SEE IN SPIRITS ON THE BUS.>>WE ONLY KEPT HIGH SPIRITS ON THE BUS. IT WAS A HAPPY PLACE TO BE ON THE BUS FOR SURE. AS FAR AS MOMENTUM GOES, I THINK LAST WEEK WE STARTED GETTING IT IN THE CALLS BY OPPONENTS. IT WAS TOUGH FOR A LOT OF PEOPLE. GETTING CALLS ON THEIR CELLPHONES OVER THERE MOTHER’S DAY HOLIDAY. THE PREMIER KEEPS IT GOING AND WE HAVE GREAT AGENDA THIS WEEK. WE WENT TO ECONOMIC — THE HIGHLIGHT ECONOMIC SUCCESSES THROUGHOUT THE PROVINCE AND IT WAS REALLY ENERGIZING AND GREAT TO SEE SO MUCH POTENTIAL IN THE PROVINCE AND SO MUCH GROWTH ECONOMICALLY AND WE’RE FEELING OPTIMISTIC.>>Reporter: YOU HEARD IT FROM HIM AND THE PREMIER EARLIER TODAY. THEY’RE EXPECTING A LIBERAL MAJORITY BUT WILL THAT HAPPEN?>>Anthony: LISTENING TO PETER MILES, APPARENTLY SOME APATHY IN TOWN. NOT SO ON THE WEST COAST. ONE OF THE BRAINS BEHIND THE DWIGHT BALL CAMPAIGN. LET’S SEE WHAT IS HAPPENING WITH P.C. HEADQUARTERS WHERE WE HAVE MR. MILES EQUIVALENT WITH GARRETT BARRY AND ROBERT IS THE P.C. CAMPAIGN MANAGER AND YOU SEE HIM THERE WITH GARRETT.>>Reporter: THAT’S RIGHT. HE IS BEEN ACTIVE IN THE P.C. PARTY SINCE 1968. THAT WAS THE FIRST TIME THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVES FORMED IN THIS PROVINCE. HOW YOUR FEELING TONIGHT?>>WE’RE FEELING REALLY GOOD ABOUT OUR POSITION. WE’VE DONE A LOT OF WORK. NO ONE FELT A COUPLE OF YEARS MR. CROSSBOW COULD BE IN THIS POSITION. WE’VE ALWAYS — HE HAS ALWAYS BEEN OPERATING FROM A PERSPECTIVE OF I GUESS LOW EXPECTATIONS AND ALWAYS EXCEEDING THEM AND WE THINK TONIGHT IT COULD BE A NIGHT WE CAN EXCEED THEM AGAIN.>>Reporter: WE’VE BEEN HEARING TONIGHT ABOUT VOTER APATHY AND LOW TURNOUT. WHAT ARE YOU HEARING FROM THE POLLS TODAY?>>WELL, THE VOTER TURN NOW IS NOT IN 2019 WHAT IT WAS 20 OR 30 YEARS AGO. WE ARE HEARING ON AVERAGE IT’S ABOUT THE SAME AS IT WAS IN SOME DISTRICTS BUT HIGHER IN MANY DISTRICTS THAN ORDINARILY IT WOULD BE.>>Reporter: YOU SPOKE ABOUT MRE EXPECTATIONS, HOW DO YOU THINK HE FEELS?>>HE IS NERVOUS. HE IS THE NOT THE TYPE TO GET PARTICULARLY NERVOUS OR UPSET ABOUT ANYTHING. I THINK HE FEELS QUITE GOOD. HE HAS BUILT A GOOD TEAM. HE HAS DONE WELL HIMSELF. THE PEOPLE HAVE RESPONDED TO HIM. HE HAS GREAT POLICIES THAT HE FEELS GOOD ABOUT AND IMPLEMENTING.>>Reporter: WE’LL WATCH THE RESULTS TONIGHT. THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR BEING HERE. WE’LL GO BACK TO THE STUDIO.>>Anthony: SO WE’VE HEARD NOW FROM THE CONSERVATIVES BEFORE THAT THE LIBERALS. LET’S CHECK OUT WHAT IS GOING ON WITH THE N.D.P. WITH TERRY ROBERTS. A LOT OF PEOPLE TONIGHT THINKING THAT THIS COULD BE IT FOR THE NO ONE. N.D.P. THEY MIGHT BE WIPED OR THEY COULD MAKE A GANG. THE VICTORY COULD BE HANGING ONTO THE TWO SEATS THEY HAVE.>>Reporter: YOU SUMMED IT YOU ARE PERFECTLY. THE PARTY HAS 14 CANDIDATES RUNNING IN 40 DISTRICTS. THEY’RE FOCUSING ON TWO ST. JOHN’S SEATS AND THAT IS ST. JOHN’S EAST QUIDI VIDI AND ST. JOHN’S CENTRE. THEY HOPE TO HOLD ON TO THOSE TWO SEATS WITH ALISON COFFIN NEWLY MINTED LEADER ALISON COFFIN LOOKING TO HOLD THAT SEAT. WELL-KNOWN CANDIDATE IN JIM DEAN THE FORMER PRESIDENT OF THE PROVINCIAL TEACHERS ASSOCIATION. REPRESENTING ONCE ROUGHLY 6,000 TEACHERS IN THIS PROVINCE. WHAT WE’VE BEEN HEARING SO FAR FROM THE N.D.P. THROUGH THEIR CAMPAIGN IS HEALING CARE, THE ENVIRONMENT, AFFORDABLE LIVING SAYING THEY WANT TO PROVIDE GOVERNMENT SERVICES. WHEN AND WHERE THEY’RE NEEDED. SO THERE’S A LOT ON THE LINE AS WE MENTIONED. THIS COULD GO REALLY GOOD FOR THE N.D.P. HOLDING ON TO THOSE SEATS WOULD BE A SUCCESS CONSIDERING EVERYTHING THE PARTY HAS GONE THROUGH IN RECENT YEARS BUT ALSO IT COULD GO VERY BAD. THEY COULD FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 1990 BE EVICTED FROM THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. WE’LL KNOW MORE IN A FEW HOURS.>>I DON’T THINK IT’S A MATTER UP FOR DISPUTE, THE FACT THAT THE N.D.P. CAUGHT OFF GUARD BY AN EARLY ELECTION CALL. UNABLE TO FIELD SO MANY CANDIDATES. FRED HUTTON, ARIANA KELLAND, WHAT IS YOUR SENSE OF WHAT IT MEANS TONIGHT? THE POLLS ARE CLOSING IN 19 MINUTES, HOW WILL THE N.D.P. NOT BE PLAYERS, HOW COULD IT AFFECT THE OUTCOME TONIGHT?>>I SEE IT IN TWO WAYS. THEY HAVE 14 CANDIDATES. IF THEY HAVE A FULL SLATE THEY WOULD HAVE TO SPEND TIME RIGHT ACROSS THE PROVINCE. IN SOME WAYS, THEY’RE BLESSED BECAUSE THEY CAN FOCUS THEIR ATTENTION TON THE TWO DIRECTS THAT THEY’RE HOPING TO KEEP.>>Anthony: LESS THAN BROKE.>>BUT YOU KNOW, THEY ARE N.D.P. SEATS THAT THEY’RE TRYING TO KEEP TOO. THEY HAVE THE ADVANTAGE OF JERRY ROGERS GOING AROUND WITH JIM DINN AND LORAINE MICHAELS GOING AROUND WITH ALISON COFFIN. I THINK FOR ALISON COFFIN TOO, SHE MAY GET A PASS TONIGHT IF SHE DOESN’T GET ELECTED. SHE HAS SAID THAT SHE WILL STICK IT OUT AS LEADER OF THE NEW DEMOCRATS.>>EVEN IF SHE LOSES.>>23,000 PEOPLE VOTED FOR THE NEP IN NOVEMBER OF 2015, THE LAST PROVINCIAL ELECTION. I LOOKED AT THE 26TH DISTRICTS THAT DON’T HAVE N.D.P. CANDIDATES AND IT’S 7800 VOTES TAKEN WE FROM THEM. IN THOSE DIRECTS, WHERE WILL THOSE VOTES GO? TO THE P.C.s OR LIBERALS OR WILL THOSE VOTERS SIT ON THEIR HANDS AND NOT VOTE THIS TIME AROUND. OF THE 14 THEY HAVE, TWO OF THE DISTRICTS THAT ARE IN CONTENTION, JERRY ROGERS AND LORAINE MICHAELS, THEY HAD OVER 5,000 VOTES. IT WILL BE A TIGHT RACE. THE LIBERALS THINK THEY’LL TAKE THAT. AND SOME PEOPLE WITHIN THE N.D.P. THINK JIM DINN IS THEIR ONLY HOME TO KEEP SOMEONE IN THE HOUSE. IF WITHOUT THE N.D.P. IN THE HOUSE, FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 30 YEARS, SOME SAY THE SOCIAL CONSCIENCE OF POLITICS WILL BE GONE.>>Anthony: LOOKING AT THE LIBERALS A CONVERTED GAINS ARE VICTORY BUT FOR THE N.D.P. JUST HANGING ON TO WHAT YOU’VE GOT COULD BE SEEN AS A VICTORY. APPRECIATE THAT ANALYSIS. ONE FEATURE IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR POLITICS, THERE ARE CERTAIN HISTORIC PATTERNS THAT AREN’T BROKEN. CAROLINE STOKES HAS SOMETHING INTERESTING TO OFFER>>Reporter: JOEY SMALLWOOD AND HIS LIBERAL PARTY HOLD THE RECORD FOR THE LONGEST REIGN. THEY STAYED IN POWER FOR NEARLY 23 YEARS. IN 1972, SMALLWOOD RESIGNED. A PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT TOOK OVER WITH FRANK MARS AT THE HELM IN THE 1979, THAT’S THE YEAR HE RETIRED AND BRIAN PECKFORD WON THE P.C. LEADERSHIP AND LED THE PARTY TO A MAJORITY VICTORY. PECKFORD WOULD BE PREMIER AND SUCCEEDED BY TOM WRITEOUT BRINGING THE P.C. REIGN TO 17 YEARS. VOTERS DECIDED IT WAS TIME FOR A CHANGE AND GAVE THE LIBERALS A KICK OF THE CAN. DURING THE FOLLOWING 14 AND A HALF YEARS, THERE WOULD BE SEVERAL BACK-TO-BACK LIBERAL PREMIERS. BRIAN TOBIN SUCCEEDED WELLS IN 1996 AND THEN ROGER AGREEMENTS UNTIL 2003. WHEN VOTERS HAD AN APPETITE FOR CHANGE AND OPTED FOR A P.C. GOVERNMENT LED BY DANNY WILLIAMS. AND THE P.C. HELD POWER FOR A TOTAL OF OF 12 YEARS. THEN THE 2015 ELECTION MARKED THE LIBERAL’S RETURN TO POWER UNDER DWIGHT BALL. NEVER IN OUR HISTORY HAVE WE KICKED A PARTY OUT OF POWER IN LESS THAN THREE TERMS. BUT AS TIME GOES ON, PARTY REIGN HAS GOTTEN SHORTER AND SHORTER.>>CHANGE IS A TREND THAT IS SWEEPING ACROSS THE COUNTRY. OVER THE PAST YEAR, FIVE OTHER PROVINCES HAVE CHANGED COLOURS AND THE QUESTION TONIGHT IS WILL THAT WAVE OF CHANGE MAKE IT TO OUR SHOWS.>>Anthony: IT DEPENDS ON WHAT THE VOTERS HAVE OFFERED THEMSELVES TONIGHT.>>DESPITE ME BEING AROUND COVERING POLITICS WHEN JOEY SMALL GOT HIS FIRST GLASSES, I WAS A SEED IN GOD’S POCKET. IF YOU LOOKED AT THE GRAPHICS, THE NAMES THAT STAND OUT. JOEY SMALLWOOD, PEOPLE WATCHING OUT IN VANCOUVER AND VICTORIA, PEOPLE KNOW, PEOPLE WILL REMEMBER CLYDE WELLS AND THE LEADERS TONIGHT DON’T HAVE THE SAME NATIONAL PROFILE.>>EVEN BEFORE THEY CAME. WE’RE GETTING CLOSE TO THE TIME. 14 MINUTES BEFORE THE POLLS CLOSE. I WANT TO SHIFT YOUR ATTENTION. IN 14 MINUTES, YOU ARE GOING TO SEE SOME NUMBERS COME UP OF VOTES THAT WILL COME OUT OF NOWHERE. THESE ARE SPECIAL BALLOTS. THEY MIGHT SHOCK YOU BECAUSE THEY’RE A DIFFERENT KIND OF BALLOT. CAN WE EXPLAIN HOW THESE WORK?>>SPECIAL BALLOTS WOULD BE PEOPLE OUT OF TOWN, OUT OF THE PROVINCE AND THEY CAST THEIR BALLOTS SO A COUPLE OF THINGS TO KEEP IN MIND. A LOT OF CHANGES HAPPENED IN THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. YOU KNOW, THERE HAVE BEEN DEBATES. THERE HAVE BEEN SPENDING ANNOUNCEMENT THAT’S CAME OUT OF THE BLUE. SO, IT’S ALSO TYPICALLY PEOPLE WHO REALLY WANT TO VOTE AND THOSE DEDICATED VOTERS WHO MADE SURE I MAY NOT BE AVAILABLE AND GET OUT AND VOTE.>>Anthony: SOMEONE WORKING ON A OIL RIG, PEOPLE IN PRISON OR HOSPITAL. PEOPLE WHO ARE DEBILITATED CAN’T MAKE IT AND THEY WOULD HAVE HAD TO A PLOY FOR A SPECIAL. KIT.>>THEY HAD TO HAVE THEIR TG MAILED BY LAST WEEK. LAST FRIDAY. A LOT OF THINGS YOU LISTEN TO WHAT ZACH GOUDIE WAS SAYING, PEOPLE MAKE UP THEIR MIND TODAY. THESE PEOPLE HAD THEIR MINDS MADE UP. WHEN THOSE NUMBERS FIRST SPLASH AFTER WE GET 8:00, DON’T BE ALARMED. LOTS OF INTERESTING THOUGHTS. I KNOW THE ROW ACTION PEOPLE WILL LOOK AND SAY HOW CAN THIS HAPPEN. WE’LL EXPLAIN IT AGAIN. ENOUGH TALKING ABOUT THE TECHNICALITIES OF SPECIAL BALLOTS, LET’S TALK ABOUT SOME MORE IMPORTANT ISSUES ABOUT POLITICS IN OUR PROVINCE WITH BAILEY AND HER GUESTS.>>Reporter: I WANT TO PICK UP ON SOME OF THE STATS THAT CAROLYN SHOWED US. I DON’T KNOW HOW TO SQUARE THESE FEW THINGS. WE’VE GOT FEWER PEOPLE COMING OUT TO VOTE EACH ELECTION. SHORTER TERMS FOR GOVERNMENTS GOING DOWN THE LINE AND WE’RE TALKING NOW ABOUT EVEN SEEING A ONE-TERM GOVERNMENT TONIGHT. NOTHING IS DECIDED YET. THE FACT THAT WE COULD EVEN TALK ABOUT THAT. WE HAVE FEWER VOTERS BUT THEY’RE MORE CONTRARY. HOW DO YOU SQUARE THAT?>>I DON’T KNOW. THE LAST TIME WE DID HAVE A ONE-TERM GOVERNMENT WAS RICHARD SQUARES AND PEOPLE WERE ANGRY THEN. WAY BEFORE CONFEDERATION. I DON’T THINK WE HAVE THAT ANGER RIGHT NOW. WHICH IS IT PLAYS THE OTHER WAY BECAUSE WITHOUT A HIGH TURNOUT, SMALL GROUND GAME BATTLES WILL MAKE THE DIFFERENCE.>>YOU TALKED ABOUT THIS EARLIER, TALKING ABOUT WHY WE AREN’T SEEING MORE PEOPLE OUT. WE HAVE A SERIOUS DEBT PROBLEM. WHY AREN’T PEOPLE MORE ANGRY ABOUT THAT.>>IT’S REMARKABLE TO WATCH THE DISENCHANTMENT OF THE YOUNGER GENERATIONS WITH THE POLITICAL PROCESS BECAUSE IT’S IGNORED THEM FOR SO LONG AND THE PARTIES HAVE BEEN ABLE TO GET AWAY WITH JUST USING THE SAME OLD MESSAGES OVER AND OVER AGAIN TO THE POINT WHERE YOUNGER PEOPLE HAVE LOOKED AT THE PROBLEMS THAT WE’RE MISSING AND SAID THIS IS A MESS, I DON’T WANT ANYTHING TO DO IT AND THEY DO PAY ATTENTION.>>I DON’T KNOW IF THERE’S AN ACTING OUT TO GET PEOPLE ENGAGE. IT’S THE STATUS QUO OF WHAT IS WORKING AND SEEING IF THEY CAN CONTINUE TO KEEP GOING THE WAY THAT THEY ARE.>>IF WE’RE TALKING ABOUT TURNOUT AND SHAKING UP THE AT STATUS QUO, HOW MANY VOTERS WILL VOTE IN EDDY JOYCE AND PAULINE DISTRICT. AS YOU HEARD EARLIER, WE DON’T HAVE A GREAT HISTORY OF INDEPENDENCE WITHOUT PARTY AFFILIATION SO WHETHER OR NOT PEOPLE IN THOSE DISTRICTS TO VOICE SUPPORTS WITH.>>I SUPPOSE CAN HE COULD MAKE THAT SAME CASE FOR THE NL ALLIANCE.>>THE PARTIES ARE HAPPY WITH THE STATUS QUO. THEY DON’T WANT ENGAGE VOTERS. THEY LIKE THIS BACK AND FOURTH I’M IN POWER NOW SO IT’S TIME FOR ME TO TAKE CARE OF MY FRIENDS AND YOUNGER VOTERS SAY THIS IS CRAZY. THIS IS NO WAY TO DO ANYTHING AND THEY DON’T WANT NOTHING TO DO WITH IT. THEY SAID WE’RE NOT THE PARTY PARTY. THEY’VE HAD A ROUGH CAMPAIGN. I THINK YOU MIGHT SEE A LITTLE BIT MORE OF ALTERNATIVE CHOICES AS WE GO INTO FUTURE ELECTIONS. I DON’T KNOW HOW SUCCESSFUL THEY’RE GOING TO BE IN THIS ONE.>>IT DEPENDS ON WHAT HAPPENS. IT’S GOING TO BE A CLOSE ELECTION, ONE OR TWO N.D.P. AND ONE OR TWO INDEPENDENTS CAN HOLD POWER AND SHAPE THE GOVERNMENT FOR THE NEXT FOUR YEARS.>>I DON’T THINK IT’S TOO EDITORIAL TO SAY THAT WOULD BE PRETTY INTERESTING. IT WOULD BE SOMETHING DIFFERENT. DO YOU THINK IT WOULD GET PEOPLE INTERESTED IN WATCHING?>>DEFINITELY. IT WOULD BREAK THE STATUS QUO AND MAKE IT MORE INTERESTING.>>WE ARE GOING TO WATCH AS THESE POLLS COME IN AND WHO KNOWS, MAYBE WE’VE GOT SOME PREDICTIONS GOING HERE. LOTS OF TALK ABOUT THE REST OF THE NIGHT AND THE NEXT FOUR YEARS.>>CHITCHATTING WITH MY COLLEAGUES HERE ABOUT SOME OF THE THINGS WE HAVE TO GET THROUGH BEFORE WE ACTUALLY GET TO 8:00 WHEN THE VOTES START COUNTING. LET’S CONSIDER WHERE THINGS STAND RIGHT NOW. WE’RE GOING TO MONITOR TO SEE IF THERE’S AN APPETITE FOR CHANGE TONIGHT SO WE NEED TO REALLY TAKE STOCK OF WHERE THINGS STAND TONIGHT BEFORE WE START COUNTING VOTES IN EIGHT MINUTES. LET’S LOOK AT A MAP OF OUR PROVINCE. IN LABRADOR YOU HAD FOUR DISTRICTS THERE. THE LIBERALS TOOK THEM EASILY LAST TIME. AS YOU SEE, MOST OF THE PROVINCE REALLY REPRESENTING THAT BIG MAJORITY OF DWIGHT BALL LAST TIME.>>YOU SEE THE BLUE CHUNK. IT MAY FLIP TO RED. THE LIBERALS ARE HOPING FOR A PICKUP THERE. THE EXECUTIVE ASSISTANT TO DWIGHT BALL HAS A LOT OF SUPPORT AND CENTRAL NEWFOUNDLAND IS AN AREA WE SHOULD KEEP OUR EYES ON BECAUSE THE P.C.s ARE GUNNING FOR THE CENTRAL REGION AND THEY HAVE SOME GOOD CANDIDATES IN PLACE TOO.>>Anthony: KEEP IN MIND, IF YOU LOOK AT THE AVALON YOU WILL SEE BLUE. AND A COUPLE SPECKS OF ORANGE REPRESENTING TWO NEW DEMOCRATS SO THEY ARE THERE. OF COURSE THE TWO PEOPLE VYING FOR THOSE SEATS TONIGHT ARE DIFFERENT AND THEY HAD TWO SEATS. THERE’S BEEN CHANGES AS YOU KNOW. THERE HAVE BEEN PEOPLE WHO CROSSED THE FLOOR AND THREE BYELECTIONS THAT HELPED THE STORIES SUSTAIN THEMSELVES SO THERE ARE EIGHT P.C.s RIGHT NOW BUT BY AND LARGE, THINGS ARE CLOSE TO WHERE THEY WERE LAST TIME. I THINK THE BEAUTY OF THE MAP IS REALLY SHOWING YOU THE SIZE OF DWIGHT BALL’S MAJORITY. IF THE LIBERALS WANT TO HANG ON AND THEY WANT THE MAP NOT TO LOOK TOO DIFFERENT.>>ONE OF THOSE DIRECTS ON THE WEST COAST IS EDDY JOYCE. HE IS AN INDEPENDENT NOW. WHEN YOU LOOK DOWN THROUGH THE LIST OF WHAT HAPPENED OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF YEARS, IT’S BEEN VERY UNUSUAL.>>THAT’S NOT EDIE JOYCE. THAT’S JIM DINN WHO IS HOPING TO KEEP THAT SEAT. WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT SOME OF THE RACES THAT ARE GOING TO BE REALLY TIGHT. ST. JOHN’S CENTRE.>>THIS — JIM DINN, FORMER HEAD OF THE TEACHERS’ UNION. RUNNING AGAINST TWO OTHER HIGH-PROFILE CANDIDATES, SEAMUS O’KEEFE AND A FORMER CITY COUNCILOR IN ST. JOHN’S. BOTH HAVE CONNECTIONS TO THE GEORGE STREET ASSOCIATION. THIS IS THE ONE THE N.D.P. ARE REALLY HOPEFUL THAT THEY CAN HOLD ON TO TONIGHT. FOR THE N.D.P. TONIGHT, THEY’VE SAID, TWO WINS WOULD BE OVER THE MOON.>>SO I USE THE WORDS ORANGE AND MAGIC HAPPENS. WE’RE IN ST. JOHN’S CENTRE. LET’S LOOK AT ST. JOHN’S EAST THE QUIDI VIDI. YOUR TAKE ON LEADER ALISON COFFIN TONIGHT AND THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE FIGHT SHE HAS PARTICULARLY WITH GEORGE MURPHY?>>THIS IS GOING TO BE A TOUGH RACE. MURPHY WAS SITTING IN THE LEGISLATURE BEFORE AS A MEMBER OF THE NEW DEMOCRATS. SO THIS IS GOING TO BE AN EXCELLENT MATCH UP. ALSO, DAVID PORTER, HE IS A NEWCOMER BUT HE HAS ALSO BEEN GETTING A LOT OF SUPPORT AND MAYBE NOT ENOUGH TO GO UP WHERE COFFIN IS. THIS IS DEFINITELY GOING TO BE A RACE TO WATCH.>>MY UNDERSTANDING IS THE INCUMBENT ADVANTAGE FOR THE LIBERALS, GEORGE MURPHY, FORMERLY A N.D.P. RUNNING FOR THE LIBERALS. THE LIBERALS ARE MORE MONEY AND MORE ORGANIZATION AND THEY HAVE EXPERTS OPERATORS AND ADVISERS AND CALL THEM WHAT YOU WILL, SOME OF THEM HAVE BEEN BROUGHT TO GEORGE MURPHY’S DIRECTS TO THE ST. JOHN’S QUIDI VIDI FOR GETTING HIM ELECTED TONIGHT. ALISON COFFIN IS UP AGAINST A FOR MID ABLE OPPONENT. HOLLOWAY WAS PART OF THIS BULLYING AND HARASSMENT SCANDAL, WHICH WAS UNDERWAY. HE WAS THE ONLY MALE M.H.A. TO FILE COMPLAINTS. AND HIS SITUATION WITHIN THE LIBERAL PARTY WAS SORT OF WRAPPED UP WITH THE DALE KIRBY, PAM PARSONS WANTED TO BE THE SPEAKER. ALL OF THESE STORIES OVER THREE AND A HALF YEARS.>>Anthony: THERE’S A LOT OF FRICTION BETWEEN MR. HOLLOWAY AND THE PREMIER. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT AFFECT CHES CROSBIE GOING TO LABRADOR AND MAKING INDIGENOUS ISSUES A TOPIC ON THE AGENDA, WHERE THIS WILL PLAY INTO THINGS. AS WE MENTIONED, THERE’S NO N.D.P. CANDIDATE IN THIS DISTRICT BUT THERE WAS SOME DISADVANTAGES THAT COFFIN DIDN’T GO UP TO LABRADOR. DWIGHT BALL WENT UP TO HAPPY VALLEY-GOOSE BAY AND THAT WAS NOT ON THE AGENDA THERE AND JIM LEARNING, THIS IS THE FIRST ELECTION HE HAS VOTED AND HE DID VOTE FOR HIMSELF.>>THE CHARITY STARTS AT HOME WITH POLITICS. WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT ONE MORE DISTRICT. HUMBER BAY OF ISLANDS THERE’S A SOAP OPERA BEHIND THIS ONE WITH EDDY JOYCE EJECTED FROM CAUCUS AND CABINET AND HE IS RUNNING AS AN INDEPENDENT.>>BRIAN DICKS IS RUNNING FOR THE LIBERALS. HE WAS THE CORNER BROOK WARD COUNCILOR WITH THE FIRST NATION AND THAT WAS ONE OF THE FIRST STOPS DWIGHT BALL MADE. HE WENT RIGHT UP TO EDDY JOYCE’S DISTRICT THERE AND I DON’T KNOW WHAT YOU WANT TO READ INTO THAT.>>WHAT I SAID EARLIER, ONE LITTLE NUGGET ABOUT EDDY JOYCE, HE MAY BE THE KING MAKER TONIGHT DEPENDING ON HOW CLOSE IT IS BETWEEN THE LIBERALS AND P.C.s IF THEY COME KNOCKING ON HIS DOOR.>>EDDY JOYCE SAID YOU AND HUTTON AND I WAS A BOXER AND YOU NEVER POINT OUT I’M A BASKETBALL COACH.>>IT’S NOT AS FUN.>>I’LL PREDICT THIS IS A SLAM DUNK FOR EDDY JOYCE TONIGHT.>>I SECOND THAT.>>THERE YOU HAVE IT. THE FRED HUTTON PREDICTION EARLY ON. STAY TUNED BECAUSE THE POLLS ARE GOING TO CLOSE SHORTLY. THIS IS NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR VOTES 2019 AND WHEN THE VOTES START COMING, YOU WILL SEE A LOT OF THEM STARTING OFF WITH SPECIAL BALLOTS WHICH HAVE BEEN COUNTED EARLIER. MORE COMING UP.>>THE FASTEST AGING POPULATION IN THE COUNTRY. A MAJOR OIL PRODUCER THAT IS NO LONER A HAVE NOT. A MULTI BILLION DOLLAR DAM GONE WRONG. A SITTING PREMIER CALLED AN EARLY ELECTION.>>WE MUST MOVE ONWARD.>>A CHALLENGER NAMED CROSBY.>>I WANT TO MAKE THIS A PROVINCE WHICH IS A BETTER PLACE TO LIVE WITH A BRIGHTER FUTURE.>>POTENTIAL PERIL FOR THE N.D.P.>>I FEEL THAT THIS CHANGE IS HAPPENING.>>AND A NEW PARTY.>>THE REASON I DECIDED I COULD NO LONGER BE INVOLVED IN THE PARTY SYSTEM AS IT STANDS TODAY, IS BECAUSE IT DOES NOT REPRESENT THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.>>THE VOTERS HERE BUCK THE NATIONAL TREND FOR CHANGE.>>BE REALISTIC. BE REAL, THIS IS WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE PROVINCE. BUT THEN TELL US HOW YOU WILL SOLVE IT.>>THE POLLS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR HAVE CLOSED AND WE’LL START TO GET RESULTS RIGHT AWAY. GOOD EVENING, I’M ANTHONY GERMAIN AND THIS IS NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR VOTES 2019. AND WELCOME TO LISTENERS JOINING US NOW ON CBC RADIO ONE. I WANT TO WALK YOU TO OUR GRAPHICS. YOU WILL SEE A DIFFERENT TYPE OF MINI BAR THERE AND IT’S NOT A MAY 24 APPLIANCE. THIS IS IS HOW WE’LL COUNT THE VOTES THAT SHOW THE CANDIDATES LEADING HORRY ELECTED FOR EACH PROSECUTE TEE AND YOU SEE THE NUMBERS POPPING IN. WHAT YOU ARE LOOKING A ARE THE RESULTS OF THE SPECIAL BALLOTS WE MENTIONED JUST BEFORE 8:00 ISLAND TIME. THOSE NUMBERS YOU SEE THERE, IS BASED ON HUNDREDS OF VOTES IN EACH DISTRICT THAT WERE DELIVERED A COUPLE OF DAYS AGO, THEY WERE COUNTED DAYS AGO. THESE ARE OLDER VOTES. SO 23 FOR THE LIBERALS, 14 FOR THE CONSERVATIVES RIGHT NOW AND TWO INDEPENDENTANCE AND ONE FOR NEW DEMOCRATS. THAT CAN CHANGE. ANOTHER NUMBER TO THINK ABOUT TONIGHT, 21, THAT IS THE NUMBER YOU NEED TO FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT HISTORICALLY IN THIS PROVINCE AND SO DEEP THAT NUMBER IN MIND AS WELL. 21. VERY EARLY BUT THEY ARE A STARTING POINT. SO LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT BONAVISTA WHERE YOU SEE NEIL KING WITH A LEAD OF FOUR VOTES AGAINST CRAIG PARTY. THAT COULD BE A CLOSE RACE TO WATCH TONIGHT. MANY PEOPLE THINK THAT ONE COULD BE A DISTRICT THAT WILL BE COUNTING TO LATE. LET’S COME BACK TO TOWN NOW. ST. JOHN’S WEST. A CABINET MINISTER SHE HAS AN 11 VOTE LEAD OVER SHANE SKINNER HERE IN HER DIRECT OF ST. JOHN’S WET. THE LIBERALS ARE 23 AND THE TORIES 14 AND INDEPENDENTS WITH 2 AND N.D.P. 1. STAYING WITH THE N.D.P., LET’S GO TO WHERE THE LEADER THERE, ALISON COFFIN IS HOPING TO WIN RIGHT NOW. GEORGE MURPHY WITH A LEAD ON THE BASIS OF THOSE SPECIAL BALLOTS. A LEAD OF 58 VOTES. THIS WOULD BE A BIG WIN FOR THE LIBERALS, IT WOULD BE A GAIN. ALISON COFFIN HOPING TO BE ELECTED AS MANY N.D.P. LEADERS HAVE STRUGGLED. ANOTHER KEY BATTLEGROUND FOR THE N.D.P., ST. JOHN’S CENTRE, THERE YOU SEE JIM DINN, 71 VOTES. THAT’S AN 11 VOTE LEAD OVER A STRONG CONSERVATIVE CONTENDER THAT’S EXPECTED TO BE A THROW-WAY BATTLE WITH SEAMUS O’KEEFE WITH THE LIBERALS. LET’S GO TO HUMBER BAY OF ISLANDS. EDDY JOYCE WITH A 148 VOTE LEAD. I DON’T WANT TO SAY THAT FRED HUTTON WAS CORRECT, BUT HE SHOWS WHY WE’VE HIRED HIM TO BE PART OF OUR TEAM TONIGHT. THE LIBERALS, 23 VOTES. THE CONSERVATIVES 14. INDEPENDENTS 2, NEW DEMOCRATS 1. AS I MENTIONED, WE’RE TALKING ABOUT VOTES THAT WERE COUNT AID WHILE AGO. THERE’S ONLY A COUPLE HUNDRED FOR EACH OF 40 DISTRICTS. THEY ALL CAME PILING IN AT ONCE. A LITTLE BIT OF SURPRISE BECAUSE WE THOUGHT EVERYTHING WOULD BE COUNTED AND SLOWLY DISTRIBUTED AND THIS WAS A LAST-MINUTE CHANGE. YOU ARE LOOKING AND GOING HOW CAN THEY HAVE THOSE NUMBERS SO QUICKLY THAT’S WHY YOU ARE SEEING WHAT YOU ARE SEEING. THOSE NUMBERS COULD CHANGE SO KEEP THAT IN MIND. IF YOU ARE DWIGHT BALL, 21 IS WHAT YOU NEED FOR A MAJORITY AND YOUR THOUGHTS.>>THE SPECIAL BALLOTS CAME OUT THIS TIME AROUND. THEY USED TO RELEASE THE ADVANCE POLLS. SO PROBABLY IN ABOUT 14 OR 15 MINUTES WE’LL SEE THOSE NUMBERS CHANGE AGAIN. THE POLLS THAT WERE PUT OUT INCLUDING LAST NIGHTS, WERE ALL OVER THE PLACE. LIKE ASHLEY’S WEATHER FORECAST. I WILL NOT –>>Anthony: I WILL TELL HER ABOUT THE WEATHER FORECAST.>>SHE SAID IT’S UP IN THE AIR. THAT’S WHAT THESE POLLS, THROUGHOUT THE ELECTION CAMPAIGN DELIVERED TO ME, THERE’S THE OF CONFUSION OUT THERE. WHAT WE’RE SEEING HERE RIGHT NOW IS PROBABLY GOING TO BE CLOSER TO WHAT THE END RESULT WILL BE.>>Anthony: WE’LL SEE IF THE NUMBERS SHIFT OR IF THEY DON’T, PETER COWAN IS A PERSON WHO IS GOING TO BE ON HIS FEET. HE IS GOING TO BE BUSY TONIGHT. HE IS BRINGING US THE RESULTS AS THEY COME IN.>>Reporter: THIS MAP IS THE FIRST LOOK AT THE CHANGE IN HOW THIS PROVINCE LOOKS. IT USED TO BE THAT PRETTY MUCH EVERYTHING FROM CENTRAL ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO LABRADOR WAS ALL RED NOW WE’RE SEEING SOME OF THESE AREAS THAT ARE CHANGING BLUE. WITH THOSE EARLY SPECIAL BALLOTS. LET’S LOOK AT SOME OF THE INDIVIDUAL DISTRICTS HERE THAT WERE GETTING THOSE EARLY RESULTS ON. STEVE CROCKER. A HEALTHY LEAD TO START OUT IN CARBONEAR TRINITY BAY de VERDE. WE HAVE THREE POLLS. WE’RE START TO GO GET SOME OF THE EARLY POLLING IN THAT DISTRICT AS WELL. CONCEPTION BAY EAST BELL ISLAND. DAVID BRAZZELL HAS HELD THIS DISTRICT STARTING OUT WITH A HEALTHY LEAD THIS EVENING OVER LIBERALS HAYDEN. TAKING A LOOK AT CORNER BROOK. THIS IS ANOTHER CABINET MINISTER, HE HAS ALMOST A 70-VOTE LEAD TO START OFF THE EVENING AND THOSE SPECIAL BALLOTS REPORTING IN SO IT’S A GOOD START FOR HIM ON THE NIGHT AND CONCEPTION BAY SOUTH, THIS IS A DISTRICT THAT HE HAS HELD AND RIGHT NOW THE EARLY RESULTS ARE SHOWING THAT HE IS DOING FAIRLY WELL. THIS IS LIBERALS STRONGHOLD TERRITORY AND ESPECIALLY SINCE THE P.C.s HAVE KICKED OUT MICHAEL.>>Anthony: THE SPECIAL BALLOT COUNT YOU ARE SEEING RIGHT THERE, THERE ARE 9,148 SPECIAL BALLOTS. THIS IS A GOOD START FOR THE LIBERALS. IF YOU COUNT IN THOSE BALLOTS AND THEY ARE PART OF A PATTERN AND THAT PATTERN STAYS. LET’S LOOK AT WHAT THE SPECIAL BALLOT VOTE SHARE REPRESENTS. AS FAR AS THE SHARE OF THE VOTE GOES, THIS IS A 49.5% VOTE SHARE FOR THE LIBERALS. 40.5 YOU SEE THERE FOR THE TORIES AND HISTORICALLY IN NEWFOUNDLAND, NO ONE GETS A MAJORITY WITH LESS THAN 45.5%. KEEPING THAT 21 SEATS IS IMPORTANT. YOU CAN’T GET THERE WITHOUT HAVING A VOTE SHARE OF 45.5 HIGHER AND YOU SEE IT RIT NOW BASED ON THESE BALLOTS IS JUST UNDER 50%. DWIGHT BALL AND THE LIBERALS OFF TO A GOOD START. WE’LL SEE IF THIS ACTUALLY HOLDS. LET’S SEE WHAT THIS WOULD MEAN AS FAR AS A CHANGE IN THE NUMBER OF SEATS TONIGHT. SO FOR SEAT CHANGE, THIS WOULD KNOCK THE LIBERALS DOWN SEVEN SEATS. IT’S IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER, DWIGHT BALL’S MAJORITY AND THE GOVERNMENT THAT CALLED THIS ELECTION HE COULD AFFORD TO LOSE NINE AND STILL HANG ON TO A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. IF THAT STAYS THERE AND THE LIBERALS LOSE SEVEN, AND EVEN WITH THE TORIES GAINING SIX, THE LIBERAL MAJORITY WOULD HOLD.>>INTERESTING TO POINT OUT THERE YOU SAW THE RACE IN CARTWRIGHT AND YOU SAW MICHAEL NORMORE. SO MUCH HAS CHANGED. IF HE IS ELECTED, HE WILL NOT BE A TORY. HE WAS KICKED OUT BY CHES CROSBIE.>>Anthony: DEPENDING ON CLOSE THAT IS.>>IT STRESSES. THESE ARE SPECIAL BALLOTS. TIME HAS PASSED. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE HOW THESE NUMBERS HOLD THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.>>JUST LOOKING AT 2015, 10,351 PEOPLE VOTED IN SPECIAL BALLOTS. WE’RE DOWN ABOUT 1200. THE NUMBER MAY SEEM LIKE A LOT. 9148 BUT IT’S DOWN 1200.>>WE’LL KEEP OUR EYE ON THE TOTAL VOTE. WE’LL SEE HOW WE DO TONIGHT.>>REMEMBER, THERE ARE 26 DISTRICTS THAT DO HAVE N.D.P. CANDIDATES THIS TIME — DON’T HAVE N.D.P. CANDIDATES THIS TIME AROUND.>>LET’S GET PETER COWAN BACK.>>WE WERE LOOKING AT DISTRICT WHERE WE’RE SEEING CHANGES HERE ON THE MAP. INTERESTING THINGS LIKE LABRADOR. CONSIDERED A FAIRLY SAFE LIBERAL AREA BUT THANKS TO THOSE EARLY SPECIAL BALLOT NUMBERS, P.C.s STARTING OUT WITH AN EARLY LEAD. LET’S LOOK AT SOME OF THE INDIVIDUAL DISTRICTS. SOME OF THESE WHERE WE’RE SEEING RESULTS THAT ARE SIMILAR TO WHAT WE SAW IN 2015. FOR EXAMPLE, TAKING A LOOK AT CAPE SAINT FRANCIS, THIS IS TORY TERRITORY SO KEVIN PARSONS NOT A SURPRISE THAT HE IS STARTING OUT WITH A STRONG LEAD FROM THOSE SPECIAL BALLOTS. BILL MATTHEWS IS STARTING THE NIGHT TONIGHT CAROLE ANNE HALEIGH. THIS IS PRETTY SAFE LIBERAL TERRITORY. ANDREW PARSONS STARTING OUT WITH A STRONG LEAD. 200 VOTES AHEAD THE P.C. CANDIDATE THERE AND BAY VERT GREENBAY, BRIAN WAR LOOKING WITH 136 VOTE LEAD OVER THE P.C.s, QUITE A HEALTHY START THERE AND THIS IS A DISTRICT THAT HE HELD AFTER THE LAST ELECTION AND HE IS ON A GOOD START AT LEAST IN ORDER TO HEAD THERE AGAIN. BETTY PARSLEY IS THE INCUMBENT BUT OTTENHEIMER HAD TO FIGHT FOR THE P.C. NOMINATION, THEY HAD A THOUSAND PEOPLE COME OUT FOR THAT NOMINATION RACE AND SOME PEOPLE ARE COMING OUT TO VOTE FOR HER TONIGHT.>>WE SHOULD DEEP IN MIND THE SPECIAL BALLOTS THAT 9,000 OR SO BUT STILL, ONE OF THE THINGS THAT WE’RE GOING TO FEATURE ARE RACES THAT ARE TOO CLOSE TO CALL. RIGHT NOW THERE ARE 30 TO 40 RACES WHERE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FIRST AND SECOND IS LESS THAN 100 VOTES. LET’S LOOK AT THE TOP SIX. LOOK AT THAT COLUMN ON THE RIGHT. FOR EACH OF THESE DISTRICTS, YOU HAVE A DIFFERENCE OF FEWER THAN 10 VOTES. THESE ARE VIRTUAL TIES AND SO WITH SO FEW VOTES IN, THESE ARE COIN TOSSES. WE HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL THE BALLOTS THAT WERE CAST TODAY AND WHEN THE ADVANCE POLLS AND THE NUMBERS COULD CHANGE. IT GOES QUICKLY. THE LIBERALS 23, THE PCs 14, TWO INDEPENDENTS.>>JUST TAKE A LOOK AT THE BOARD. WINDSOR LAKE, THAT’S CHES CROSBIE, THE BROTHER OF TOM OSBORNE, THEY HAVE PUT A LOT INTO THAT DISTRICT. THE OSBORNE NAME IS SYNONYMOUS WITH PROVINCIAL POLITICS AND THEY HAVE BEEN WORKING HARD. YOU ALSO HAVE TO THINK THAT CHES CROSBIE HAS BEEN TOURING THE PROVINCE. SO HOW MUCH TIME HAS HE REALLY HA IN HIS OWN DIRECT.>>TOM OSBORNE IS FACING ONE CANDIDATE THIS TIME AROUND. THE P.C. CANDIDATE HAD TO DROP OUT FOR FAMILY REASONS SO HE HAS TAKEN HIS OPINION INCLUDING MOM AND DAD AND UNCLES AND AUNTS AND SISTERS AND BROTHERS AND PUT IT INTO WINDSOR LAKE. THE OTHER WAS MOUNT SCIO WHERE ANOTHER LEADER IS RUNNING.>>FOR PEOPLE JOINING US LATE LOOKING AT THE BOARD, THE CBC ELECTION DESK WILL NOT MAKE PROJECTIONS ON THE BASIS OF SPECIAL BALLOTS. IF YOU ARE SAYING WELL THAT DIFFERENCE SHOULD BE CALLED, IT’S THE REASON. IT’S CERTAINLY NUMBER OF VOTES BETWEEN 9,000 AND 10,000 VOTES AND IT’S NOT TRUST WORTHY DATA ON WHICH TO MAKE A PROJECTION. SOME INTERESTING NUMBERS. I’M GOING TO INVITE BAILEY WHITE WHO HAS POLITICAL INSIDERS TO TALK TO.>>IT’S NOT ENOUGH TO MAKE A PROJECTION ABOUT IT BUT IT’S SOMETHING TO TALK ABOUT FOR SURE. APART FROM THESE TWO INDEPENDENCE, I DON’T KNOW IF ANYONE IS LOVING THE NUMBERS THEY’RE SEEING RIGHT NOW. WE’LL TALK TO OUR PARTY INSIDERS AND WE’LL START DOWN ON THIS END THIS TIME WITH JOHN SANDS FROM THE LIBERAL PARTY. 23 SEATS.>>IT’S VERY EARLY. OFTEN TIMES, SPECIAL BALLOTS IS A RECOGNITION OF ORGANIZATION. SO I THINK THIS BODES WELL FOR THE GOTB. GETTING OUT THE VOTE. TOO MUCH WAS MADE OF POLLS OVER THE CAMPAIGN. WE HAD TO LOOK AT IS THE EFFICIENCY OF THE VOTE. IN LABRADOR WE LOOKED AT FOUR SEATS. YOU COMPARE A THAT TO DIRECTS LIKE CAPE SAINT FRANCIS AND FERRY LAND, THOSE ARE 20,000. SOME SEATS HAVE A DIFFERENT ALLOCATION OF ELECTORATES IN THEM.>>THE N.D.P. FACED CHALLENGING GOING NO THIS ELECTION GETTING A FULL SLATE OF CANDIDATES AND A BRAND NEW LEADERS GOING IN. WITH ONE SEAT ON THE BOARD, WHAT WOULD YOU CONSIDER A SUCCESS TONIGHT?>>WELL, WE’D LIKE TO HOLD OUR TWO TRADITIONAL SEATS IN ST. JOHN’S. THAT WOULD BE A SUCCESS. PICKING UP ANY OTHER SEAT WOULD BE GREAT. SPECIAL BALLOTS ARE A SLICE OF THE ELECTORATE AND CAMPAIGNS MATTER. CAMPAIGNS ARE IMPORTANT AND WE’VE HAD A LOT OF TIME SINCE THOSE BALLOTS WERE CAST AND THE CAMPAIGNS THAT HAVE UNFOLDED. I’M REALLY LOOKING FORWARD TO SEEING HOW THIS UNFOLDS.>>KEITH, WHAT DO YOU THINK? 15 IS UP FROM WHAT THE P.C.s HAVE RIGHT NOW BUT NOT ENOUGH TO FORM A GOVERNMENT?>>A LOT OF THOSE WERE CAST MAYBE SEVEN TO 10 DAYS AGO AND WE’VE SEEN GROWTH IN OUR MOMENTUM OVER THE PAST WEEK AND DAYS. IT WILL BE STILL A VERY CLOSE RACE TONIGHT. WE ENVISION SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 18 TO 24 SEATS. I THINK IT’S STILL OBTAINABLE WITH WHAT WE’RE SEEING HERE. WE HAVE A LOT OF CLOSE RACES AND IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT. I THINK WE’VE HAD A GOOD START AND WE’RE LOOKING FORWARD TO WHAT TONIGHT BRINGS.>>EVERYBODY WOULD LIKE TO SEE JUST A LITTLE BIT MORE MAYBE AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES.>>IT WILL START QUICKLY. IF YOU NOTICE THAT KEITH HUTCHINGS POINTED OUT, THE TORIES ARE AT 14 AND THE LIBERALS AT 22. IT WITCHED WITH THE PCs WITH 15. WE’RE GETTING VOTES THAT WERE CAST TODAY. WE HAVE NINE DISTRICTS WHERE THE VOTES WERE CAST BY VOTERS ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR AND THEY’RE STARTING TO CORRECTEL INTO THE SYSTEM IS NOW WATCH WHAT HAPPENS ON THAT MINI BAR AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN WITH 23 LIBERALS, 14 CONSERVATIVES AND TWO INDEPENDENT AND ONE NEW DEMOCRAT SO AS WE GET THESE RESULTS, LET’S HEAD OVER AND TALK TO PETER IN FRONT OF OUR ELECTORAL MAP. LOTS OF PEOPLE WANT TO KNOW ABOUT THEIR INDIVIDUAL DIRECTS AND HOW THOSE EARLY NUMBERS ARE SHAPING UP. INTERESTING WE’RE SEEING SOME AREAS, FOR EXAMPLE, ON THE NORTHERN PENINSULA EARLY VOTES WERE BLUE BUT NOW IT’S GONE BACK RED. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF THOSE INDIVIDUAL DISTRICTS. FOR EXAMPLE, HARBOUR GRACE, THIS IS A REMATCH FROM 2015. LAST TIME GLEN LITTLEJOHN LOST AND NOW HE IS STARTING OUT WITH A LEAD. THIS IS DWIGHT BALL THE LIBERAL LEADER NOT A SURPRISE THAT HE IS STARTING OUT WITH A DECENT LEAD OVER THE P.C.s TONIGHT. GRAND FALLS-WINDSOR. AL HAWKINS IS STARTING WITH A GOOD LEAD. WE’RE GETTING SOME OF THOSE RESULTS TONIGHT. ALSO RESULTS FROM GANDER. ANOTHER CABINET MINISTER. THIS IS JOHN HAGY WITH 100 VOTES BUT IT’S STILL VERY EARLY ON. FORTUNE BAY, THIS WAS A DISTRICT THAT WAS HELD BY THE P.C.s AND INCUMBENT DECIDED NOT TO RUN. SHARLEEN WALSH IS RUNNING AND HAS A DECENT LEAD EARLY ON AHEAD OF ELVIS LOVELESS. THE LIBERALS WERE HOPING THEY MIGHT TAKE THIS ONE AND WE’LL HAVE TO SEE HOW THOSE RESULTS MOVE ON AS WE GET MORE AND MORE OF THOSE POLLS REPORTING.>>Anthony: WE’RE GETTING RESULTS FROM 20 OF THE 40 DISTRICTS. SO THE NEIGHBOURS ARE CHANGING. TWO INDEPENDENCE AND ONE NEW DEMOCRAT. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT VOTE CHANGE BY PARTY. SO FOR THE LIBERALS, JUST HOVERING AROUND 50%, THEY ARE DOWN MINUS SIX AND A HALF PERCENT FROM LAST TIME. THE CONSERVATIVES UP BY ALMOST 11% AND THE INDEPENDENT IS UP 3.9 BUT THERE IS A BIG STORY WITH THE N.D.P. THAT’S A DECLINE RIGHT NOW OF 9%. DOWN 9.1% POINTS. SO THAT IS SIGNIFICANT. IF YOU LOCK AT WHERE THAT VOTE IS SPLITTING, IF YOU WERE AN N.D.P. VOTER, AND THAT PARTY DIDN’T OFFER YOU SOMEONE TO VOTE FOR, WHERE WOULD THAT GO? SO THAT 9% IS FLIPPED AND WE’LL HAVE TO BREAK INTO THAT AND SORT OF TRY TO ANALYZE WHERE THAT VOTE WENT AS WE HAVE MORE TO TALK ABOUT. FRED AND ARIANA, YOUR THOUGHTS SO FAR?>>I JUST WANT TO MAKE A NOTE. THE LIBERALS THOUGHT THEY HAD A CHANCE TO PICK UP THAT SEAT. CHARLENE WALSH IS FROM SAINT AND TRACY PERRY GAVE HER HER BLESSING. SHE HELD THAT SEAT SINCE 2007 AND EARLY NUMBERS BUT SHE HAS A SUBSTANTIAL LEAD OVER ELVIS LOVELESS.>>THE NUMBER WITH THE POPULAR VOTE IS RIGHT IN LINE WITH THE DATA POLL WE REPORTED ON AND SO MUCH AS PEOPLE WANT TO CHANGE BUT THEY DIDN’T THINK DWIGHT BALL AND THE LIBERALS WOULD LOSE. THEY’RE DOWN BUT THEY’RE STILL HOLDING ON.>>THAT’S RIGHT. THE METHOD IS TO HOLD WHICH IS LIBERALS AT 24 WHICH IS THROW MORE. THAT WOULD BE A STABLE MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. THE CONSERVATIVES ARE 13 AND TWO INDEPENDENT CANDIDATES AND ONE NEW DEMOCRAT AS THINGS STAND RIGHT NOW. OBVIOUSLY FOR THE N.D.P., YOU’VE GOT TO BE CONCERNED IF YOU ARE NEW DEMOCRAT ONE IS BETTER THAN NONE.>>TWO INDEPENDENCE, EDDY JOYCE AND PAUL LANE. IT WASN’T EXPECTED TO BE A TIGHT RACE FOR JOYCE BUT CERTAINLY PAUL LANE HAD VERY GOOD OPPONENTS SO IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF WE STICK WITH THOSE TWO INDEPENDENCE OR HE TRAILS OFF THE BOARD.>>FORTUNE BAY AND IT’S A FOUR-VOTE MARGIN THERE BETWEEN ELVIS AND DARLENE NOW.>>IT COULD BE A RACE TO WATCH. LET’S GET OUT OF OUR ELECTION STUDIO AND HEAD TO CORNER BROOK WITH KATIE BREEN.>>Reporter: THAT’S RIGHT. THIS IS A TIGHT RACE SHAPING UP SO FAR. I’M JOINED BY DEVON RYAN. YOU ARE IN WITH THE LIBERAL PARTY. WHY DID YOU DECIDE TO GET INVOLVED?>>I HAVE GREAT FRIENDS INVOLVED AND YOUNG LIBERALS. IT WAS ALWAYS KIND OF AN INTEREST FOR ME TO GET INVOLVE OF THE IT WAS TIME TO GET INVOLVED.>>Reporter: YOU SAW THAT IN THE POLLS, COMING UP TO THIS ELECTION DAY THINGS WERE TIGHT. WHY DID YOU DECIDE TO STAY WITH THE PARTY AND STAY WITH THE LIBERALS?>>IT’S A GREAT GROUP OF PEOPLE. IT’S A GREAT ORGANIZATION I THINK AND THERE’S A LOT OF LEADERS IN THERE THAT REALLY INFLUENCE ME. I THINK THAT INFLUENCE MY DECISIONS BIG-TIME AND I LOVE THE ORGANIZATION AND IT’S BEEN FUN.>>Reporter: IT’S LOOKING LIKE 22 SEATS SO FAR. HOW ARE YOU FEELING.>>RIGHT NOW I’M OPTIMISTIC. IT’S GOING TO BE A TIGHT RACE THIS YEAR. I THINK WE WILL PULL THROUGH.>>Anthony: KATIE BREEN IN CORNER BROOK AND WE’LL HEAD BACK LATER AND IF THE NUMBERS STAY WHERE THEY ARE RIGHT NOW, IT WILL BE FOR DWIGHT BALL VICTORY SPEECH AT SOME POINT. THE LIBERALS AT 24. THROW MORE THAN REQUIRED FOR A MAJORITY. THE CONSERVATIVES AT 13. TWO INDEPENDENTS. WE’LL LOOK AT A SUMMARY FOR THE LIBERALS. WE’LL BREAK IT DOWN BY REGION. SO IT’S INTERESTING HERE, IF YOU LOOK, LIBERALS ARE DOWN EVERYWHERE AND I THINK A LOT OF PEOPLE MIGHT BE SURPRISED THEY’RE UP IN CENTRAL. A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE PREDICTED THE PUNDITS AND OTHER POLITICAL SCIENTISTS THAT CENTRAL COULD BE THE BATTLEGROUND. MAYBE THIS IS WHY THE LIBERALS WILL HANG ON TO A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT WHERE THOSE NUMBERS ARE RIGHT NOW BECAUSE THEY’RE DOWN EVERYWHERE ELSE. NINE POINTS UNTIL AVALON AND EIGHT AND A HALF IN EASTERN PORTION OF THE PROVINCE AND NINE AND A HALF IN LABRADOR. AND EVEN IN METRO AND INTO THE CENTRE OF THE TOWN -2.5 AND IN WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR PERHAPS THAT’S THE BIGGEST HIT FOR THEIR SUPPORT FOR THE PARTY AND 22.4%. YOU ARE SEEING THEM DOWN BUT OVER ALL YOU LOOK AT THAT SHARE OF THE VOTE AT 50.2% AND THAT’S WELL ABOVE WHAT A PARTY NEEDS TO FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT WHICH EXPLAINS THOSE NUMBERS YOU SEE AT THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN WITH THE LIBERALS WITH 24 AND ONE NEW DEMOCRAT. YOU LOOK AT THOSE NUMBERS, WHAT ARE THEY TELLING YOU ABOUT THE REGIONAL BREAKDOWN OF THE LIBERAL SUPPORT?>>IT’S SURPRISING IN CENTRAL. ALSO, TO HAVE LOST IN LABRADOR THAT IS ALSO ADVISING. AGAIN, EARLY DAYS. THERE ARE SOME REALLY GOOD RACES. YOU LOOK AT EXPLOITS, YOU HAVE JERRY DEAN WHO IS A ONE-TERM MHA. HE WAS CRITICIZED FOR NOT BEING VOCAL AND HE IS UP AGAINST A NEW CANDIDATE BUT HE HAS THE BACKING OF HIS BROTHER. THAT WILL BE ONE TO WATCH.>>LET’S LOOK AT SOME OF THOSE RACES. WE’LL GO BACK TO PETER COWAN.>>Reporter: LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT ONE AREA THAT HAS BEEN A LIBERAL STRONGHOLD AND THAT IS THE WESTERN PART OF NEWFOUNDLAND. IT’S PRETTY RED HERE, SEPTEMBER FOR THIS ONE PATCH OF GREY AND THAT’S EDDY JOYCE’S GREY HAIR. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF THOSE INDIVIDUAL DISTRICTS WHERE THE LIBERALS ARE DOING FAIRLY WELL TONIGHT ON THE WEST COAST. IT’S CLOSE HERE JUST 27 VOTES GIVING JOHN FIN A LEAD OVER TONY WAYCOME. TONY RAN FOR THE P.C. AND HE HAS A STRONG PROVINCIAL PROFILE BUT HE MOVED TO THE DISTRICT RECENTLY. NOT AS WELL-KNOWN AMONG PEOPLE IN THE DISTRICT SO THAT MAY BE GIVING JOHN FIN A LEAD TONIGHT. SCOTT RODE HAS A LEAD OVER TOM O’BRIEN. THEY THOUGHT THEY WILL FLIP IT SO WE’LL KEEP AN EYE ON THAT TONIGHT. THIS IS A CAB.MINISTER, CHRISTOPHER MITCHELLMOORE. SHELIA FITZGERALD HAD TO QUIT HER JOB WITH PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT IN ORDER TO RUN. SHE WAS HOPING THAT SHE WOULD BE ABLE TO TAKE THIS P.C. RIGHT NOW SHE’S TRAILING BY 100 VOTES BEHIND MITCHELL MOORE AND THE GREY SPOT, EDDIE JOYCE, 181 VOTES AHEAD OF BRIAN DICKS. THAT IS MORE THAN YOU WILL OTHER CANDIDATES PUT TOGETHER SO A CLEAR SIGN THAT EDDY JOYCE HAS A STRONG START.>>EDDY JOYCE, FRED HUTTON, WHAT YOU DO MAKE OF THE FACT HERE SAY PERSON TOSSED OUT OF CAUCUS, FRIEND OF DWIGHT BALL. IS THIS NEWS?>>NOT SURPRISED AT ALL. I KNEW THAT THE WRITING WAS ON THE WALL WHEN ARIANA BROKE THE STORY THE NINE MEMBERS OF HIS LIBERAL DISTRICT ASSOCIATION RESIGNED ON MASS TO SUPPORT HIM. AS THEY MOVED FORWARD THROUGH THIS ELECTION CAMPAIGN. IT WAS PRETTY MESSY FOR EDDY AND MANY PEOPLE MAY HAVE EVEN THOUGHT HE WOULDN’T COME BACK AROUND THIS TIME. AND JUST WALK AWAY. HE HAS HAD A 30-YEAR POLITICAL LIFE. HE RESIGNED HIS SEAT BACK IN 1989 WHEN THE LEADER OF THE LIBERAL PARTY COULDN’T WIN HIS OWN SEAT AND HE ALLOWED THE PREMIER. HE WAS KICKED OUT OF CABINET AND CAUCUS.>>THE NUMBERS HAVE CHANGED. THE LIBERALS NOW 25 AND THEY HAVE A 13-SEAT LEAD. ONE OF THEM BEING EDDY JOYCE AND WE HAVE ONE NEW DEMOCRAT ON THE BOARD. WHEN IT COMES TO THE NO ONE, TH, THEY COULD NOT MUSTER CANDIDATES ACROSS THE PROVINCE WHAT DOES THAT MEAN? WORE GOING TO GO TO TORY HEADQUARTERS WITH GARRETT BARRY WHERE HE HAS MET A VOTE WHO ARE IS A LIFELONG NEW DEMOCRATS BUT MADE A CHANGE BECAUSE, WELL, I’LL LET GARRETT EXPLAIN.>>THAT’S RIGHT. I’M HERE WITH MARIANNE WALSH. SHE’S BEEN A FACT WITH THE N.D.P. FOR 15 YEARS BUT TONIGHT WEARING TORY BLUE. TELL US WHAT HAPPENED.>>WELL, ACTUALLY, I WANTED TO RUN IN ST. JOHN’S QUIDI VIDI AND THEY YOU AND 100 OTHERS. SO I WAS LATE GETTING MY PAPERS IN SO WHEN DAVID PORTER DECIDED TO RUN, I DECIDED TO HELP HIM BECAUSE LORAINE DIDN’T WANT ME TO STAY AND NEITHER DID ALISON.>>Reporter: WAS IT HARD-WORKING WITH THE P.C.s AFTER SO LONG IN THE NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY.>>IT WAS THE BEST DECISION I’VE MADE. I’VE NEVER BEEN HAPPIER.>>Reporter: YOU ARE WEARING THE RIGHT COLOURS TONIGHT. WHAT DO YOU THINK OF THE EARLY RESULTS?>>IT’S CLOSE. I THINK THERE’S MORE POLLS COMING IN. IT WILL BE A BIG CHANGE. WHATEVER WAY IT HAPPENS, EVERYBODY WORKED HARD AND IT’S GOING TO BE GREAT.>>Reporter: WHAT IS YOUR FUTURE IN POLITICS? SAYING YOU JUST STARTED WORKING, CAN YOU IMAGINE YOURSELF HERE FOR A LONG TIME?>>YES, I WANT TO RUN. I DO WANT TO RUN IN DISTRICT AND BE A M.H.A. IT IS ON MY BUCKET LIST. HOPEFULLY, YES, THAT’S WHAT I WANT TO DO. I LOVE WHAT I DO AND I’VE DONE IT FOR SO LONG AND IT’S WHAT I ENJOY.>>Reporter: WE SPOKE EARLIER TODAY AND YOU TALKED ABOUT TRYING TO CONVINCE SOME OF YOUR FORMER COLLEAGUES, FRIENDS, THAT THE P.C.s WERE THE RIGHT AWAY TO GO FOR THEM. IS THAT A HARD PITCH FOR YOU?>>NO. MOST PEOPLE I DEALT WITH FOR 15 YEARS AND THEY KNOW ME AND HOW MUCH I HELPED THEM. I WILL HELP THEM AND THAT’S WHAT I DO.>>Reporter: THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME. BACK TO THE STUDIO.>>Anthony: LET’S CONSIDER THE NUMBERS AGAIN. THE LIBERALS THE 24. THE TORIES DOWN 11 WITH 13. INDEPENDENTS. IMPORTANT TO KEEP IN MIND, WE HAVE 12 DISTRICTS WHERE WE HAVE NOTHING CAST IN 12 DISTRICTS HAS BEEN COUNTED. THE OTHER IS THAT OUT OF THE 20 DIRECTS OF THE 40, THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN FIRST AND SECOND IS LESS THAN 100 VOTES. THAT’S WHY THE CBC ELECTION DESK THINKS IT’S TOO CLOSE TO CALL A GOVERNMENT LET ALONE A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. LET’S LOOK AT SOME OF THE TOP SIX CLOSE ONES. MOUNT SCIO, SEX. EXPLOITS SEVEN. WE FLIP IT AROUND, CHES CROSBIE DOWN BY NINE IN WINDSOR LAKE AND IN ST. JOHN’S CENTRE, JIM DINN JUST AHEAD OF JOHN GALGAY THERE WITH 15 VOTES AND HARBOUR GRACE, YOU’VE GOT 29 VOTES. THAT’S ONE OF THE REASONS BEING A LITTLE CAUTIOUS UNTIL WE GET MORE VOTES. RIGHT NOW 24 LIBERALS AND 13 P.C. AND TWO INDEPENDENTS AND ONE N.D.P.>>Reporter: EVERYONE WANTS TO KNOW HOW ARE THE LEADERS DOING TONIGHT? HOW ARE THEY DOING IN THEIR OWN DIRECT? LET’S LOOK AT SOME OF THE LEADERS AND SO FAR THE CONTINUE A GREAT START FOR SOME. THE ONE WHO DOES HAVE A GREAT NIGHT, SO FAR IS DWIGHT BALL. A HEALTHY LEAD NOW WITH EIGHT POLLS REPORTING IN HUMBER GROS MORNE. NOT A BIG SURPRISE HE IS DOING WELL TONIGHT. TAKING A LOOK AT WINDSOR LAKE. THIS IS A VERY CLOSE RACE. LOOK AT THAT. CHES CROSBIE JUST 16 VOTES AHEAD OF BOB OSBORNE. THE LIBERALS PUT A LOT INTO THIS DISTRICT. BOB’S BROTHER TOM WAS GOING DOOR-TO-DOOR AS THE FINANCE MINISTER, A WELL-KNOWN NAME. YOU’VE HAD SHELIA OSBORNE, THE MOTHER OF BOB OSBORNE. WE’LL KEEP AN EYE ON THAT CLOSE RACE THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND ST. JOHN’S EAST QUIDI VIDI, THIS IS NOT A GOOD START FOR ALISON COFFIN. THIS IS JUST THE SPECIAL BALLOTS. SHE’S IN THIRD PLACE. WELL BEHIND BOTH THE P.C.s AND GEORGE MURPHY RIGHT NOW WHO HAS A 58 VOTE LEAD AND FINALLY LOOKING THE THE N.L. ALLIANCE, PELLEY IN THIRD PLACE BEHIND THE LIBERALS AND P.C.s BUT AHEAD OF THE N.D.P. WE’LL KEEP AN EYE ON THAT AND SEE HOW WELL THE N.L. ALLIANCE IS ABLE TO GAIN SUPPORT. IT MAY NOT BE SEATS BUT WE’RE EXPECTING THEM TO PICK UP SUPPORT AS A BRAND NEW PARTY.>>Anthony: WE HAVE BREAKING NEWS. THERE’S ONE PERSON WHO WE CAN TELL YOU WE ARE PROJECTING CBC DESK HAS PROJECTED THAT DWIGHT BALL IS GOING TO HANG ON TO HIS SEAT IN HUMBER-GROS MORNE AND HE IS THE FIRST ELECTED CANDIDATE IN OUR ELECTION NIGHT COVERAGE SO DWIGHT BALL WILL BE HEADING BACK TO THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY AND RIGHT NOW HE HAS 25 LIBERALS, OR 24 COLLEAGUES TO CONSIDER, THE TORIES WITH 12 AND INDEPENDENCE 2 AND NEW DEMOCRATS ONE. DEER LAKE, MOST PEOPLE ASSUME, DWIGHT BALL A SHOE IN THAT PART OF THE PROVINCE.>>NO BIG SURPRISE THERE. THE BALL NAME IS HUGE IN THAT REGION. THEY OWN BUSINESSES OUT IN THE REGION AND THEY’VE BEEN AROUND FOR DECADES. AS A SITTING PREMIER, IT’S VERY UNUSUAL TO LOSE YOUR SEAT.>>CHESS CROSSBOW HAD TO CAMPAIGN ALL OVER THE PLACE. DWIGHT BALL IS SO COMFORTABLE IN HIS DISTRICT, HE COULD TRAVEL ALL THE OVER AND NOT WORRY. CHES CROSBIE MIGHT HAVE A DIFFERENT SITUATION ON HIS HAND THAN DWIGHT BALL.>>CROSBY IS NEW TO THE POLITICAL GAME. HE HAS THAT ADVANTAGE.>>WINDSOR LAKE WILL BE A RACE TO WATCH. BOB OSBORNE IS NEW TO POLITICS BUT OF COURSE HE IS NOT A POLITICAL NOVICE. HIS PORT WAS UNTIL THE LEGISLATURE AND THEY HAVE A WELL-OILED MACHINE TRAVELING AROUND WINDSOR LAKE KNOCKING ON DOORS.>>HIS UNCLE WAS THERE AS WELL.>>THAT’S RIGHT.>>THE THROW MEMBERS OF THE SAME FAMILY.>>SO A LOT OF SUPPORT IN THAT AREA AND AS YOU SAID, CHESS CHESCROSBIE HAS BEEN FOCUS NORTH OTHER AREAS. WHAT IT MEANS, WHO KNOWS. IT’S OBVIOUSLY A TIGHT RACE.>>IT’S NOT WORKING OUT THE WAY CHES CROSBIE WOULD LIKE WHEN YOU LOCK AT THOSE NUMBERS. LIBERALS 25 AND TORIES 12 AND INDEPENDENTS 2 AND NEW DEMOCRATS 1. LET’S TALK ABOUT THESE RESULTS AS THEY UNFOLD. BAILEY WHITE, YOU HAVE SOME PEOPLE WITH YOU WHO KNOW A LOT ABOUT CAMPAIGNS AND ELECTION NIGHTS. LET’S HEAR FROM THEM.>>Reporter: WE’VE GOT A POLITICAL INSIDERS HERE FROM ALL STRIPES. P.C. KEITH HUTCHINGS, AND JOHN FROM THE LIBERALS. WE’VE HEARD A LITTLE BIT ABOUT SOME OF THE RIDINGS TO POTENTIALLY WATCH OR THE DISTRICTS I SHOULD SAY. KEITH HUTCHINGS, WHAT DIRECT ART YOU ARE WATCHING?>>THERE WERE FIVE OR SIX. HARBOUR GRACE, GLENN LITTLEJOHN, JILLIAN PEARSON ON THERE. THERE WERE FOUR OR FIVE SEATS WE’RE DOING WELL IN. AS MORE POLLS IN WE SEE THEY’RE THERE TOO. WE WANTED TO GET TO THE POINT WHERE THERE WERE A LOT OF CLOSE RACES AND WE NEEDED THINGS TO FALL OUR WAY TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THAT. THERE’S A TO COME. THERE’S A SPACE IN 25 AND 12 FOR THE LIBERALS BUT I THINK HOPEFULLY YOU WILL SEE THAT GAP CLOSE AS WE SEE MORE POLLS COMING IN THE CLOSED DISTRICTS.>>I COULD PREDICT WHICH SEAT YOU WILL BE MOST CLOSELY LOOKING AT.>>I’LL DEFINITELY BE WATCHING ALL OF THE N.D.P. SEATS BUT PARTICULARLY ST. JOHN’S EAST QUIDI VIDI AND SAINT JOHNS CENTRE.>>HOW CHALLENGING WAS THAT SITE?>>WE MOUNTED A REALLY GOOD CAMPAIGN. WE FEEL WE DID THE GROUNDWORK. WITH THE NEW LEADERS AND WITH AN ELECTION, SNAP ELECTION CALLED AND WE HAD A LOT TO PREPARE FOR IN SHORT ORDER SO IT’S CHALLENGING. WE THINK WE’RE GOING TO PULL IT OUT.>>ANY PARTICULAR SEAT THAT YOU ARE NOT QUITE SURE HOW IT’S GOING TO GO?>>ONE OF THE MORE INTERESTING IS St. JOHN’S EAST QUIDI VIDI. IT’S ONE OF THE FEW PURE WAY RACES AND IT’S A PRIORITY FOR US.>>GEORGE MURPHY THE CANDIDATE FOR THE LIBERALS THERE. GOING UP AGAINST N.D.P.’S ALISON COFFIN. IT’S GOING TO BE A SNEAKER PERHAPS. SOME WELL-KNOWN NAMES ALL OVER THERE AND CERTAINLY WE WERE A LONG WAY FROM KNOWING HOW IT GOES.>>Anthony: IF YOU LOOK AT THOSE NUMBERS, IT’S GOING OPEN UP A LITTLE BIT BUT IF IT STAYS WHERE IT IS RIT NOW, THIS IS A GREAT NIGHT FOR DWIGHT BALL AND THE LIBERALS WHO CAN ARGUE THAT THEY HAD A TOUGH TIME IN THE LAST SESSION AS WHICH HEARD THROUGH THE CAMPAIGN BUT RIGHT NOW WITH 24 SEATS, THREE POSTMA JOR TEE. NOT MAJOR LOSSES. LET’S LOOK AT WHAT WE’RE SEEING HERE. LET’S CONSIDER THE VOTE SHARE TO BEGIN WITH AND THIS WILL GIVE YOU A SENSE, WE LOOK AT THE SHARE OF THE VOTE AND THE LIBERALS IN THAT MAJORITY TERRITORY. WE CAN SEE A SIGNIFICANT LEADEST CONSERVATIVES AND WE SEE THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN WITH 24. THE TORIES AT 42.6 AND THE NEW DEMOCRATS NOT FIELDING CANDIDATES AND WILL HIT THAT BUT THAT IS A VERY LOW SHARE OF VOTES FOR THE N.D.P. IT’S 3.8%. WHEN YOU ADD THE INDEPENDENCE AND OTHERS IT’S MORE OF THE SHARE. I GUESS THE INTERESTING THING FOR LIBERALS YOU TAKE A LOOK AT HOW THE SEAT CHANGE RESULTS IN ALL OF THIS AND IT’S NOT THAT BIG A HIT. WE MENTIONED THAT THE LIBERALS, BECAUSE OF THE SIZE OF THE MAJORITY COULD AFFORD TO TAKE UP TO NINE AND THEY’RE DOWN SIX AND THAT STILL GIVES THEM A RESPECTABLE MAJORITY IF THIS HOLDS. THE TORIES ARE UP FIVE BUT WHEN YOU DO THE MATH, THEY’RE DOWN BY 11 SO THEY’RE NOT CLOSE ENOUGH TO POSE ANY KIND OF THREAT TO THE LIBERALS OR THE COMBINED OPPOSITION. INDEPENDENCE WE’RE LOOKING AT TWO OF THEM ALONG WITH ONE NEW DEMOCRAT. AT THIS POINT IN OUR ELECTION COVERAGE, THERE ARE ONLY SIX LEFT THAT HAVE YET TO START REPORTING BALLOTS OTHER THAN THOSE SPECIAL BALLOTS, WHICH START OFF. THIS IS STARTING TO LOOK VERY GOOD FOR DWIGHT BALL AND THE LIBERALS.>>KEEPING A MAJORITY POSSIBLY. ONE OF THE THINGS WE SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON IS PELLEY AND THE N.L. ALLIANCE. WHAT EXACTLY IS SUCCESS? I WONDER FROM THIS PARTY. DOES HE EXPECT TO COME IN FIRST OR IS IT JUST TO TAKEAWAY VOTES FROM THE P.C.s?>>IF HIS MOTIVATION WAS TO HURT THE TORIES THEY CAN LOOK BACK IF THEY TOOK THEM. IT MIGHT TAKE A WHILE TO DRILL INTO THAT SPECIFIC DETAIL. OBVIOUSLY IF HE DOES WELL, HE CAN SAY HEY TAKE A LOOK.>>WE NEVER GOT THE ANSWER WHY HE LEFT AS PRESIDENT OF THE P.C. PARTY AFTER CHES CROSBIE STARTED OVER. IT WAS A CAUSE MORE SO AS HE PUT IT. I DON’T THINK IT WILL PLAY A BIG ROLE INTO TONIGHT’S ELECTION. FOR THE N.D.P. TO GO FROM 2011 TO THIS TONIGHT, BARELY HANGING ON, THIS IS A PROBLEM FOR THEM. NOT FOR ALISON COFFIN AS THE NEW LEADER BECAUSE SHE’S ONLY BEEN THERE A COUPLE OF MONTHS. SHE STILL HAS THE NEW CAR SMELL. THERE WAS A LOT OF TERM OIL GOING ON BEHIND THE SCENES AND IN THE LEAD UP, SHE DIDN’T REALISE SHE WOULD BE IN THIS POSITION THROW MONTHS AGO AND NOW SHE’S THE LEADER SCRAMBLING TO GET CANDIDATES TO RUN AND THEY ENDED UP WITH 14 OUT OF 40.>>THE PARTY MIGHT GIVE HER BREATHING SPACE. WE TALKED A LOT ABOUT THOSE NUMBERS. THE LIBERALS LEADING IN 24 AND THE P.C.s 13 AND NONE THE LESS DESPITE THE LIBERAL LEAD, SOME OF THEM ARE IN TROUBLE.>>Reporter: LET’S LOOK AT SOME OF THE DISTRICTS. THERE ARE LOTS OF BLUE PATCHES ALL OVER THIS MAP WHERE IT WAS RED IN 2015 AND ONE OF THOSE SURPRISES IS UP IN LABRADOR. THAT’S THE FIRST DISTRICT WE WANT TO LOOK AT BECAUSE RANDY EDMUNDS WAS CONSIDERED SAFE IN THIS DISTRICT, WELL-KNOWN, WELL LIKED M.H.A. BUT HE IS IN TROUBLE TONIGHT. LEILA EVANS DOESN’T LIVE THERE BUT SHE PROMISED TO MOVE THERE IF SHE WINS AND SHE HAS 140 VOTE LEAD RIGHT NOW WITH FOUR OF 10 POLLS REPORTING. HARBOUR MAINE. NOW SHE’S HAVING TO TRY AND FIGHT TO SAVE HER SEAT AND IT’S NOT LOOKING GOOD WITH THESE EARLY NUMBERS. HELEN CONWAY OTTENHEIMER WITH 300 VOTE LEAD AND SAINT GEORGES-HUMBER. THIS IS THE DISTRICT SCOTT REID HELD BUT IT’S A TIGHT RACE TONIGHT. THERE’S JUST 10 VOTES RIGHT NOW THAT HE IS BEHIND THE P.C. CANDIDATE TOM O’BRIEN. ST. JOHN’S WEST, THIS IS ONE WHERE IT’S A CABINET MINISTER IN TROUBLE. THE NATURAL RESOURCES MINISTER JUST 15 VOTES RIGHT NOW AHEAD OF SHANE SKINNER AND IF THE SKINNER NAME SOUNDS FAMILIAR, THAT’S THE SON OF SEAN SKINNER WHO WAS A FORMER M.H.A. SO ANOTHER POLITICAL FAMILIAR LOO THAT WE’RE KEEPING AN EYE ON HERE TONIGHT.>>THAT’S ONE OF THE TORIES WOULD LIKE TO GET TO TO KNOCK OFF A CABINET MINISTER BUT CODY A FORMIDABLE OPPONENT. LOOK AT THESE NUMBERS, SOME OF THE LIBERALS IN TROUBLE. YOU STILL CAN’T ESCAPE WHERE THE LIBERALS ARE IN A POSITION TO HANG ON TO A VERY RESPECTABLE LIBERAL MAJORITY TONIGHT.>>I SPOKE TO A VERY HIGH-RANKING LIBERAL TODAY AND HE SAID TO ME, THANK GOD THIS ELECTION CAMPAIGN IS NOT GOING TO LAST ANOTHER WEEK. THE MOMENTUM IS THERE. THEY WERE AFRAID. ONE OF THE THINGS THAT HE SAID WAS THAT AT THE DOORS, PEOPLE WOULD SAY LOOK, WE LIKE YOU BUT IT’S JUST — WE LIKE THE PARTY BUT IT’S A LEADERSHIP ISSUE AND I DON’T KNOW WHAT THAT IS, IT MAY BE THE BUDGET FROM 2016 TO HANGOVER THERE OR IT MAY BE THE BUDGET THEY DIDN’T PASS JUST BEFORE THEY CALLED THE ELECTION AND IT MIGHT BE A TRUST THING, I DON’T KNOW. HE SAID THE DOORS WERE CLOSED, NOT SLAMMED BUT JUST SAID THANKS BUT NO THANKS. IT’S NOT ENOUGH TO TOM THE GOVERNMENT.>>LIBERAL ORGANIZATION WAS STRONG AND ALSO IT WAS SMART NOT TO CALL IT DURING THE FALL ELECTION BECAUSE THERE’S A LOT OF NEGATIVE JUSTIN TRUDEAU. THEY SAY THEY GO TO DOORS AND THEY’RE HEARING I DON’T LIKE DWIGHT BALL AND JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND THAT WOULDN’T HELP IF THEY WAITED UNTIL THE FALL AND THEY HAD TWO OF THOSE COINCIDING AND YOU ARE BURNING OUT YOUR VOLUNTEERS AND YOUR ORGANIZERS. THE LIBERALS’ LEAD IS GAINING AND THEY ARE NOW AT 26 SEATS AND THE CONSERVATIVES 11 WITH TWO INDEPENDENCE AND THAT LOAN NEW DEMOCRAT. THAT IS BEYOND THE PEOPLE AND DWIGHT BALL A STERN MESSAGE AND THIS IS NOT MUCH MORE THAN SAY SLIGHT TAP ON THE RISK. THAT’S A RESPECTABLE NUMBER. EVEN DWIGHT BALL’S HARSHIST CRITICS SAY THIS IS A GOOD NIGHT FOR DWIGHT.>>THEY HAVE 26 SEATS NOW. NOT SO BAD. AGAIN, IF YOU LOOK AT THE POLLS THAT CAME IN, PEOPLE WANTED CHANGE AND THEY DIDN’T EXPECT THEM TO LOSE.>>THE FIRST ELECTED PERSON YOU SAW WAS DWIGHT BALL, WELL, IT’S A DUO. HIS FORMER BEST FRIEND AND IN HUMBER BAY OF ISLANDS, OUR DESK IS PROJECTED HIM TO BE ELECTED TONIGHT SO THAT INDEPENDENCE, THE TWO THAT YOU SEE DOWN IN THE BOX HE IS ONE OF THEM AND SLAM DUNK. WE’VE GONE FROM BOXING TO BASKETBALL AND EDDY JOYCE WOULD APPRECIATE THAT AND NOT A LOT OF NEWS AND YOU TAKE AT A LOOK AT THE DIFFERENTIAL AND YOU CALL AND YOU NEED A POTHOLE FILLED AND HE MAGICALLY.>>HE IS THERE.>>HE SHOWS UP WITH WINGS.>>THAT’S THE KIND OF FUN.>>THERE’S A FLOOD.>>EDDY JOYCE THERE AND OF COURSE, IF WE WERE IN A TIGHTER RACE, THE EXISTENCE OF INDEPENDENCE AND ONE OR TWO DEMOCRATS AND RIGHT NOW DWIGHT BALL AND THE LIBERALS ARE NOT GOING TO NEED THE SUPPORT OF ANYBODY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OR THE DOUBLE DIGITS THAT IS A VERY RESPECTABLE SOLID MAJORITY GOVERNMENT THAT WE’RE HEADED TO IF THAT STAYS WHERE IT IS.>>THE BIG QUESTION IS IF IT DOES STAY THIS WAY, WHAT WILL HAPPEN WITH CHOSE CRES BEE AND IT’S BETTER ASKED TO KEITH HUTCHINGS BUT I MEAN WHAT DOES THAT MEAN GOING FORWARD IF YOU STAY AT 11 SEATS?>>YOU LOOK AT THE YEAR CHESS HAS DONE FOR THE PARTY. HE GOT ELECTED WITHIN A YEAR AND WE REBUILT THE PARTY AND WE HAD A GOOD CAMPAIGN AND CONSIDERING THE TIME. NOT ABIDING BY THE ELECTION DATE. THE PARTY IN RESPECT TO CHESS, WHATEVER HAPPENS HERE TONIGHT, HE HAS DONE A HELL OF A JOB OVER THE PAST YEAR AND A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME TO GET US TO WHERE THE NUMBERS ARE SHOWING 40% IN REGARDS TO POPULAR VOTE WHICH IS AROUND 30 IN 2015. SO HE HAS DONE A LOT OF WORK. IT’S A LINE YES BUT WE’VE INCREASED OUR NUMBERS FROM WHERE WE WERE TOO AND I THINK THAT WILL UNRAVEL OVER THE NEXT YEAR OR TWO. AS A PARTY WE’D LOVE TO WIN AND LOVE TO BE CLOSER THAN WHAT WE WERE BUT TO LOOK CLOSER TO A YEAR AGO, IT’S STILL IMPRESSIVE IN TERMS OF WINNING MORE SEATS.>>WE TAKE A LOOK AT THESE NUMBERS AND THE ELECTION DESK NOT WILLING TO MAKE A PROJECTION BECAUSE OF THE RACES WE MENTIONED A COUPLE TIMES ON OUR SPECIAL COVERAGE. LIBERALS AT 26. P.C.s THE 11 AND WHY ISN’T THIS BEING CALLED. THERE ARE SIMPLY TOO MANY CLOSE RACES FOR THE ELECTION DESK TO MAKE A CALL. LET’S LOOK AT THIS TOO CLOSE TO CALL. MOUNT SCIO, ZERO VOTES SEPARATING THEM. THAT IS GOING TO BE ONE THAT COULD COME DOWN UNTIL THEY SCRAPE THE LAST BALLOT BOX THEY’VE GOT. LOOK AT THE LEAD AND LIBERALS LEADING IN THOSE TOP FIVE. 1, 2, 3, 4. AND AGAIN, THOSE ARE DIFFERENCES OF LESS THAN 40 VOTES FOR THOSE AND YOU SEE WINDSOR LAKE, CHESS CROSSBOW NOW ON TOP BY 60 VOTES AND YOU GOT GRAND FALLS-WINDSOR AGAIN A TIGHT RACE THERE. THAT’S ONE OF THE REASONS THAT THE DESK IS RELUCTANT TO MAKE A CALL. THEY’RE RATE ISING FOR MORE VOTES BECAUSE WE HAVE THE CONFIDENCE TO LOW AIR A GOVERNMENT SO THERE YOU HAVE IT, LIBERALS AT 26, TORIES 11. 2 INDEPENDENTS AND ONE NEW DEMOCRAT. IF YOU LOOK AT THE NUMBERS, FRED AND ARIANA, THAT NUMBER SEEMS TO SOLIDIFY IT. A HEFTY MAJORITY. THIS WILL BE A GAIN OF FOUR WHICH FOR A RELATIVELY SMALL CAUCUS, BUT IT CERTAINLY NOT THE KIND OF NIGHT THAT CHES CROSBIE WANTED WHEN HE TRIED TO PRESENT HIMSELF. THE EXPRESSION WAS A NEW BROOM. I DON’T THINK PEOPLE ARE SWEPT BY THIS BROOM.>>WHY THINK IT’S A HUGE SURPRISE FOR THE POEM WHO THE PO ORGANIZED. IN THE YEAR-AND-A-HALF LEAD UP TO THIS PARTY, THEY WERE IN TROUBLE. THEY DIDN’T HAVE THE ORGANIZATION BEHIND THE SCENES WHO WANTED TO PUT THE TIME AND ENERGY IN. I HAD PEOPLE SAY LOOK, WE’LL TAKE A PASS ON 2019 AND WE’LL COME BACK IN 2023. BECAUSE THAT HISTORICAL POLITICAL PENDULUM IN NEWFOUNDLAND GOES FROM LIBERAL BACK TO P.C. TO LIBERAL BACK TO P.C. IT’S ONLY BEEN FOUR YEARS. THAT BUDGET OF 2016, PEOPLE WANTED DWIGHT OUT THEN.>>PEOPLE FORGET A LOT IN THREE YEARS.>>PETER COWAN SHOWED YOU A MAP OF LABRADOR. WE’RE GOING TO GO TO LABRADOR RIGHT NOW BECAUSE PERRY TROOPER HAS JOINED JACOB BARKER AND IT’S INTERESTING TO GET THEIR TAKE. HERE YOU ARE WITH A MAN WHO WAS A SPEAKER.>>I’M HERE WITH PERRY TRIMPER. I KNOW EARLY POLLS WERE SHOWING PERRY DOING WELL. WHAT DO YOU FEEL IN THIS MOMENT RIGHT NOW AS WATCH THE RESULTS COMING IN.>>SO FAR SO GOOD. YOU KNOW ONE WILL NOT EXHALE UNTIL THIS DECISION DETERMINED. WE HAD FOUR WEEKS. WE WORKED AS HARD AS WE COULD AT THE DOORS. SOME OF THE STREETS THAT WE DIDN’T GET TO YOU ARE A REFLECTION OF OUR WEAKER SHOWINGS. STAY TUNED.>>WE’RE WATCHING THE RESULTS COME IN FOR ALL OF LABRADOR. WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT WHAT YOU SEE ABOUT THE OTHER DIRECTS COMING IN HERE.>>IT’S FASCINATING. YOU HEAR DIFFERENT RUMOURS ABOUT MAYBE IT’S CLOSER THAN YOU THINK OR MAYBE IT’S MORE OF A MARGIN THAN YOU THINK AND WITH ALL THESE SOURCES OF INFORMATION, IT’S FACE UNEIGHTING THAT FASCINATING.>>IT’S NO LONGER A. SOMETHING GOOD IS HAPPENING. IT’S FASCINATING. I’M GLAD YOU ARE HERE.>>THERE YOU GO. WE’RE WAITING FOR THE FINAL RESULTS. LOTS OF EXCITEMENT HERE.>>WE’RE GLAD YOU ARE THERE AS WELL. JACOB BARKER IN HAPPY VALLEY-GOOSE BAY. AND THE LIBERALS ARE DOING AS WELL AS THEY ARE RIGHT NOW THIS MEANS THERE ARE SOME LIBERAL CANDIDATES –>>IT’S BEEN FASCINATING TO WATCH THIS MAP OVER THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT AND SEE ALL THE DIFFERENT AREAS AND WE’RE SEEING THIS BIG POCKET OF BLUE IN THE CENTRE OF THE ISLAND AND IT’S A SEA OF RED AND LET’S LOOK AT SOME OF THOSE LIBERALS AND LIBERALS ARE DOING QUITE WELL TONIGHT AND REFLECTED IN THAT 25 NUMBER THAT YOU ARE SEEING DOWN BELOW AND WE CAN PROJECT LISA — STEVE CROCKER IS HEADED BACK TO THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. ANOTHER CABINET MINISTER WHO WILL BE BACK SITTING AS AN M.H.A. AND IN GANDER, JOHN HAGUE’ WILL BE BACK RE-ELECTED AND HE WAS THE HEALTH MINISTER AND HE HAS RIGHT NOW A 500 VOTE LEAD ON P.C. RYAN WAGG, AND ANOTHER CABINET MINISTER WHO IS DOING WELL TONIGHT IS CHRISTOPHER MITCHELLMOORE AND HE HAS ALMOST A 300 VOTE LEAD AHEAD OF SHELIA FITZGERALD AND NOT A PRIZE THAT ANDREW PARSONS IS HOLDING ON TO THAT SEAT WITH QUITE A HEALTHY LEAD BUT WE ONLY HAVE FOUR OF THE 32 POLLS REPORTING SO IT IS ONE OF THE REASONS THE DECISION DESK HASN’T DECLARED HIM ELECTED TONIGHT.>>SOME INTERESTING RESULTS. N.D.P. I WANT TO LOCK AT A PARTY SUMMARY BECAUSE WHAT IT WILL TELL WHERE SOME VOTES WENT. IF YOU LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED TO THE VOTE FOR THE NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY, FAIRLY CATASTROPHIC WITH DROPS OF 9% IN THE AVALON, 7.2% IN EASTERN LABRADOR. 3.6 IN LABRADOR AND IT’S DOWN EVERYWHERE FROM WHERE THEY WERE AND IT MAY BE THAT ONE OF THE REASONS YOU ARE SEEING THOSE LIBERALS STRONG BECAUSE OF THE ABSENCE OF A NEW DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE IN THOSE DISTRICTS THEY MAY BE SAVING THE LIBERAL MAJORITY. IF YOU THINK OF>>TERRY ROBERTS IS COVERING THE NEW DEMOCRATS AND HE IS THERE WITH THE PRESIDENT OF THE PARTY SHALL LYNN MORE. WHAT’S THE MOOD LIKE THERE?>>WELL, I’M STARTING TO HEAR CHEERS HERE TONIGHT BECAUSE THERE ARE POSITIVE RESULTS AND I’M HERE WITH LYNN MORE WHO IS THE PRESIDENT OF THE N.D.P. AND I WANT TO GET HER TO GIVE AN ASSESSMENT OF WHAT YOU HAVE BEEN SEEING SO FAR?>>WE’RE EXCITED. JIM DINN HAS A SOLID LEAD AND ALISON IN SECOND AND JORDAN BROWN IS IN A STRONG SECOND IN LAB WEST.>>TELL US WHAT IS YOUR STATE OF MIND? YOU CAME HERE TONIGHT, 14 CANDIDATES IN A PROVINCE WHERE WE HAVE 40 DISTRICTS. YOU MUST HAVE MIXED FEELINGS.>>WE WERE DISAPPOINTED THAT THE ELECTION WAS CALLED SO MUCH AHEAD OF TIME. WE BELIEVE THE ELECTION LAW PROMOTED DEMOCRACY AND WE WERE DISAPPOINTED TO SEE IT WASN’T FOLLOWED AND OBVIOUSLY WE WOULD MUCH RATHER THAT 40 CANDIDATES THAN 14. WE HAVE HAD A LOT OF POSITIVE ENERGY IN THE CAMPAIGNS THAT WE ARE RUNNING AND WE’VE HAD A LOT OF GOOD FEEDBACK ON THE DOORS AND A LOT OF VOLUNTEERS WHO ARE HELPING US OUT.>>WHAT WOULD YOU CATEGORIZE AS SUCCESS?>>IF WE GOT THREE SEATS TONIGHT, I WOULD BE VERY HAPPY IF WE INCREASED OUR NUMBERS IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY THEN WE CAN DO A LOT MORE FOR THE PEOPLE OF THE PROVINCE.>>JUST DESCRIBE THE CAMPAIGN, THE QUALITY OF THE CAMPAIGN YOU WERE ABLE TO RUN. ONE OF THE THINGS, THERE WAS NO NEP PRESENCE, NO TRAVEL TO LABRADOR WEST. JUST GIVE US AN ASSESSMENT OF THE QUALITY OF THE CAMPAIGN THEY WERE ABLE TO PERFORM?>>WELL, WE HAD FULL FLEDGED CAMPAIGNS. WE HAD CAMPAIGN MANAGERS AND VOTER CONTACT PEOPLE AND WE HAD A NUMBER OF VOLUNTEERS THAT WERE GOING DOOR-TO-DOOR AND IT’S BEEN EXCITING FOR ME TO SEE HOW THE INSIDE OF A CAMPAIGN LOOKS AND TO HAVE A BIG LEARNING EXPERIENCE. WITH THE RESOURCES WE HAVE AND THE TIME THAT WAS MADE AVAILABLE TO US WE DID THE BEST THAT WE COULD DO AND I’M VERY, VERY PROUD OF ALL OUR CANDIDATES AND OUR LEADER ESPECIALLY. SHE’S A PERSON THAT INSPIRES HOPE AND SHE’S A BALL OF ENERGY. SHE’S GOT A LOT OF SMARTS AND I REALLY HOPE THAT THE PEOPLE OF ST. JOHN’S EAST QUIDI VIDI SEE FIT TO HAVE HER SERVE IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY.>>WHEN YOU RUN 14 CANDIDATES OUT OF 40, THERE’S NO REALISTIC CHANCE OF FORMING A GOVERNMENT. SO I GUESS THE QUESTION IS HOW DO YOU BECOME RELEVANT ONCE AGAIN AS A PARTY? IT WASN’T TOO LONG AGO, IF YOU GO BACK TO 2011-2012, YOU WERE POLLING THE NUMBER ONE PARTY. YOU WERE TOPS IN THE POLLS, HOW DO YOU GET TO THAT LEVEL AGAIN?>>WELL, WE HAVE A LOT OF REBUILDING TO DO. IT’S IMPORTANT FOR PEOPLE TO KNOW THE N.D.P. DOES INCREDIBLY GOOD WORK WITH THE NUMBERS THAT WE HAVE AND WHICH WORK RIGHT NOW, I REPRESENT PEOPLE WHO WERE SEXUALLY ASSAULTED AS CHILDREN AND THE REASON I’M ABLE TO DO THIS WORK IS BECAUSE JACK HARRIS PUSHED TO HAVE THE LIMITATIONS ACT AMENDED AND WE HAVE A FAMILY VIOLENCE INTERVENTION COURT THAT EXISTS MEANINGFUL RESPONSE TO TEAM WHO ARE VICTIMS OF DOMESTIC VIOLENCE AND WE HAVE THAT BECAUSE OF THE WORK THE N.D.P. DID TO REINSTATE WHEN THE TORY GOVERNMENT TOOK IT AWAY. WE DO A LOT OF THINGS. LEGISLATION HAS BEEN IMPROVED BECAUSE THE N.D.P. COMMENTS IN THEIR NOT ESTIMATES BUT THERE IS SOME SESSION THEY HAVE IN COMMITTEES AND SO WE HAVE STRONG PARLIAMENTARIANS AND WE HAVE THE INTERESTS OF THE PEOPLE AND I’D LIKE TO SAY THAT CHES CROSBIE WILL LIKELY OWN APARTMENT BUILDINGS.>>PRESIDENT OF THE N.D.P. THANK YOU VERY MUCH, BACK TO YOU IN THE STUDIO.>>I APPRECIATE THAT. GOOD TO HEAR FROM THE PRESIDENT OF THE N.D.P. FOR HER THOUGHTS. NUMBERS SLIGHT CHANGES IN THE NUMBERS RIGHT NOW. THE LIBERALS LEADING IN 23 AND THE CONSERVATIVES ARE BACK BY NINE AND THEY ARE AT 14 AND THE INDEPENDENTS HAD TWO. EDDY JOYCE IS PROJECTED TO BE ELECTED AND WE HAVE ONE NEW DEMOCRAT JIM DINN. THE NUMBERS ARE TIGHTING UP A BIT. IT’S ONE SEAT WHAT IS ABOVE A MAJORITY. THE CONSERVATIVES AT 15. THE GAP BETWEEN THE TWO PARTIES AT SEVEN RIGHT NOW. THIS IS A FEATURE OF WHAT WE TALKED ABOUT EARLIER. THE CLOSE RACES IN PLAY AND THEY COULD FLIP BACK AND FOURTH A COUPLE OF TIMES BEFORE THAT VOTE HARDENS UP TO GIVE US A FINAL RESULT TO MAKE A PROJECTION ON. YOU ARE SEEING THE NUMBERS AND YOU HEARD WHAT LYNN MORE HAD TO SAY ABOUT THE N.D.P. YOUR THOUGHTS ABOUT THE NUMBERS AT THIS POINT IN EVENING?>>THEY HAVE A LONG WAY TO GO TO GET BACK TO 2011?>>THE N.D.P.>>IT’S ALMOST TOO BAD BECAUSE THEY HAD SOME CHARTERS AND I DON’T KNOW WHAT HAPPENED. LORAINE TOOK THAT TRIP AND THE LETTER WAS WRITTEN. YOU DID THE INCOMPETENT VIEW WITH GEORGE MURPHY. HE IS DOWN IN THAT DISTRICT LEADING. IN THAT AREA SO IT’S GOING TO BE INTERESTING TO SEE HOW THE N.D.P. IS RELEVANT AGAIN.>>AS YOU WATCH THE NUMBERS, THE SWITCH, YOU’VE SEEN A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE LAST COUPLE OF MINUTES AND I WANT TO EXPLAIN WHY THE LIBERALS ARE 22, TORIES AT 15 AND THE DIFFERENCE IS SEVEN NOW AND THAT IS DIFFERENT THAN IT WAS SAY FIVE MINUTES AGO. WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT VOTE SHARE AGAIN. WE GOT A SUDDEN FLOURISH OF VOTES. THE SHARED VOTE HAS EX DOWN FOR THE LIBERALS AND GONE UP FOR THE CONSERVATIVES. THE LIBERALS AT 46.5% RIGHT NOW AND JUST ONE FULL POINT ABOVE WHAT YOU NEED FOR A MAJORITY AND THE TORIES ARE UP SO THAT’S ONE OF THE REASONS YOU SAW THAT CHANGE. A BUNCH OF VOTES CAME IN AND IT’S GIVEN THE P.C.s A JUMP IN TERMS OF SHARED THE VOTE WITH THE LIBERALS COMING DOWN ABOVE 50% NOT SO LONG AGO. SOME HAVE COME IN A LARGE QUANTITY. THE LIBERALS AT 22 AND TORIES AT 15 AND TWO END PENDS AND ONE NEW DEMOCRAT.>>THIS IS WHY IT’S TOO CLOSE TO CALL.>>I’M GOING TO STOP YOU THERE. I WANT TO GO TO PETER COWAN.>>Reporter: IT’S NOT TOO LONG AGO THE WE’LL CENTRAL AREA WAS RED AND NOW THERE’S A BIG BLUE BULL’S EYE OVER CENTRAL NEWFOUNDLAND BECAUSE THERE ARE DISTRICTS THE LIBERALS DID REALLY WELL IN LAST TIME AND TONIGHT THEY’RE IN TROUBLE. LET’S LOOK AT HOW SOME OF THOSE NUMBERS ARE SHAPING UP. FOR EXAMPLE, AL HAWKINS 68 VOTES BEHIND. TAKING A LOOK SAT EXPLOITS. THIS IS QUITE A HEALTHY LEAD. THIS IS REVENGE BECAUSE JERRY DEAN BEAT CLAYTON LAST TIME AND THIS TIME IT’S HIS BROTHER WHO HAS COME BACK AND JERRY DEAN IN TROUBLE. MARK BROWNE IS IN TROUBLE. HE IS THE INCUMBENT. HE RAN INTO CONTROVERSY IN THIS CAMPAIGN. IT’S BEEN CALLED STATE GATE OVER TICKETS THAT WERE PURCHASED FOR A SKATING COMPETITION AND RIGHT NOW HE IS JUST 40 VOTES BEHIND JEFF DWYER WITH THE P.C.s. IN TERRA NOVA, THIS IS ANOTHER CLOSE RACE. LLOYD PARROT JUST 65 VETS VOTESS AHEAD. YOU CAN SEE WITH SOME OF THESE CLOSE RACES, THEY’RE FLIPPING BACK AND FOURTH. THAT MAP IS CHANGING A LOT OVER THE COURSE OF THE EVENING SO WORE GOING TO KEEP AN EYE ON IT.>>LET’S KEEP OUR EYE ON AN INDEPENDENT. WORE GOING TO THE WEST COAST TO SEE IF WE CAN SPEAK WITH THE ELECTED M.H.A., EDDY JOYCE. CONGRATULATIONS.>>THANK YOU, VERY MUCH. IT’S BEEN A GREAT NIGHT. IT’S A GREAT UP FOR ALL THE PEOPLE IN HUMBER BAY AND ALL THE ELECTION TEAM THAT WORKED SO HARD TO ENSURE THAT WE GOT A VICTORY HERE TONIGHT.>>GIVEN WHAT HAPPENED IN THE LAST SESSION WITH YOU BEING EXPELLED FROM CABINET AND CAUCUS, AND CERTAINLY SENSE OF ANGER WITH DWIGHT BALL, HOW DOES IT FEEL TO WIN TONIGHT?>>FIRST OF ALL, I LEFT CAUCUS ON MY OWN BECAUSE I DIDN’T WANT TO PUT MY FELLOW CAUCUS MEMBERS TO A VOTE WHICH I PROBABLY WOULD HAVE WON. YOU KNOW, AS I SAID BEFORE, IT WAS A TOUGH TIME FOR ME. MAINLY FOR MY FAMILY. THE TRUTH IS YET TO BE TOLD AND IT WILL BE TOLD. ONCE AGAIN, AS I SAID BEFORE, THE PEOPLE THAT REALLY COUNT FOR ME ARE THE PEOPLE IN HUMBER BAY EXPRESSED THE WORK THAT THEY HAVE DID NOT DOING FOR THE LAST FOUR YEARS AND THEY KNOW I SPEAK UP FOR THE PEOPLE OF HUMBER BAY AND SO THEY’RE SPEAKING UP FOR ME TONIGHT AND I’M SO PROUD AND I’M SO HAPPY AND I’M SO FORTUNATE TO BE SUCH A GREAT DISTRICT WITH A GREAT BUNCH OF PEOPLE.>>ONE MOR QUESTION, THE LIBERAL PARTY HAS BEEN SUCH A PART OF YOUR LIFE. WHEN YOU SEE THE LIBERALS WITH 22 SEATS, ONE ABOVE A MAJORITY. THE TORIES ARE 15, WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THE MESSAGE THAT THE VOTERS ARE SEND TO GO DWIGHT BALL AND THE LIBERALS?>>WELL, THERE ARE ISSUES THAT CAME UP DURING THE ELECTION THAT EVEN ME AS A LIBERAL MAKE AN ANNOUNCEMENT OF FUNDING. AND NO BUDGET PLAN. IT’S THE KIND OF THING THAT IF YOU ARE GOING TO PASS A BUDGET, PASS A BUDGET. BUT WHEN YOU START MAKING ANNOUNCEMENTS IT SHOWS DESPERATION. WE WANT A NEW DIRECTION. WE WANT A NEW PATH. WE WANT SOMEONE WHO IS GOING TO BE THERE AND UP FRONT NO MATTER WHAT THE ISSUE IS. BE UP FRONT WITH THE PEOPLE AND I THINK THE LIBERALS GOT THIS LOUD AND CLEAR TONIGHT AND A LOT OF GREAT LIBERALS IN THAT CAUCUS. A LOT OF GREAT LIBERALS. BUT THEY’RE SAYING TO DWIGHT BALL, WE WANT A NEW DIRECTION AND YOU MIGHT WIN THE GOVERNMENT BUT WE WANT TO BE EVERYTHING THAT IS GOING TO BE DONE, BE UP FRONT AND BE HONEST WITH THE ELECTORATE.>>MR. JOYCE, APPRECIATE YOUR TIME. I’LL LET YOU GO AND CELEBRATE. THANK YOU, VERY MUCH. THANK YOU ALL VERY MUCH. HAVE A GOOD NIGHT.>>YOU TOO.>>THAT’S EDDIE JOYCE, HAPPY M.H.A.>>HE DOESN’T LOOK SURPRISED AT ALL.>>NO. [LAUGHTER]>>I’LL TAKE THE CALL, WHATEVER. [LAUGHTER]>>PETER –>>THE LIBERALS AT 22 AND THE CONSERVATIVES WITH 15 MANY OF THERE’S A CHANGE IN TERMS OF THE LIBERAL LEAD EVEN THOUGH THEY’RE IN MAJORITY TERRITORY. I’LL GET BAILEY TO START THE DISCUSSION.>>LET’S TALK ABOUT SOME OF THE MESSAGES THAT ARE BEING SENT. WE HAVE TWO INDEPENDENTS. IF DWIGHT BALL TAKES THE STAGE, IT’S NOT A LANDSLIDE. WHAT DOES HE SAY TO THE REST OF US WHO GET TO EX BACK AROUND AGAIN?>>THE BIG QUESTION FOR ME IS WHETHER OR NOT THERE’S ANY FRIED CHICKEN IN THAT ROOM. [LAUGHTER] I’M GOING TO GUESS THERE IS. HE LOCKS HAPPY. I THINK DWIGHT BALL SAID IN 20915 CAMPAIGN AND I THINK HE MEANT IT, IF YOU CAN’T LISTEN YOU CAN’T LEAD. IF WE NEED TO LISTEN, I THINK HE WILL LISTEN AND WILL COME BACK STRONGER.>>JUST LOOKING AT THE NUMBERS CHANGE AGAIN NOW IT’S 23 FOR THE LIBERALS AND 14 FOR THE P.C.s, KEITH HUTCHINGS, SAME QUESTION, WHAT DOES CHES CROSBIE SAY TONIGHT ABOUT THESE NUMBERS?>>IT’S DISAPPOINTING. WE THOUGHT THE LOW POINT WOULD BE 18. WE’RE NOT THERE YET. I THINK HE RAN A GOOD CAMPAIGN. IT WAS A MESSAGE THE PUBLIC HAD IN REGARDS TO THE DWIGHT BALL ADMINISTRATION AND BUDGET 2016 AND SOME OF THE THINGS HE HAD DONE SINCE AGAIN. INTERESTING ENOUGH, WE TALKED ABOUT THE 9% N.D.P. VOTE AND OTHER ACROSS THE ISLAND. IT’S INTERESTING IN SOME OF THE CLOSE RACES WHERE WE HAD TWO OPTIONS, WHAT EFFECT IT HAD AND WHERE DID THAT VOTE GO AND DID IT EFFECT SOME OF THE SEATS. IT IS WHAT IT IS AND WE LOCK FORWARD TO THE RESULTS.>>WE HEARD FROM PARTY PRESIDENT LYNN MOORE A LITTLE BIT EARLIER AT N.D.P. HEADQUARTERS. THAT IS IS THE FINAL RESULT, WHAT WILL WE HEAR FROM ALISON COFFIN.>>IF IT IS THE FINAL RESULT, I’M NOT CONVINCED IT IS, WE HAVE REBUILDING TO DO. I’M PROUD ALISON IS WITH THE PARTY. THAT’S WHERE WE NEED TO GO. WE NEED TO BUILD FROM WHAT WE HAVE WITH NEW PEOPLE, NEW DIRECTION AND THAT IS IS GOING TO BE OUR FOCUS ON 2023.>>WE HAVEN’T HAD A CALL YET. WE’RE NOT READY TO DECIDE EXACTLY WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN HERE. IT SOUNDS LIKE A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE TRYING TO MAKE THE BEST OF THE SITUATION RIGHT NOW.>>ONE PERSON HAS MADE THE BEST. OUR CBC ELECTION DESK HAS NEWS FOR YOU RIGHT NOW THAT WE CAN SHARE WITH THE PROJECTION OF ANOTHER ELECTED MHA AND THAT IS ANOTHER END PEND. PAUL LANE IS PROJECTED TO WIN TONIGHT IN MOUNT PEARL SOUTH LANDS AND CUT FROM A SIMILAR CLOTHE THAT HE GOES TO EVERY EVENT IN HIS DISTRICT. I CAN SAY THAT FROM EXPERIENCE. I DON’T THINK THERE’S BEEN A FUNCTION I HAVEN’T SEEN HIM AT. HE IS THAT KIND OF M.H.A. AND HE HAS PUT UP A GOOD FIGHT AND HAS MANAGED TO WIN THE DAY.>>NOT JUST EVENTS, FUNERALS, HE IS THE TALL BUY IN THE BACK AT EVERY EVENT. HE IS LIKE EDDY JOYCE THAT HE IS A CONSTITUENCY GUY. THERE WERE QUESTIONS AROUND IF HE WOULD HAVE THE ORGANIZATION BEING AN INDEPENDENT TO BE ABLE TO GET PEOPLE OUT TO VOTE. HE WON HANDILY, ALMOST 500 VOTES. I DON’T THINK IT’S A BIG SURPRISE. IT LOOKS LIKE THERE’S TWO INDEPENDENCE THAT WILL MAKE THINGS INTERESTING.>>THE LIBERALS PUT FOURTH A STAR CANDIDATE. HE MEAD HEADLINES. JULIAN PEARSON. PART OF IT STARTED HERE WITH INTERVIEWS WITH YOU TALKING ABOUT CHILDCARE AND YOUNG FAMILIES AND TRYING TO INK OUT A LIVING. BOTH PARENTS WORKING AND DAYCARE IS A BIG ISSUE FOR FOLKS.>>SOME MORE NEWS. THIS IS GOOD NEWS FOR THE N.D.P. JIM DINN IS GOING TO HANG ON TO JERRY ROGERS SEAT AND ‘EM BE THE NEXT M.H.A. FOR ST. JOHN’S CENTRE. A LOT OF PEOPLE THOUGHT IT WOULD BE A BATTLE AND JIM DINN WITH A HEALTHY LEAD AND 504 VOTES. SO THERE IS SOME ORANGE THAT IS GOING TO STAY ON THE MAP AND THAT IS SIGNIFICANT FOR THE PARTY.>>THEY KEEP THE FURNITURE AND THEY CAN NOW REBUILD. AT LEAST HAVING DINN THERE HE HAS A GOOD HEALTHY LEAD AND I MEAN IT’S GOOD NEWS FOR THE N.D.P. PROBABLY NOT WHAT THEY WERE HOPING FOR. BEST-CASE SCENARIO. I THINK AT BEST, THEY WERE THINKING TWO OR THREE.>>HE IS GOOD ON HIS FEET. HE IS GOOD IN A PUBLIC VENUE LIKE THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. THE QUESTION IS WOULD HE SIT IN THE HOUSE WHILE ALISON COFFIN SITS IN THE GALLERY WITH REPORTERS WALKING QUESTION PERIOD EVERYDAY. WHO DOES THE INTERVIEWS? DOES DINN? IS DINN GOING TO BE THE NEW LEADER AND ALISON WOULD BE IN THE BACKGROUND HELPING TO ORGANIZE THE PARTY?>>IF HE IS SITTING IN THE OPPOSITION, AS IT LOOKS AS IF HE WILL, HE WILL BE SITTING WITH HIS BROTHER. THE TWO DINNS ARE IN. I THINK THAT JIM DINN’S BROTHER WAS ALSO THERE. SO WE HAVE TWO BROTHERS IN OPPOSITION. SIBLING RIVALRY ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE HOUSE. THE LIBERALS WITH 23. THE CONSERVATIVES WITH 14. TWO INDEPENDENTS. BOTH PROJECTED TO BE ELECTED. EDDY JOYCE AND PAUL LANE AND THAT ONE NEW DEMOCRAT, JIM DINN. LET’S LOCK AT THE RESULTS WITH PETER.>>THERE’S GOING TO BE FAMILIAR FACES. PEOPLE YOU SAW OVER THE LAST FOUR YEARS AND YOU ARE GOING TO BE SEEING A LOT MORE OF THEM BECAUSE THESE ARE LIBERALS WHO HAVE MANAGED TO HOLD ON TO THEIR SEATS. WE’RE PROJECTING THEY ARE HEADED BACK TO THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. LET’S LOOK AT SOME OF THOSE DISTRICTS. FOR EXAMPLE, BAY VERT GREENBAY. BRIAN WAR, WE’RE ABLE TO PROJECT HE IS THE M.H.A. AGAIN. TAKING A LOOK AT WATERFORD VALLEY, TOM OSBORNE TRIED TO HELP OUT SOME OF THE OTHER LIBERALS IN THE ST. JOHN’S AREA BECAUSE HE NOW HE HAD QUITE A HEALTHY LEAD, ESPECIALLY BECAUSE THERE’S NO P.C. CANDIDATE RUNNING AGAINST HIM. SO HE IS GOING TO BE BACK IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. GERRY BYRNE, ANOTHER ONE IS NOT A BIG SURPRISE. HE HAS WON A LOT OF ELECTIONS ON THE WEST COAST AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL, PROVINCIAL LEVEL AND HE HAS WON ANOTHER ONE TONIGHT. TAKING A LOOK ONE WHERE PEOPLE WERE THINKING THE P.C.s MIGHT DEFEAT A CABINET MINISTER BUT THAT DIDN’T HAPPEN. CHRISTOPHER MITCHELLMOR WILL BE ROW ELECTED AS THE M.H.A. PETER, APPRECIATE THAT. IF WE LOCK NOW, I WANT TO BRING SOMETHING TO YOUR ATTENTION THAT IS SIGNIFICANT. IT WAS ONE OF THE REASONS THE ELECTION DESK IS HOLDING OFF MAKING A CALL AT THIS POINT AND WEEP KEEL THAT SHARE OF VOTE ALONG WITH THE MINI BAR AT THE B.M.O. BOTTOM. LIBERALS 22 AND TORIES 15. WITH EACH ADDITIONAL BATCH OF VOTES THAT WE’RE GETTING, THE LIBERALS SHARE OF THE VOTE IS GOING DOWN. THEY’RE NOW AT 45. YOU NEED 45.5 TO FORM A MAJORITY THE LIBERAL SHARE OF THE VOTE IS EXAMINING DOWN AND THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE LIBERALS AND CONSERVATIVE SHARE OF THE VOTE, A COUPLE OF POINTS. THE LIBERALS HAVE A SEVEN-SEAT LEAD AND THE LIBERALS ARE ONE SEAT ABOVE A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT RIGHT NOW.>>IN AN HOUR, THE BOTTOM FOUR NUMBERS HAVE SWAPPED ONE NUMBER BECAUSE IT WAS 23-14-2-1. WHEN THE FIRST NUMBERS CAME UP, THEIR VOTES WERE ALSO TALLIED TONIGHT AND THEY HAD LIBERAL MAJORITY WITH 25. I THINK THEY HAD 13 — NO 10 P.C.s NO INDEPENDENTS AND THROW MEMBERS OF THE N.D.P. ACTUALLY, IT’S NOT THAT FAR OFF.>>THE ELECTIONS N.L. RUNS WITH THE SCHOOLS SO THE KIDS ARE PART OF THE DEMOCRATIC PROCESS AND CAST A BALLOT.>>THEY HAVE NOT MEDICINE EDDIE JOYCE.>>OR PAUL LANE. [LAUGHTER]>>RECAPPING THOSE NUMBERS THE LIBERALS ARE AT 23 AND THE TORIES AT 14 AND THAT VOTE STARTS TO GET HARDER AS THEY ALL GET COUNTED AND THEY ARE STILL WAITING TO SEE IF WE CAN GET A PROJECTION BUT THE LIBERALS ARE POISE TO HAVE A RESPECTABLE MAJORITY OF GOVERNMENT. HE IS WITH KATIE BREEN IN CORNER BROOK.>>THAT’S RIGHT. WE’RE HERE NOW. SOME OF THESE RACES ARE PRETTY CLOSE. WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THAT?>>THAT’S CALLED THE STANLEY CUP GAME SEVEN. IT’S PART OF POLITICS. I’M AMAZED THAT THE CALIBER OF CANDIDATES THAT CAME FORWARD AND I’M PLEASED WITH THE FACT THERE WAS TIGHT RACES IN SOME AREAS BECAUSE IT SHOWS THE POLITICS IS ALIVE AND WELL AND PEOPLE ARE EXPRESSING THEIR POINTS OF VIEW AND THAT CANNOT BE ANYTHING BUT HEALTHY.>>WHERE DO YOU THINK THE LIBERALS WILL END UP TONIGHT?>>WE’LL SEE. THE POLLS COME IN IN SHORT ORDER BUT I’M CONFIDENT WORE GOING TO HAVE A MAJORITY ORDER AND WE’LL COME IN AT THE 25-26 SEAT MARK. I CAN ONLY REACH ONE CONCLUSION, A MANDATE WILL BE GIVEN TO THE DWIGHT BALL GOVERNMENT TO CARRY ON WITH THE WORK THAT THEY STARTED TO DO AND IT’S VERY DIFFICULT TIMES.>>YOU SAW SOME OF THE POLLS LEADING UP TO TONIGHT, CLOSER, CLOSER THAN EXPECTED. WHY DO YOU THINK THAT THAT WAS?>>KATIE, WE’RE GOING TO HAVE TO HAVE A DISCUSSION ABOUT THIS. NOT YOU AND I BUT THE PROVINCE. THIS IS SOMETHING THAT THOSE THAT ARE INTERESTED IN DEMOCRATIC REFORM AND MAKING SURE THAT ELECTIONS ARE RUN FAIRLY AND GOOD INFORMATION, SOLID INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE TO THEM AND I’VE BEEN A POLITICS FOR 23 YEARS. THIS IS MY NINTH GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN. I HAVE NEVER SEEN THIS. IN PUSH-PULLING COMING IN OUR PROVINCE IS UNEXPECTED. THIS IS NOT A PLACE THAT I EVERY WOULD HAVE ANTICIPATED THAT KIND OF POLITICAL ACTIVITY TO OCCUR. LET’S CALL A SPADE A SHOVEL HERE. AS OF THIS MORNING, WE HAD A POLL THAT CAME OUT THAT SUGGESTED A MAJORITY CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT. YOU KNOW, POLLING IS NO LONGER, IN MY OPINION, A SCIENTIFIC PROCESS, AN EFFORT TO GET AT PUBLIC OPINION TO DETERMINE IT. IT’S BECOME A TOOL. IN SOME RESPECTS IT’S PUSHING A PARTICULAR VIEW AS OPPOSED TO READING IT. THAT’S WHAT WE’RE SEEING IN THESE POLLS. THAT WE HAVE TO BE VERY CAREFUL OF. THERE HAS TO BE SOME GUIDANCE TO THIS BECAUSE IT IS DONE TO INFLUENCE VOTING BEHAVIOUR AND THE FACT THAT THE LAST FOUR POLLS THAT CAME OUT, YOU KNOW, SUPPOSEDLY MEND TO INFLUENCE VOTER BEHAVIOUR. HOW FAR APART THEY CAME, I THINK IT’S VERY, VERY — IT’S CONCERNING AND IT SHOULD BE CONCERNING TO US ALL.>>Reporter: THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME.>>Anthony: SO, I APPRECIATE THAT KATIE. THERE YOU HAVE — MR. BURN TALKING ABOUT A POLL THAT WE COULD NOT REPORT FOR YOU TODAY AND IT WAS NOT REPORTED ANYWHERE AS FAR AS I KNOW. I’M GOING TO GET THINGS HANDED OVER TO OUR PANEL IN A MOMENT. BUT INTERESTING CHANGE DURING THAT EXCHANGE BETWEEN KATIE AND MINISTER GERRY BURN. LIBERALS 22 AND OPEN KEEP OUR EYES ON THAT ONE. ALISON COFFIN BACK IN THE GAME. IT’S ONE OF THOSE TOO CLOSE TO CALL. LET’S SEE WHAT EXACTLY ALISON COFFIN IS UP AGAINST. THERE YOU SEE, FOUR VOTES OVER GEORGE MURPHY. FORMER N.D.P. THAT’S AS CLOSE AS IT GETS AND WOVE GOT 24 OF 47 POLLS REPORTING. SO THAT LOOKS LIKE 50/50 SPLIT. SO THAT ONE IS FAR, FAR, FAR FROM DONE. NONE THE LESS, THE LIBERALS AT 22, P.C.s AT 14 WITH NOW TWO NEW DEMOCRATS AND TWO INDEPENDENTS. BAILEY, THERE’S A LOT TO TALK ABOUT.>>YES, THE NUMBERS HAVE CHANGED SINCE WE LAST CHECKED IN WITH THE INSIDERS HERE. KEITH HUTCHINGS WITH THE P.C.s AND MONA WITH THE N.D.P. AND JOHN SANDS ON THE END WITH THE LIBERAL PARTY. MONA, THIS NEW NUMBER FOR THE N.D.P., YOU SAID AT THE BEGINNING OF THE NIGHT YOU WOULD LIKE TO HOLD ON TO THOSE SEATS.>>I’M DELIGHTED TO SEE TWO AND I THINK WORE GOING TO PULL THIS OUT. I MEAN, WE HAVE A REALLY STRONG BASE IN ST. JOHN’S QUIDI VIDI AND WE DID OUR WORK AND WE HAVE A FABULOUS LEADER SO I’M HOPING WE’LL GET ELECTED AND SEE. IT’S SO IMPORTANT TO HAVE THE N.D.P. VOICE IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY.>>I’M JUST LOOKING AT LAB WEST AND JOHN BROWN IS TRAILING 52 POINTS. JORDAN IS A YOUNG, PROGRESSIVE, INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE FOR US AND WE’RE SO DELIGHTED THAT HE JOINED WITH US AND RAN WITH US IN LAB WEST. IT’S LOOKING GOOD THERE TOO. I MEAN, THREE WOULD BE REALLY GREAT.>>IT’S A TIGHT RACE THAT THE LIBERALS ARE STILL IN WITH THIS 22-SEAT LEAD. WHAT ARE YOU THINKING?>>I COULDN’T SEE A SCENARIO WHERE THEY’RE COMPETING FOR THREE SEATS. BEYOND THAT, THOUGH, THE NUMBERS ARE STAYING PRETTY STEADY. JUST ONE NOTE THAT I WOULD MAKE HERE AS WE TALK ABOUT THE RESULTS, NOT TO BE A STICKLER BUT THERE’S NO SUCH THING AS MOMENTUM NOW. MOMENTUM STOPPED AT 8:00 P.M., NOW IT’S COUNTING VOTES IN THE BALLOT BOX.>>ONE LIBERAL SEAT THAT HAS CHANGED HANDS IS HARBOUR MAIN. BETTY PARSLEY HAS LOST TO OTTENHEIMER.>>IF YOU LOOK AT HARBOUR MAIN, THERE’S ALWAYS A STRONG PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE VOTE THERE. THE LAST ELECTION IN 2015 WAS VERY CLOSE. WE CAME VERY CLOSE TO WINNING THAT SEAT. SHE’S A FABULOUS CANDIDATE AND BODES WELL TO BRING SOMEONE LIKE THAT INTO OUR CAUCUS. WE’RE UP TO 43% POPULAR VOTE AND THERE’S VERY SMALL DIFFERENCE IN BOTH. YOU KNOW, THERE’S 18 NOW FOR SOMEONE ELSE OTHER THAN THE LIBERALS. SO WE’RE NOT THAT FAR OFF IN REGARDS TO GETTING VERY LESS. CLOSE.>>LOTS OF MOVING AND SHAG THERE AND THAT POPULAR VOTE IS STILL CLOSE.>>I DON’T MEAN TO CUT YOU SHORT BUT WE HAVE AN IMPORTANT BREAKING NEWS ANNOUNCEMENT FOR YOU FROM THE CBC ELECTION DESK. WE CAN TELL YOU DESPITE THOSE NUMBERS, WE NOW HAVE A SENSE OF WHAT THE RESULT IS. DWIGHT BALL WAS ELECTED IN HIS OWN DISTRICT AND HE WILL LEAD THAT GOVERNMENT RIGHT NOW WITH 22 SEATS. ENOUGH OF A VOTE, 70% OF THAT VOTE IS IN SO THE DESK IS CONFIDENT THAT THIS IS THE RESULT FOR TONIGHT. NOT YET CALLING IN A MAJORITY, HOWEVER, BUT IT IS A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT RIGHT NOW WITH 22. THAT’S ONE MORE SEAT THAN REQUIRED FOR A MAJORITY. CONSERVATIVE 14 AND TWO INDEPENDENTS. THIS IS A BASIC RESULT OF AN ELECTION NIGHT. WE’LL LOOK AT LIBERAL HEADQUARTERS WHERE PEOPLE HAVE YET TO SORT OF FILE IN WITH THE RED AND WHITE BALLOONS READY FOR THE APPROPRIATE MOMENT TO BE DROPPED. THE MEDIA IS GETTING SET THERE.>>THIS WAS THE SAME AS 2015. DWIGHT BALL IS IN DEER LAKE WITH ALL HIS SUPPORTERS AND THE ROOM WAS EXACTLY LIKE THAT. EVEN THOUGH WE KNEW HE HAD WON FOR ABOUT 25 OR 30 MINUTES. ALL OF A SUDDEN THREE BUSES ARRIVED. YVONNE JONES GAVE A BIG SPEECH AND THE PREMIER SHOWED UP AND MUCH FANFARE AND HIGH-FIVING AND EVERYTHING ELSE AND HE GOT UP AND SPOKE AND THEY LEFT AND WENT BACK TO DEER LAKE. IT WAS EXACTLY THAT. WE WERE ALL THERE IN THE MEDIA LIKE THEY BLEW INTO TOWN.>>MY EYES ARE LOST ON THE N.D.P. RIGHT NOW. JORDAN BROWN ON LABRADOR WEST, AT LAST COUNT, I’M SURE PETER COWAN WILL HAVE THIS BUT HE HAS 40% OF THE VOTE. GRAHAM LET OWE HAD 42. I DON’T KNOW IF THAT WAS SOMETHING THAT WAS EXPECTED. THAT’S A CLOSE RACE TOO. TWO N.D.P. RIGHT NOW. GOOD NEWS FOR THE NEW DEMOCRATS FOR SURE.>>Anthony: WE’LL HAVE TO CHECK ON THAT. LET’S LOOK NOW. ONLY 52 ASK THE NEW DEMOCRATS LIKES SUSPENSE BECAUSE THAT IS TIGHT. THAT CAN GO RIGHT DOWN TO THE LAST BALLOT BOX SO WE’RE WATCHING THAT ONE.>>THAT WAS ONE THAT ALISON COFFIN SAID TO WATCH FOR. IT WAS ONE SPECIFIC DISTRICT WITH JIM DINN. SHE SAID WATCH FOR THAT IN LABRADOR WEST. HE IS A FORCE TO BE RECKONED WITH.>>WE’RE GOING TO HEAD BACK WITH KATIE BREEN WAS NOW THERE WE PROJECTED THERE’S A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT TONIGHT, LIBERAL HEADQUARTERS IS A LOGICAL PLACE TO GO. OBVIOUSLY YOU ARE GOING TO BE BUSY. YOU ARE WITH THE WINNERS TONIGHT. WHAT IS HAPPENING?>>Reporter: NOT TOO MANY PEOPLE HERE YET. NO BIG ERUPTION MANY OF THE INSIDERS ARE IN THE PHONES KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON THIS. IT ISN’T A RUN AWAY. YOU SAID IT WILL BE A GOVERNMENT. NOT A MAJORITY AND GERRY BYRNE WAS THERE AND HE EXPECTED 27 SEATS. THERE’S NO GUARANTEE JUST YET. WHEN PEOPLE START COMING IN THEY’LL BE HAPPY TO HEAR THESE RESULTS BECAUSE WHEN THIS NIGHT STARTED OUT, WE DIDN’T KNOW HOW IT WOULD GO.>>Anthony: JUST AS KATIE BREEN IS TALKING TO YOU, YOU SEE THE LIBERAL SHARE THE VOTE NOW BELOW THAT 45.5% FROM MAJORITY AND NOW THE SEAT COUNT IS RIGHT ON THE NUMBER YOU NEED TO HANG ON TO A MAJORITY. 21 SEATS FOR THE LIBERALS, 15 FOR THE CONSERVATIVES AND TWO DEMOCRATS AND TWO INDEPENDENTS. THIS IS RIGHT ON THE CUSP OF WHAT YOU NEED FOR MAJORITY AND THE LIBERAL VOTE ACTUALLY, IF THEY HANG ON TO A MAJORITY, WITH THAT SHARE OF THE VOTE, THEY’LL MAKE HISTORY. THEY WILL HAVE A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT WITH A LOW SHARE OF THE VOTE THAT HAS HAPPENED.>>I THINK JOHN, YOU MAY AGREE THIS IS NOT THE RESULT YOU WOULD ANTICIPATE. I KNOW IT’S NOT OVER YET. WE HAVE A WAYS TO GO. WHEN DWIGHT BALL CALLED THIS ELECTION, DID HE ANTICIPATE THIS WOULD HAPPEN. TO LOSE FIVE SEATS FROM WHEN THE HOUSE DISSOLVED?>>NO. WE WERE EXPECTING TO BRING IN A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. AT THE SAME TIME, WE WERE VERY EYES WIDE OPEN WITH THE FACT OF WHAT IS HAPPENING ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND THE TACTICS THAT WE SEE IN THIS CAMPAIGN. WHICH OF COURSE WE DID END UP SEEING. THERE WAS CONCERN THERE. IT’S STILL EARLY AND WE STILL EXPECT A MAJORITY.>>WE’LL LOOK AT THE SEAT CHANGE AGAIN. LET’S GET MORE RESULTS.>>Reporter: THERE ARE A LOT OF RACES THAT ARE STILL TOO CLOSE TO CALL. THAT’S WHY WE DO KNOW WHETHER OR NOT THIS IS GOING TO BE A LIBERAL MAJORITY OR LIBERAL MINORITY. IT’S BEEN FLIPPING FROM BLUE TO RED AND BACK TO BLUE. SOME OF THE SWATHS OF BLUE WE’RE SEEING HERE, LET’S LOOK WHERE WORE SEEING CLOSE RESULTS RIGHT NOW. STEPHENVILLE PORT AND THIS IS GOING DOWN TO THE WIRE. IF THERE’S LESS THAN 10 VOTES, THERE’S AN AUTOMATIC RECOUNT. WE’LL KEEP AN EYE ON JUST HOW BIG THAT LEAD IS IN STEPHEN MOUNT SCIO, SARAH STOODLEY. THIS DID VOTE LIBERAL LAST TIME AROUND BUT ENDED UP WITH AN INDEPENDENT AT THE END OF THE DAY SO AN INTERESTING DYNAMIC IN THAT RACE. AND ST. JOHN’S WEST, LOCK AT THIS, 183 VOTES RIGHT NOW THAT SIOBHAN COADY HAD. SHE HAD A TOUGH FIGHT IN 2015 AGAINST THE LEADER OF THE N.D.P. THIS TIME AROUND, SHE’S GOT A TOUGH FIGHT AGAINST SHANE SKINNER AND WE ONLY HAVE TWO MORE POLLS REPORTING IN THAT DISTRICT. TAKING A LOOK AT BONAVISTA. THIS IS ONE WHERE THE P.C.s RIGHT NOW ARE LEADING AHEAD OF A LIBERAL INCUMBENT. RIGHT NOW NEIL KING IS 50 VOTES BEHIND CRAIG PARDY WHO IS A MAYOR IN THE AREA. HE IS FAIRLY WELL-KNOWN FOR THAT ROLE. WE STILL HAVE EIGHT POLLS WE STILL NEED TO SEE FROM SO WE’LL SEE HOW THOSE NUMBERS CHANGE. IT’S A NAIL-BITER.>>Anthony: IT IS FOR SURE WITH THAT SORT OF CUSP OF A 21-SEAT REQUIREMENT FOR MAJORITY. THE LIBERALS 22 AND P.C.s 14 AND N.D.P. 2 AND TWO INDEPENDENTS AS WELL. SO TIGHTEN UP. WE DID SAY THAT WITH ALL THE LEADERSHIP ISSUES WITH SO MANY CATERS THAT PEOPLE WEREN’T HAPPY WITH CHES CROSBIE OR DWIGHT BALL AND NOT HAPPY WITH ALISON COFFIN AND DISTRICT TO DISTRICT FIGHTING WOULD DETERMINE A MAJORITY OR GOVERNMENT. WE’RE AT 21. THE BEAR MINIMUM AND THAT LIBERAL SHARE THE VOTE AT 45. THAT LIBERAL VOTE SHARE KEEPS DECLINING. THEY’RE LEADING THE P.C.s BY 6.>>SOMEONE FROM A LIBERAL INSIDER JUST TEXTED ME AND SAID THIS IS WAY CLOSER THAN WE THOUGHT. DWIGHT WILL HAVE A DECISION TO MAKE. WHETHER OR NOT HE STAYS ON. IF HE ONLY HANG ON WITH SOMETHING THIS CLOSE, IS THAT A STATEMENT ABOUT LEADERSHIP? USUALLY IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR IN ELECTIONS, THAT’S EXACTLY WHAT ELECTIONS DO. IT STATES WHETHER OR NOT THEY LIKE THE LEADER OR NOT.>>THERE ARE PEOPLE WAITING IN THE WINGS THAT COULD STEP IN. ANDREW PARSONS FOR ONE, GERRY BYRNE, WE HAVEN’T PROJECTED THAT YET BUT IS IT ENOUGH TO KEEP DWIGHT BALL WHERE HE IS?>>WE’VE HEARD NAMES FROM OUTSIDE LIKE ANDREW FURY, PEOPLE LIKE PAUL ANTEL. DEAN McDONALD HAS BEEN ON THE SIDELINES FROM TIME TO TIME.>>ONE OF THE INTERESTING FEATURES OF THIS CAMPAIGN, AND THERE ARE MANY, WITH THE LIBERALS JUST WITH A MAJORITY OF 21 AND THE TORIES 15, N.D.P. 2 AND TWO INDEPENDENT, THERE WAS A FOURTH PARTY THAT WAS INVOLVED IN TONIGHT’S CONTEST AND OFFICIALLY RECOGNIZED PARTY. GREYDON PELLEY. THAT WOULD BE AN OUTCOME IF THAT STAYED TRUE. LET’S CHECK IN WITH THE CBC REPORTERS ZACH GOUDIE, ZACK IS WITH SOMEONE WHO HOPED TO MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE TONIGHT. RIGHT NOW I BELIEVE THE POLLING SHOWS THAT MR. PELLEY IS LAST AND SAYS I SAY THIS, THE LIBERALS HAVE DROPPED BELOW THE 21 SEATS FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE THEY ACTUALLY PASSED THAT. A LOT IS GOING ON RIGHT NOW. DO NOT LEAVE YOUR TELEVISION SET. LET’S HEAR FROM MR. PELLEY.>>Reporter: ABSOLUTELY. WE’RE STANDING BY LIVE AT THE H.Q. WITH LEADER MR. PELLEY. CONGRATULATION TUESDAY AND YOURR PARTY. YOURSELF AND OTHER CANDIDATES TRAILING RIGHT NOW BUT POSTING VERY RESPECTFUL VOTE TOTALS IN MANY RACES. HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT THE RESULTS YOU ARE SEEING RIGHT NOW?>>OF COURSE WE WOULD LIKE TO SEE HIGHER RESULTS. JUST THINK ABOUT IT. I SAID TO SOMEONE A COUPLE OF DAYS AGO, WE’RE GOING FROM THE GROUND TO THE ROOF AND IN ORDER TO GET TO THE ROOF YOU HAVE TO TAKE THE FIRST STEP. OF COURSE, WE BEGAN, I JUST THOUGHT ABOUT IT TODAY, WE BEGAN AROUND OUR KITCHEN TABLE ON NOVEMBER, WE ANNOUNCED IN NOVEMBER THE 14TH, AND APRIL 12TH WE WERE REGISTERED WITH ELECTIONS N.L. AND ON THE 25TH THE DEADLINE FOR US TO GET CANDIDATES WE HAD NINE. WE SAID FROM THE START THAT WE WEREN’T JUST GOING TO PUT NAMES ON THE BALLOT, WE WERE GOING TO HAVE HAVE CANDIDATES THERE FOR THE RIGHT REASONS AND WE ARE SO PROUD OF THE TEAM OF CANDIDATES WE HAD. AND I WOULD LOVE TO GET SEATS IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. THIS IS JUST THE FIRST STEP HERE. WE’RE NOT GOING ANYWHERE. AND WE’RE SAYING TO THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR THAT NEXT TIME, WE WILL HAVE A FULL SLATE OF CANDIDATES RUNNING FOR NEWFOUNDLAND, LABRADOR ALLIANCE.>>Reporter: THIS ALL DID COME TOGETHER QUICKLY FOR THE N.L. ALLIANCE. WHAT HAPPENS TOMORROW? IF THIS NIGHT SHOULD END, WITH NO MEMBER FROM THE ALLIANCE BEING ELECTED, HOW WILL YOU GROW THIS PARTY, THIS MOVEMENT FROM OUTSIDE THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY?>>WELL, WE ARE GOING TO KEEP OUR GROUP TOGETHER THAT WE HAVE NOW. ALL THE PEOPLE THAT HAVE BEEN INVOLVED, WE’VE ALREADY TALKED TO THEM AND THEY HAVE SAID WITH THIS IS NOT THE END HERE. WORE GOING TO CONTINUE TO BUILD. WE’RE GOING TO FOLLOW THE ISSUES AND SPEAK TO EVERY ISSUE THAT COMES FORWARD TO THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. AND WE ARE JUST CONTINUING TO BUILD THE ALLIANCE AND WE’RE ONE DAY, WE’RE GOING TO MAKE A BIG STATEMENT IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR THAT WE ARE THE CHANGE THAT PEOPLE HAVE BEEN ASKING FOR AND WE’RE LOOKING FORWARD TO THE DAY WHEN N.L. ALLIANCE WILL BE IN ADMINISTRATION IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY.>>Reporter: SPEAKING OF CHANGE, WE HEARD A LOT THROUGHOUT THIS ELECTION ABOUT THE FRUSTRATION AMONG THE ELECTORATE WITH THE POLITICAL CHOICES AND THE WAY THE SYSTEM WORKS TODAY. AND YET, AS THINGS STAND, THEY SEEM POISE TO RETURN A GOVERNMENT, NOT TERRIBLY DIFFERENT FROM THE ONE THAT JUST ROSE. SO HOW WILL YOU CONTINUE TO MAKE THIS MESSAGE THAT CHANGE IS THE WAY TO GO TO AN ELECTORATE THAT SEEMS TO BE SOMEWHAT AT LEAST CHANGE AVERSE?>>ONE OF THE THINGS WE’RE GOING TO HAVE TO LOOK AT AFTER THIS DAY IS OVER, LOOK AT THE VOTER TURNOUT ACROSS THE PROVINCE AND SEE WHAT THE NUMBERS ARE SHOWING. SOME OF THE DISTRICTS ARE SHOWING LOW TURNOUT. THIS ELECTION THIS TIME IS TOTALLY ABOUT THE TIMING OF THE ELECTION, THE WAY IT WAS CALLED, THE WAY THINGS WERE DONE. YOU TALK TO THE PEOPLE AT THE DOOR, THERE’S SO MUCH APATHY. PEOPLE ARE SAYING LOOK, WE HAVE TO SEE CHANGE BUT I BELIEVE THAT IF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR HAD ANOTHER MONTH IT WOULD PUT MORE CANDIDATES IN PLACE AND MORE OF OUR POLICY AND PLATFORMS IN PLACE, I BELIEVE THIS WOULD BE A DIFFERENT ELECTION THAN WHAT YOU SEE TODAY.>>Reporter: SIR, YOU GOT TO MAKE ANOTHER SPEECH TO THE PEOPLE HERE IN THIS ROOM. THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR YOUR TIME AND I APPRECIATE YOU JOINING US TONIGHT.>>GLAD TO BE HERE.>>Reporter: WE’VE GOT MORE NEWS TO REPORT SO WE’LL SEND IT BACK TO YOU.>>THANK YOU, VERY MUCH. WE HAVE MORE NEWS. IF YOU LOOK AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN, THE ORANGE BOOK IN PARTICULAR, NOW THREE NEW DEMOCRATS ON THE BOARD. THIS IS SIGNIFICANT AND NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE WOULD HAVE FOR SEENTHIS. ELECTED IN LABRADOR WEST. JORDAN BROWN AT THE HANDS OF THE N.D.P.>>BY FIVE VOTES.>>IT TRIGGERS A RECOUNT. FRED HUTTON, YOU MENTIONED THAT ALISON COFFIN TOLD YOU WE SHOULD KEEP OUR EYES ON THIS YOUNG CANDIDATE AND SHE WAS RIGHT.>>SHE DID IN DEED. THAT WAS THE ONE NAME IN ADDITION TO JIM DINN. THEY DIDN’T HAVE ALL THEIR CANDIDATES IN PLACE — LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE OTHER THREE DISTRICTS WE HAVE HERE IN LABRADOR. STARTING FIRST WITH TORNGAT MOUNTAINS. THIS IS AN UPSET. LEAL EVANS HAS BEEN ELECTED IN TORNGAT MOUNTAINS. DEFEATING RANDY EDMUNDS. WELL KNOWN IN THE DISTRICT. I SAW A LOT OF COMPLAINTS FROM FOLKS THAT HE HAD MOVED TO HAPPY VALLEY-GOOSE BAY, WASN’T LIVING IN THE DISTRICT. THAT MAY HAVE INFLUENCED SOME OF THE VOTER, LELE EVANS SAID SHE WOULD MOVE TO THE DISTRICT IF SHE WON. THAT LOOKS LIKE SHE’LL BE DOING HOUSE HUNTING. IN LAKE MELVILLE, PERRY TRIMPER RAY ELECTED OF SHANNON TOBIN. HE WAS THE SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE AND SERVED AS MINISTER OF ENVIRONMENT. WE’LL SEE WHAT ROLE HE HAS BEEN A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT. AND ANOTHER CABINET MINISTER IN LABRADOR IS HEADED BACK FOR THE LIBERALS, LISA DEMPSTER. THIS ONE NOT A SURPRISE THAT SHE HAS BEEN RE-ELECTED IN HER RIDING.>>THE FINAL VOTES BEING COUNTED. THE ISSUE IS A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. WE KNOW THAT THE LIBERALS HAVE WON TONIGHT. WILL IT BE A MAJORITY? TWO DISTRICTS RIGHT NOW. AND THE FATE OF A DWIGHT BALL MAJORITY ARE IN THESE TWO DISTRICTS. AND THEY ARE STYLE-PORT AU PORT AND MOUNT SCIO. IF THE VOTERS STAY RED, DWIGHT BALL HAS THE MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. HOWEVER, LOOK AT THE MARGINS THERE. EIGHT VOTES IN ONE, NINE IN BONAVISTA. AND THAT’S GOING TO DETERMINE WHETHER THAT 21 HOLDS OR NOT. THAT WOULD BE THE SLIMMEST MAJORITY GOVERNMENT POSSIBLE. BUT THAT’S GOING TO BE DETERMINED IN THOSE TWO DISTRICTS RED RIGHT NOW ON YOUR SCREEN. THIS IS THE NAIL BITER PART OF THE EVENING. 20 IS A MUCH MORE — IS A COMPLETELY DIFFERENT GOVERNMENT SCENARIO FOR DWIGHT BALL THAN 21.>>JUST LOOKING AT TWO OF THE DISTRICTS, PORT AN U PORT WAS GOING TO BE A FIGHT. ONE OF TONY WAKEHAM WHO RAN FOR THE LEADERSHIP OF THE LEADERSHIP PARTY. AND JOHN FINN, A BACK BENCHER, CRITICIZED FOR NOT BEING VOCAL ENOUGH. HE SAYS THAT’S NOT THE CASE. OBVIOUSLY F-OBVIOUSLY EIGHT VOTES THERE.>>MOUNT SCIO IS NOT A FACTOR. THE TWO CANDIDATES VIRTUALLY UNKNOWN. SARAH STOODLEY AND LLOYD POWER.>>IT’S A WIDE-OPEN SEAT. OF COURSE, HELD BY DALE KIRBY, A LIBERAL CABINET MINISTER. THAT’S A WIDE-OPEN SEAT.>>NOW TO SOME NEWS. TAKEN A WHILE TO GET TO, NOT NECESSARILY SURPRISING, IF YOU’RE A CONSERVATIVE PERHAPS, BUT LONGER NIGHT THAN SOME MIGHT HAVE EXPECTED. THIS BREAKING NEWS HAS TO DO WITH THE LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION, MOST LIKELY. CHES CROSBIE IS PROJECTED TO WIN IN WINDSOR LAKE. A LITTLE TIGHTER THAN PERHAPS HE WOULD LYING. COMPARED TO THE BYELECTION, WHICH HE WON, THAT WAS PRETTY CLOSE, TOO. MANAGED TO DEFEAT PAUL ANTEL. CHES CROSBIE BACK IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. LET’S GO TO CHECK OUT GARRETT BARRY AT P.C. HEADQUARTERS TO SEE HOW THE RESULTS AND THE WHOLE ISSUE OF A MAJORITY VERSUS MINORITY GOVERNMENT, LET’S SEE HOW THIS IS PLAYING AT P.C. HEADQUARTERS. THERE YOU SEE GARRETT.>>Reporter: THAT’S RIGHT. I’M HERE WITH ROSS AND CABINET MINISTER. AS YOU LOOK — FORMER CABINET MINISTER I SHOULD SAY. AS YOU LOOK TO THE RESULTS TONIGHT, WHAT’S YOUR FIRST REACTION FROM THE P.C. CAMP?>>I THINK THE PEOPLE IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR SENT A STRONG MESSAGE TONIGHT. WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. YOU THINK ABOUT WHAT HAPPENED IN 2015, THAT’S JUST THREE AND A HALF SHORT YEARS AGO. THE LIBERALS HAD A SOLID MAJORITY. VERY CLEAR MANDATE. AND THEY’VE JUST BASICALLY FOILED THAT OPPORTUNITY. AND NOW THE PEOPLE IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR REALLY CHANTED THE CHANGE. TONIGHT WE COULD END UP WITH A MINORITY GOVERNMENT.>>Reporter: DOES THAT SAY MORE ABOUT YOUR PARTY OR THE GOVERNING LIBERALS?>>WHAT IT SAYS THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR WEREN’T HAPPY WITH WHAT THE LIBERALS WERE DOING. AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, BUT LOOK AT THIS, WE’LL END UP DOUBLING THE NUMBER OF SEATS WE HAD WHEN THE HOUSE DISSOLVED. THAT’S A SIGNIFICANT GROWTH IN THREE AND A HALF YEARS. WE ENDED UP WITH THE POPULAR VOTE LAST TIME, WHERE WE’RE GOING TO END UP TONIGHT, WHERE THE LIBERALS WERE IN 2015, VERSUS WHERE THEY ARE TONIGHT, THAT’S A HUGE CHANGE, A HUGE TURNOVER FROM THE MESSAGE THAT THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR SENT BACK THREE AND A HALF SHORT YEARS AGO.>>Reporter: IS IT — JUST AS A FINAL THOUGHT, A MISSED OPPORTUNITY, THOUGH? YOU TALKED ABOUT THE THINGS THAT THE VOTERS DON’T LIKE ABOUT THE GOVERNING LIBERALS AND WE PROJECT NOW THAT THEY’LL BE RETURNING TO GOVERNMENT IN SOME FASHION. A MISSED OPPORTUNITY FOR YOUR PARTY TONIGHT?>>I THINK IF YOU LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED HERE TONIGHT, AND KEEP IN MIND, THIS IS ONLY THREE AND A HALF SHORT YEAR SINCE THE LAST ELECTION. WE HAD A SOLID SLATE OF CANDIDATES. YOU KNOW, CHES WAS PROVIDING LEADERSHIP, EMBRACED THE POLICY PLATFORM HE WAS PRESENTING TO THE PEOPLE. AND TONIGHT WE’LL SEE A HUGE CHANGE IN THE DYNAMIC IN THE HOUSE AND THE ASSEMBLY. IF YOU LOOK AT THE HISTORY OF THE PROVINCE, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME EVER A GOVERNMENT ELECTED, ALMOST GOT DEFEATED IN THE FIRST TERM. UNHEARD OF.>>Reporter: THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR YOUR TIME. BACK TO YOU, ANTHONY, IN THE STUDIO.>>Anthony: THAT’S GARRETT BARRY AT P.C. HEADQUARTERS. FRED AND ARIANA, WE TALKED A LOT, KEEPING OUR EYES PEELED ON THE BOX TO SEE IF THE LIBERAL MAJORITY OF 21, THE BARE NUMBER, HOLDS OR NOT. IF WE THINK ABOUT THE CONSERVATIVES FOR A MOMENT, 14 SEATS, SO CH CHES CROSBIE 8. DWIGHT BALL THINK HE SHOULD HAVE BEAT HAAS HAND — BEAT CHES CROSBIE HANDILY. AS I SAY THIS, THE LIBERALS HAVE NOW FALLEN BELOW THE MAJORITY. THAT’S A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. WHAT’S HIS ROLE IN THAT?>>YOU HAVE TO ASK CHES CROSBIE.>>I THINK SOME WOULD SEE IT AS A LOST OPPORTUNITY IN SOME RESPECTS, THAT YOU STILL HAVE THE STING OF THE 2016 BUDGET, RIGHT. YOU STILL HAVE THE HATE FOR DWIGHT BALL. GO BACK TO 2019 WITH THE RESIGN DWIGHT SIGNS UP. MAYBE A BIT OF A LOST OPPORTUNITY THEY COULDN’T GET MORE ORGANIZED QUICKER. FRED MADE THE POINT THAT MANY PEOPLE THOUGHT THAT THIS WOULD BE A PASS.>>I THINK THE POINT, THOUGH, I WOULD DRIVE HOME, IF YOU LOOK AT THE NUMBER RIGHT NOW, IF CHES CROSBIE AT THE END OF THE NIGHT CAN SAY, HEY, I BROUGHT DWIGHT BALL DOWN TO A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, THAT PUTS THIS NIGHT IN A DIFFERENT COMPLEXION COMPLETELY FOR CHES CROSBIE.>>IN TERMS OF NEXT TIME AROUND, 2023, THIS IS CHES CROSBIE’S ONE SHOT AT THIS. THIS IS THE HAIL MARY PASS HE MADE FOR HIS OWN POLITICAL CAREER. WILL HE WANT TO DO THIS AGAIN, WHENEVER THE NEXT ELECTION IS. YOU KNOW, I THINK THAT THIS IS A RINGING ENDORSEMENT FOR HIM IN SOME WAYS, EVEN THOUGH MANY DIDN’T THINK OF HIM AS THE LEADER. WE DON’T LIKE DWIGHT, WE’LL GO WITH CHES.>>WE’LL GET TO THAT IN A MINUTE. WE FOCUS ON THE ISSUE AT HAND HERE, CHES CROSBIE GOING TO BE LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION IN A MINORITY GOVERNMENT SITUATION, A DIFFERENCE OF FIVE SEATS. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE DISTRICT WHERE THIS IS BEING DETERMINED AS WE SPEAK. ALL RIGHT. SO THIS IS STEPHENVILLE-PORT AU PORT. WE SAW JOHN FINN BATTLING IT OUT. WAKE HAM HAS A LEAD OF 14 POETS. WE’RE GOING TO KNOW IF EVAN DYER WITH A LIBERAL MAJORITY OR IF THAT NUMBER ON YOUR SCREEN STAYS THE SAME AND DWIGHT BALL WILL HAVE FAILED TO COME BACK TO POWER WITH A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. AND, OF COURSE, THERE WILL BE LOTS OF QUESTIONS OF DWIGHT BALL, IF THE RESULT RIGHT NOW, STANDS.>>AND REMEMBER THE LIBERALS WILL HAVE TO CHOOSE A SPEAKER. SO THAT GIVES THEM 19 SEATS AND IF CROSBIE CAN TALK THEM TO FORM AN ALLIANCE, WE COULD BE BACK AT THIS BEFORE YOU KNOW IT.>>Anthony: IT WON’T CHANGE.>>NOPE.>>Anthony: YOU STAY EXACTLY AS YOU ARE. YOU LOOK GREAT, BY THE WAY, TONIGHT. BUT THIS IS AN INCREDIBLE RESULT. IF YOU REALLY LIKE POLITICS AND KNOW NEWFOUNDLAND HISTORY, WHAT YOU’RE LOOKING RIGHT NOW, IF THAT STAYS THERE, A HISTORIC ELECTION NIGHT RIGHT NOW, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN.>>WHAT I’M LOOKING FORWARD TO SEEING IS THE VOTER TURNOUT. IF AT SOME POINT WE CAN PUNCH OF HOW MANY PEOPLE VOTED. 55.3% LAST TIME AROUND. SOME PEOPLE THOUGHT IN THE HIGH 30s. MY PREDICTION WAS HIGH 40s.>>LAST MINORITY GOVERNMENT WAS 1971.>>Anthony: THE IMPORTANT THING, WHO HOLDS THE BALANCE OF POWER? WE HAVE A SURPRISE TONIGHT WITH THE N.D.P. WITH THREE. MIGHT THE NEW DEMOCRATS FOR EVERYTHING THEY’VE BEEN THROUGH, IN A POSITION TO BE IN THE POSITION? WELL, LET’S GO TO N.D.P. HEADQUARTERS RIGHT NOW. THERE’S A PERSON THERE WHO WOULD CERTAINLY LIKE TO BE PART OF THE ORANGE WAVE. WE’RE THERE WITH TERRY ROBERTS. TERRY?>>Reporter: YEAH, ANTHONY, A LITTLE BIT DIFFICULT TO HEAR YOU RIGHT NOW, THE MOOD HERE IS VERY UPBEAT, AS YOU MIGHT IMAGINE. LOOK WHO IS WITH ME, A FACE WE HAVEN’T SEEN IN A WHILE. FORMER N.D.P. LEADER KURDI. LOOK AT THE BOARD AND TELL ME WHAT YOU THINK.>>TONIGHT IS A TURNING POINT FOR OUR PARTY REALLY, BECAUSE WE HAD NO INCUMBENTS RUNNING. WE HAD A LEADER WITH A COUPLE OF MONTHS TO GET READY FOR THE ELECTION. IT WAS SHORT NOTICE AND PULL OUT THREE SEATS IN THAT SHORT PERIOD OF TIME IS A REAL — I THINK TURNING POINT AND A REAL GOOD NIGHT FOR OUR PARTY.>>Reporter: ONE OF YOUR CANDIDATES KNOCKED OFF A CABINET MINISTER IN LABRADOR WEST. JORDAN BROWN.>>YEAH. JORDAN IS REALLY COMMITTED TO LABRADOR. VERY ACTIVE ON SOCIAL MEDIA. VERY PRO-LABRADOR YOUNG PERSON. I THINK WE’LL HAVE TO CALL HIM LANDSLIDE BROWN AFTER THAT ONE.>>Reporter: WHAT KIND OF MESSAGE DOES THIS SEND TO EVERYBODY HERE TONIGHT?>>I THINK WHAT IT SHOWS HERE CLEARLY WIDESPREAD DISSATISFACTION WITH THE PERFORMANCE OF THE GOVERNMENT. THAT’S VERY CLEAR. AND THAT THE OTHER — ON THE OTHER HAND, I DON’T THINK PEOPLE ARE IMPRESSED WITH CHES CROSBIE AND HIS MESSAGE. WAIT UNTIL WE GET IN, MORE OR LESS THE MESSAGE I HEARD FROM HIM. I THINK THERE WAS CERTAINLY A MOOD FOR CHANGE AMONGST A LOT OF PEOPLE. I JUST THINK THAT OUR VOICES ARE SO DESPERATELY NEEDED IN THE HOUSE. BECAUSE NOT A LOT TO PICK BETWEEN THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES ON MOST ISSUES. YOU’VE GOT THE PARTY WHO BROUGHT US MUSKRAT FALLS AND THEN THE PARTY WHO SAYS FULL SPEED AHEAD WITH THE BOONDOGGLE. EITHER ONE SAID THIS IS CRAZY, WE HAVE TO STOP THIS. AND SO I THINK, YOU KNOW, PEOPLE ARE FED UP WITH THAT. CERTAINLY GETTING THREE SEATS IN THE HOUSE, IT APPEARS WE’RE HEADING NOW, WOULD REALLY GIVE, YOU KNOW, ANOTHER VOICE AND A NEW VOICE, WHICH WAS NO SURE SHORT. WHEN YOU LOSE THE TWO INCUMBENTS, THAT’S VERY CHALLENGING, ESPECIALLY WITH A BRAND-NEW LEADER, WHO HASN’T HAD TIME TO REALLY GET OUT THERE AND GET ESTABLISHED. YOU KNOW, I THINK FOR ALISON TO WIN IN THOSE CIRCUMSTANCES, IT’S A TERRIFIC ACCOMPLISHMENT. FOR JORDAN BROWN DOWN IN LABRADOR, IT WAS GREAT AND JIM DINN AN ABSOLUTE LANDSLIDE IN ST. JOHN’S CENTRE.>>Reporter: ALL RIGHT. THANK YOU VERY MUCH. BACK TO YOU GUYS IN THE STUDIO.>>Anthony: ALL RIGHT. ONLY THREE M.H.A.s, BUT THE LOUDEST CHEERS WE’VE SEEN ALL NIGHT ON THIS ELECTION NIGHT 2019. WELL, LET’S GET BACK TO THE BIG UNFOLDING STORIES, THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN. WILL THE BALL GOVERNMENT HAVE A MAJORITY OR NOT? TONY WAKEHAM IS EXPECTED TO BE ELECTED IN STEPHENVILLE-PORT AU PORT. WE’RE GOING TO SHIFT OUR GAZE. THAT ONE IS DONE. THE QUESTION IS BONAVISTA. THE TORIES HAVE TO GANG ON THERE. TWO MORE POLLS TO COUNT THERE. THAT DISTRICT IS GOING TO DETERMINE DWIGHT BALL HAS A MAJORITY OR A MINORITY. OBVIOUSLY THIS IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT, WE MENTIONED THE DYNAMICS, EVEN IF A SLIM MAJORITY. THIS IS VERY SIGNIFICANT. SO YOU’RE STILL WATCHING A HISTORIC ELECTION IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. AND MUCH DIFFERENT CALCULATIONS FOR BOTH THE N.D.P. AND CHES CROSBIE, IF THEY FIND THEMSELVES IN OPPOSITION WITH TWO INDEPENDENTS IN A MINORITY SITUATION.>>ANOTHER POLL JUST WENT IN THERE NOW, TOO. SO THE LEAD IS WITH 34.>>Anthony: 34. IT’S GONE UP.>>THIS IS ONE OF THE DISTRICTS THAT THE P.C.s WERE HOPING THEY COULD TAKE FROM NEIL KING, WHO IS THE INCUMBENT. ONE-TERM M.H.A. AND A BACKBENCHER. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE, YEAH. WE HAVE ONE POLL LEFT TO REPORT.>>Anthony: THERE YOU GO. OBVIOUSLY WE’LL FOLLOW THAT ONE RIGHT THROUGH TO THE VERY END. I THINK ROME SAID THAT THE TORIES MOTTO WAS ESSENTIALLY, IF YOU THINK THINGS ARE BAD, THAT WAIT WE GET IN. I THOUGHT IT WAS YES TO CHES. WE MUST BE READING DIFFERENT BLUE WOULD BEES. THE N.D.P. ONE OF THE BIG STORIES OF THE NIGHT WITH THREE. JIM IS TALKING TO SUPPORTERS AT HEADQUARTERS. WE’RE EXPECTING THE LEADER TO ARRIVE SHORTLY. LET’S TAKE A LISTEN.>>AND THE SECOND ONE IS THE MARTIN LUTHER KING QUOTE, WHICH SAID TAKE THE FIRST STEP IN FAITH, YOU DON’T HAVE TO SEE THE WHOLE STAIRCASE, JUST TAKE THE FIRST STEP. AND I’LL BE HONEST WITH YOU, NEVER AMBITION WITH MINE TO ENTER INTO POLITICS. YET HERE I AM. [Laughter] BUT ALWAYS BELIEVE IN GIVING BACK TO THE COMMUNITY TO MAKE THE LIVES OF PEOPLE WHO LIVE THERE BETTER. SO I CHOSE A RUN FOR THE N.D.P., BECAUSE LIKE SO MANY OTHER CITIZENS OF OUR PROVINCE, I HAVE A FAMILY. OUR SENIORS, OUR FAMILIES WITH CHILDREN, OUR CHILDREN LOOKING FOR A FUTURE, PEOPLE WITH FIX INCOME — FIXED INCOMES, PEOPLE MATTER. AND THAT’S WHAT MATTERS TO THE N.D.P. [Cheers and Applause] I CHOSE THE N.D.P. BECAUSE I CARE ABOUT OUR PUBLIC EDUCATION SYSTEM, OUR HEALTH CARE SYSTEM, AND OUR ENVIRONMENT AND OUR PROVINCE. AND THAT’S WHAT MATTERS TO THE N.D.P. [Cheers and Applause] I’M TIRED OF EMPTY GOVERNMENT RHETORIC, WHERE OFFICIAL STATEMENTS DO NOT REFLECT THE REALITY OF THE CITIZENS. AND THAT’S WHAT THE N.D.P. STANDS FOR, THE CITIZENS OF THE PROVINCE MATTER! [Cheers and Applause] NOW I DON’T KNOW WHAT I EXPECT WHEN I ANNOUNCE THAT I WOULD RUN OVER A MONTH AND A HALF AGO. BUT IT’S BEEN AN EDUCATION. IT’S BEEN AN OPPORTUNITY TO MEET SOME INCREDIBLE PEOPLE, TO GET A DEEPER UNDERSTANDING OF THE CHALLENGES THAT FACE ST. JOHN CENTRE. I COULDN’T HAVE DONE IT WITHOUT MY MANY FAMILY, FRIENDS, VOLUNTEERS AND PEOPLE COMMITTED TO THE N.D.P. VALUES. AND I HAVE TO SAY RIGHT NOW, FROM MY POINT OF VIEW, A BIG THANK YOU TO ALL OF THOSE PEOPLE, THOSE N.D.P. SUPPORTERS WHO DID NOT GIVE UP ON THE NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY. [Cheers and Applause]>>Anthony: THERE YOU GO. A MESSAGE OF HOPE AND GRATITUDE, THANKING SUPPORTERS FOR NOT GIVING UP. REMARKABLE EVENING FOR A PARTY THAT LOOKED AS IF SOME PEOPLE SAYING REDUCED TO CHEMICAL TRACES TONIGHT. THEY’VE GAINED AN M.H.A. AND IN THIS SCENARIO, THREE M.H.A.s IN A MINORITY GOVERNMENT SITUATION, LIKE THIS. THE N.D.P. COULD BE A FACTOR NOW. COMPLETELY DIFFERENT DYNAMIC, RIGHT. EVERY SINGLE M.H.A. MATTERS. YOU KNOW, EVERYBODY WANTED THE SCHOOL. I MIGHT HAVE A CHAT WITH THEM.>>I WAS LOOKING AT THE ELECTIONS NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR SITE. IT LOOKS LIKE SO FAR 194,000 PEOPLE WHO VOTED LAST TIME. IT WAS JUST OVER 200,000. THAT WAS 55.3%. WE’RE ABOVE THE 50% MARK, IT LOOKS AS THOUGH. AND PROBABLY A LITTLE CLOSER THAN MOST PEOPLE HAD THOUGHT TO WHERE WE WERE LAST YEAR, SOMEWHERE PROJECTING MID-40s, HIGH 40s.>>Anthony: MY PHONE IS BUZZING ACTUALLY. I’M PRETTY SURE IT’S PAUL DINN AND WANTS EQUAL TIME TO HIS BROTHER. PAUL HAS BEEN ELECTED AS A CONSERVATIVE TONIGHT. SO THE DINN BROTHERS WILL FIND THEMSELVES, AT LEAST THEY CAN –>>VERY EXCITED TONIGHT, RIGHT.>>Anthony: VERY EXCITING. I WAS LOOKING AT BURNER DAVIS. BETH CROSBIE WON’T BE JOINING HER BROTHER THIS TIME AROUND. RIGHT NOW THE LIBERALS AT 20, THAT’S ONE SEAT BELOW A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. STILL WAITING TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS IN BONAVISTA TO FIND OUT WHERE THIS THING IS GOING TO SETTLE. AND WE’RE PROBABLY GOING TO GET TO THE LAST BOX. 20 LIBERALS, 15 CONSERVATIVES, 3 NEW DEMOCRATS. THEY ACTUALLY OUTNUMBER THE NUMBER OF INDEPENDENT CANDIDATES. LET’S SQUARE THINGS OFF HERE WITH THE MAN LOOKING AT NUMBERS FOR US AND RESULTS ALL NIGHT. PETER?>>Reporter: ANTHONY, LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF THE LIBERALS, WHO HAVE BEEN ELECTED HERE TONIGHT. AND SOME OF THESE DISTRICTS THAT WE’VE SEEN ON OUR MAP, THAT ARE STAYING RED. AND SOME OF THE INDIVIDUAL DISTRICTS THAT WE DO WANT TO HAVE A LOOK AT, THEY INCLUDE BURIN-GRAND BANK. MANY PEOPLE THOUGHT BILL MATTHEWS WOULD BE ABLE TO MAKE A COMEBACK. HE’S WELL KNOWN, HE WAS BOTH A FEDERAL AND A PROVINCIAL POLITICIAN. BUT CAROL ANNE HALEY, A CABINET MINISTER ABLE TO HANG ON TO THE SEAT. ONLY 177-VOTE LEAD. SHE WAS ABLE TO DO IT. TAKING A LOOK AT ST. JOHN’S WEST, THE MINISTER OF NATURAL RESOURCES WAS ABLE TO FEND OFF SHANE SKINNER, ANOTHER CLOSE RACE. ONLY 182 VOTES SEPARATING IT. BUT ALL OF THE POLLS HAD REPORTED AND SHE’S HEADING BACK TO THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. ANOTHER DECENTLY CLOSE RACE HERE IS PAM PARSONS, ELECTED IN HARBOUR GRACE. ONE OF THE BIG PROJECTS IN THE AREA WAS A BRAND-NEW SCHOOL, THAT WAS ONE OF THE THINGS SHE WAS MENTIONING DOOR-TO-DOOR AND MAY HAVE HELPED HER GET THE COUPLE HUNDRED VOTES SHE NEEDED, IN ORDER TO BEAT GLEN LITTLEJOHN. ANOTHER CUBA MINISTER HEADED BACK, SHERRY GAMBIN-WALSH. AND SO SHE’S GOING TO BE HEADING BACK. FINALLY DEREK BENNETT, 500 VOTE-LEAD OVER CRISTA FREAKE WITH THE P.C.s. LOOKING GOOD FOR HIM. VIRGINIA WATERS-PLEASANTVILLE, ANTHONY, YOU WERE TALKING ABOUT THIS. BERNARD DAVIS OVER BETH CROSBIE. ONLY ONE CROSBIE HEADING TO THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. REACHES’ SISTER NOT JOINING HIM. TWO INDEPENDENTS. WE’RE GETTING DOWN TO THE END OF THE ACTUAL VOTES TO COUNT AND STILL SOME RACES THAT ARE TOO CLOSE TO CALL. THERE’S FOUR OF THEM. WANT TO DRAW YOUR ATTENTION TO RIGHT NOW. BONAVISTA WHERE EACH ONE OF THESE MATTERS IN A BIG WAY, PARTICULARLY THE BLUE AND RED ONES. BONAVISTA, P.C.s ON TOP BY 34 VOTES. MOUNT SCIO WITH THE LIBERALS HANGING ON AND GRANDS FALLS-WINDSOR. ONCE WE GET FINALS ON THESE, WE’LL KNOW IF WE’RE LOOKING AT A MAJORITY OR MINORITY GOVERNMENT. THIS MAKES THINGS VERY, VERY INTERESTING TO WIND DOWN, AT LEAST THE VOTE COUNT PART OF OUR EVENING HERE AT THE CBC. BAILEY WHITE, WE’RE GOING TO TAKE A LOOK NOW, CONVERSATION WITH US EARLIER.>>A LOT CHANGED SINCE WE LAST SPOKE TO OUR POLITICAL OUTSIDERS, AS WE’RE CALLING THEM. THESE ARE REGULAR VOTERS WHO ARE POLITICALLY SAVVY. TERRY, MELISSA, YOU’VE GOT YOUR NOTES HERE WITH SOME PREDICTIONS. SO I WANT TO ASK HOW THIS RESULT SQUARES WITH YOUR PREDICTIONS. MELISSA, WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THESE NUMBERS?>>I THINK THAT THE LIBERALS MANAGE TO PULL OFF A LITTLE BIT MORE — ACTUALLY MAYBE IT WAS MORE THAT THE P.C.s PULLED OFF A LITTLE BIT LESS THAN THE POLLING SUGGESTED, WHICH I WOULD SAY REFLECTS, YOU KNOW, THE LACK OF GROUNDING ORGANIZATION, GOING INTO THE ELECTION, THE LIBERALS CERTAINLY HAD AN ADVANTAGE IN THAT REGARD. I THINK WE’RE SEEING THAT BEING PLAYED OUT. SO EVEN IF THERE WAS SOME MOMENTUM FROM THE VOTERS, FROM PREFERENCE FOR THE P.C.s. IT DIDN’T PLAY OUT AS WELL AS THEY WERE HOPING IN THE POLLS. ALSO THE N.D.P. IS A BIG SURPRISE.>>RIGHT.>>AND THE EXTRA SEAT IN LABRADOR. A COUPLE OF BIG SURPRISES IN THE BIG LAND. THAT’S THE THING THAT I THINK IS JUMPING OUT, THE P.C.s DIDN’T QUITE CAPTURE THE VOTE, AND THE N.D.P. PICKED UP A FEW SEATS UNEXPECTED.>>WHAT’S GOING THROUGH YOUR MIND WITH THESE NUMBERS?>>EXACTLY THAT.>>THE N.D.P. IS EXTREMELY EXCITED. IT’S COMPLETELY UNEXPECTED. I THINK IT KIND OF EXPLAINS THAT THE PEOPLE ARE EXCITED, DIDN’T NECESSARILY MEAN THAT THEY BELIEVED WHAT THE, YOU KNOW, THE P.C.s WERE OFFERING EITHER. I THINK THAT’S WHAT — THAT’S WHAT BROUGHT THE SURPRISE THREE FACES TO THE N.D.P.>>YOU’RE TALKING ABOUT THE MESSAGE THAT VOTER ARE SENDING. TERRY, WHAT MESSAGE DOES THIS SEND?>>WELL, I MEAN, LABRADOR IS REMINDING EVERYBODY, HEY, WE’RE UP HERE. WE’RE NOT GOING TO DO WHAT YOU EXPECT US TO DO, JUST BECAUSE YOU EXPECT IT. IT’S TREMENDOUS. IT SPEAKS TO THE GROUND GAME IN EACH INDIVIDUAL RIDING, JORDAN BROWN’S VICTORY IN LAB WET IS NOT BECAUSE OF MONEY. THAT WASN’T A WELL-FUNDED CAMPAIGN. THE N.D.P. DOESN’T HAVE MONEY. THE P.C. CAMPAIGN DIDN’T HAVE MONEY. THE LIBERAL WAS EXPECTED TO WIN A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. THEY PROBABLY HAD $1 MILLION, I DOUBT THE TORIES HAD $200,000. THIS IS SOMETHING TO FRED’S POINT ABOUT CHES’ REFERENDUM ON HIS LEADERSHIP. THEY DID THIS WITH WAY LESS MONEY THAN THE LIBERALS. THERE’S DEBTS TO PAY TOMORROW, IF THIS IS THE FINAL RESULT, WHEN IT COMES TO PEOPLE EVALUATING HOW THE LIBERALS DID OR HOW THE P.C.s DID. IT WAS AN UPHILL CLIMB FOR ANYBODY.>>ALL RIGHT. SO WE’VE GOT 2015, THREE AND TWO. IT TAKES COOPERATION IF THESE NUMBERS HOLD. WE’RE GOING TO TALK ABOUT WHAT KIND OF COOPERATION, IT’S NOT SOMETHING THAT THE PARTIES ARE USED TO DOING IN THIS PROVINCE. AGAIN THE LAST MINORITY 1971. AND EVEN THAT DIDN’T REALLY HOLD.>>Anthony: IF THE MINORITY SCENARIO DOES HOLD, WHAT’S GOING TO BE INTERESTING IS WHAT WILL ALISON COFFIN DO, BECAUSE BREAKING NEWS, AS FAR AS ALISON COFFIN’S FUTURE IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY GOES, THE PROJECTION CAN NOW CONFIRM SHE’S PROJECTED TO BE ELECTED AND WILL DEFEAT GEORGE MURPHY TONIGHT AND HOLD THAT SEAT, WHICH HAS BEEN THE SEAT FOR THE LEADER FOR QUITE SOME TIME, AS YOU KNOW. ALISON COFFIN WITH A BIG BATTLE. MANAGED TO HANG ON AND WILL FIND HERSELF INSIDE THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY, NOT JUST WITH THE M.H.A. FROM ST. JOHN’S CENTRE. THE CHEERS WE HEARD WHEN WE CHECKED IN WITH TERRY EARLIER, I THINK THERE ARE CHEERS GOING ON RIGHT NOW AT THE HEADQUARTERS OF THE N.D.P. OBVIOUSLY A GOOD NIGHT, BETTER THAN I THINK THEY PREDICTED. MONA WAS ON THE SPECIAL EARLIER, AN ACTIVIST WITH THE PARTY. WE’D LOVE TO SEE THREE. SO THIS IS PROBABLY THE DREAM OUTCOME FOR NEW DEMOCRATS. IT GIVES THEM SOMETHING TO WORK ON.>>I THINK THE OTHER TWO PEOPLE WE HAD ON THE PANEL WERE LIKE, YOU KNOW, OKAY. [Laughter] KEEP DREAMING.>>IT’S WORTH VOTING ONLY FIVE VOTES, RIGHT. THERE WILL BE A RECOUNT.>>Anthony: YEAH.>>STILL BETTER THAN I THINK ANYONE REALLY EXPECTED. RIGHT?>>Anthony: PRETTY TIGHT. I THINK, YOU KNOW, THE LIBERALS, OF COURSE, WILL POINT OUT THAT THEY RECEIVED A MESSAGE. THEY’VE HUNG ON AND ALL OF THAT. PART OF THE RESULT I’M SEEING HERE, FRED AND ARIANA, THE WHOLE DECISION OF AN EARLY CALL. IF AN EARLY CALL ENDS UP WITH A RESULT THAT N.D.P. IS WIPED OUT AND CHES DOESN’T MAKE A GAIN, TAKING A BIT OF A HEAT FOR GOING EARLY, NOT PREPARED, THIS PAYS TO OF. ONE COULD INTERPRET THE RESULT AS WHERE WAS THE PLAN B? WHEN IT WASN’T OBVIOUS THE CONSERVATIVES WOULD BE HURT HARD AND THE N.D.P. WAS GOING TO BE IN COMPLETE DIFFICULTY, WHAT NEXT.>>PLAN B WAS THROWING $5 MILLION AT THE ARTS MIDWAY THROUGH THE CAMPAIGN, QUIDI VIDI.>>THAT WAS AN ACT OF DESPERATION. AT THAT POINT IN TIME, THAT’S WHEN THE POLLS SHIFTED A LITTLE BIT. I DIDN’T THINK IT WOULD BE QUITE LIKE THIS EITHER. BUT, I MEAN, OBVIOUSLY I’M ONE PERSON.>>AND PEOPLE WERE FRUSTRATED I THINK, TOO, WITH THE FACT THAT THEY TABLED THIS BUDGET AND IT WAS NEVER PASSED. THE SIMPLE THING OF GOING TO RENEW YOUR AUTO INSURANCE AND BEING TOLD, OH, NO, THE HEADLINE YOU READ, NOT YET.>>Anthony: RIGHT.>>YOU’LL GET A REBATE MAYBE IF RE-ELECTED.>>A LITTLE THE MESSAGE NO MONEY. OH WAIT A SECOND WE FOUND MORE MONEY. THAT’S A FACTOR THAT DIDN’T GO SO WELL. OBVIOUSLY EVERY VOTE NOW AT THIS POINT IN THE EVENING, WE’RE TALKING MINORITY VERSUS MAJORITY COUNTS. PETER, WHAT HAVE YOU GOT?>>ANTHONY, LET’S TALK ABOUT A COUPLE OF DISTRICTS WE HAVEN’T VISITED TONIGHT. WE TOUCHED ON MOST OF THE 40. OF COURSE, THEY’RE CYCLING THROUGH ON THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN. LET’S TAKE A LOOK IN DETAIL IN A COUPLE OF THE PLACES THAT WE HAVEN’T VISITED YET. FERRYLAND, LOYOLA ODRISCOLL. THIS IS A NEW FACE FOR THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. NOT A SURPRISE, THOUGH, THE P.C.s HUNG ON TO THIS. LONG A P.C. STRONGHOLD. TAKING A LOOK AT FOGO ISLAND. THIS IS A RE-ELECTION FOR DERICK BRAGG IN THE DISTRICT. AND TAKING A LOOK AT MOUNT PEARL NORTH, ANOTHER RE-ELECTION THERE, JIM LESTER HOLDS OFF NICOLE KIELEY FOR THE LIBERALS AND BACK IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. ONE MORE TO SQUEEZE IN THERE. TOPSAIL-PARADISE. PAUL DINN. THE BROTHERS DINN. THIS IS THE OTHER ONE. HE’S GOING TO BE RE-ELECTED THERE AS THE M.H.A. FOR TOP SAIL-PARADISE.>>Anthony: THE BROTHERS DINN. IF YOU’RE TRYING TO FIND THE SPECIFIC DISTRICT FINISHES YOU HAVEN’T BEEN ABLE TO WATCH THE FULL COVERAGE, PLEASE GO TO THE WEBSITE,AND DRILL DOWN INTO WHICH PART OF THE PROVINCE YOU WANT TO INVESTIGATE. THE DESK HAS PROJECTED WAS GOING TO BE ELECTED. KNOW AS A SHRINKING VIOLET IN THE CAMPAIGN.>>HAPPIEST PERSON IN THE PROVINCE RIGHT NOW.>>THERE YOU GO! [Cheers and Applause]>>THIS IS REALLY A SUCCESS STORY FOR THE PARTY. THIS IS UNBELIEVABLE THAT, YOU KNOW, THIS IS A PERSON WHO WASN’T EVEN A LEADER OF THE PARTY THREE MONTHS AGO. IS NOW TAKING ALMOST A QUARTER OF THE SEATS THAT THEY HAD IN THIS ELECTION. 14 CANDIDATES.>>Anthony: ONCE AGAIN. LOOK AT THE SMILE ON ALISON COFFIN’S FACE, AS SHE TAKES TO THE PODIUM. TAKES A BREATH. THERE YOU GO.>>THANK YOU! THIS IS A NEW ERA! THIS IS A NEW ERA! [Cheers and Applause] WOW! THERE ARE A LOT OF PEOPLE TO WHOM I AM VERY GRATEFUL FOR WHAT WE HAVE ACHIEVED TONIGHT. FIRST AND FOREMOST, I WANT TO PLACE THE RESPONSIBILITY FOR MY ELECTION SQUARELY ON THE SHOULDERS OF THOSE WHO DESERVE THE MOST THANKS, THE VOTERS OF ST. JOHN’S EAST-QUIDI VIDI. [Cheers and Applause] THEY HAVE DECIDED THEY WANT TO HAVE A VOICE FOR EQUALITY AND JUSTICE IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. AND HAVE PLACED THEIR FAITH FIRMLY IN ME. I AM TRULY THANKFUL AND I PLEDGE TO FIGHT EVERY SINGLE DAY TO REWARD YOUR FAITH IN ME AND THE NEW DEMOCRATS OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. [Cheers and Applause] THANK YOU. THANK YOU TO THE VOTERS OF ST. JOHN’S’-CENTRE FOR VOTING JIM DINN. HE’S THE REAL DEAL. I’M SO PROUD TO HAVE HIM WITH ME AS A MEMBER OF THE NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. [Cheers and Applause] EXTRA SPECIAL SHOUT-OUT TO JORDAN BROWN! YEAH! LAB WEST! [Cheers and Applause] THANK YOU TO ALL OF THE VOTERS IN THE PROVINCE WHO TURNED OUT AND VOTED FOR THE N.D.P.! [Cheers and Applause]>>N.D.P., N.D.P., N.D.P., N.D.P.! N.D.P.!>>YOUR BELIEF IN THE NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY MATTERS. I PLEDGE TO WORK ON YOUR BEHALF TO BUILD A STRONG TEAM AND TO FIGHT FOR THE ISSUES THAT WILL MAKE YOUR LIFE BETTER. BEFORE I GO ON, I WOULD LIKE TO CONGRATULATE THE PREMIER ON HIS VICTORY. HE DID A FINE JOB AND I THINK HE HAS MET A VERY FORMIDABLE ADVERSARY. [Cheers and Applause]>>HEAR, HEAR!>>I WANT TO THANK LORRAINE MICHAELS. [Applause] SHE’S THE REASON I AM HERE. JERRY ROGERS, EARL McCURDY, JACK HARRIS. [Applause] YOU HAVE BUILT THIS PARTY AND WORKED HARD TO REPRESENT THE NEW DEMOCRATS PROVINCIALLY AND FEDERALLY. AND CAN THEY EVER CANVAS! [Applause] I THOUGHT I WAS ENERGETIC. I AM. [Laughter] THANK YOU TEAM ALISON. ALL OF THE VOLUNTEERS AND STAFF WHO HAVE WORKED ABSOLUTELY TIRELESSLY ON ALL THE CAMPAIGNS. YOU ARE THE HEART AND SOUL OF A CAMPAIGN, ARE THE VOLUNTEERS AND STAFF WHO SPENT HOURS AND HOURS, EVEN BEHIND THE BEHIND THE SCENE BEEN MAKING SIGNS, ANSWERING PHONES, KNOCKING ON DOORS. AND BRINGING US FOOD, SO MUCH, SO VERY GOOD FOOD. THANK YOU. NO ELECTION WOULD BE FOUGHT, LET ALONE WON, IF NOT FOR THE PEOPLE IN THE ROOM AND ALL OF THE PEOPLE WORKING BEHIND THE SCENES. THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU! [Applause]>>JEN, KATHLEEN, JORDAN BROWN, THOMAS CHASE. JASON MERES, BRENDA WALSH, PETER BACK, DAVID BREAK, MATTHEW COOPER. [Applause] STELLAR NEW DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES. YOU DID AN EXCELLENT JOB OF REPRESENTING OUR PARTY IN THIS ELECTION. AND BY HOPE YOU’RE GOING TO BE BY MY SIDE FOR THE NEXT ONE, BECAUSE WE ARE A FORCE! [Applause] CANDIDATES, I INTEND TO MEET WITH EACH OF YOU TO THANK YOU PERSONALLY AND LEARN HOW WE CAN WORK TOGETHER FOR THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. [Applause] YOU — YOU HAVE STEPPED UP, YOU HAVE PUT YOUR LIVES ON HOLD AND JUMPED INTO A SNAP ELECTION TO REPRESENT THE PARTY THAT YOU BELIEVE IN. YOU OFFERED TO SERVE THE PEOPLE OF OUR PROVINCE IS COMMENDABLE. FOR MANY OF YOU THIS WAS YOUR VERY FIRST FORAY INTO PROVINCIAL POLITICS. I WOULD LOVE FOR YOU TO CONTINUE TO BE INVOLVED AND ACTIVE IN YOUR COMMUNITIES. TOGETHER WE WILL BUILD A FORMIDABLE PARTY IN 2023.>>HEAR, HEAR! [Applause] IT’S CANDIDATES LIKE YOU, WHO HELP SHARE OUR VALUES AND IDEAS. WE SHOW VOTERS THERE IS A BETTER WAY. THANK YOU TO IAN, MY PARENTS, MY BROTHERS, MY NIECE, MY NEPHEWS, MY SON. YOU HAVE BEEN BY MY SIDE EVERY STEP OF THE WAY. YOUR LOVE AND SUPPORT HAS GOTTEN ME THROUGH THIS. [Applause] THANK YOU. THANK YOU. SO MANY FRIENDS IN THERE, TOO, AND EXTENDED FAMILY. I DECIDED TO BE THE LEADER OF OUR NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY, BECAUSE I KNOW WE CAN CREATE A BETTER, FAIRER NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.>>HEAR, HEAR! [Cheers and Applause] MY VISION IS ONE OF LONG-LASTING PROSPERITY FOR THE PEOPLE WHO LIVE HERE. I PROMISE TO KEEP THE PEOPLE OF THIS PROVINCE AT THE CENTRE OF EVERY GOVERNMENT DECISION. [Applause] WE WILL FIGHT FOR OUR PROVINCE, WHERE EVERYONE HAS AN OPPORTUNITY TO GET AN EDUCATION AND A JOB. WE WILL FIGHT SO PEOPLE CAN HAVE ACCESS TO THE QUALITY PUBLIC SERVICES THEY NEED TO HELP RAISE A FAMILY AND CARE FOR THEIR PARENTS. WE WILL PLACE A PREMIUM ON OUR ENVIRONMENT AND OUR RESOURCES. WE WILL MAKE DECISIONS THAT ARE GOOD FOR THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR NOW AND INTO THE FUTURE. WE WILL ENSURE EDUCATION IS ACCESSIBLE AND AFFORDABLE. THERE WILL BE NO MORE BOONDOGGLES, NO PATRONAGES APPOINTMENTS, NO MORE GIVEAWAYS TO BIG BUSINESSES. [Cheers and Applause]>>BRAVO, BRAVO!>>NEW DEMOCRATS KNOW THERE IS A BETTER WAY TO GOVERN. THERE IS A BETTER WAY TO MANAGE OUR ECONOMY. THERE IS A BETTER WAY TO HELP OUR COMMUNITIES THRIVE. WE WILL ENSURE THAT YOUR TAX DOLLARS ARE SPENT ON YOU. [Cheers and Applause] A SUSTAINABLE, HEALTHY ECONOMY WORKS FOR EVERYONE, NOT JUST BIG BUSINESS AND WEALTHY PEOPLE. WE HAVE THE RESOURCES. WE HAVE THE TALENT. WHAT WE NEED IS THE POLITICAL WILL AND YOU HAVE THAT IN OUR NEW DEMOCRATS RIGHT HERE. NEW DEMOCRATS WILL BRING THESE VALUES TO THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. AS AHEAD TO THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY, ON YOUR BEHALF, I WILL BE GUIDED BY THE WORDS OF TOMMY DOUGLAS. COURAGE, MY FRIEND, IT IS NOT TOO LATE TO BUILD A BETTER WORLD.>>BRAVO!>>THANK YOU. [Cheers and Applause]>>THANK YOU.>>Anthony: THERE YOU SEE JUBILANT ALISON COFFIN HUGGING HER FELLOW CAUCUS MEMBER FROM ST. JOHN’S-CENTRE JIM DINN. WHAT A NIGHT FOR COFFIN. SHE’S A HIGH-ENERGY PERSON.>>NOBODY WOULD HAVE PREDICTED THIS.>>Anthony: THE N.D.P. TONIGHT ONE OF THE BIG STORIES OF THE NIGHT. THE SECOND STORY, WE HAVEN’T CALLED A LIBERAL MAJORITY. WE’RE REALLY WAITING ON THE RESULTS FROM JUST ONE DISTRICT, THAT’S GRANDS FALLS-WINDSOR. BUT LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THIS ONE. THIS IS THE ONE THAT WE’VE BEEN WATCHING ALL NIGHT. MORE THAN JUST A CABINET MINISTER, THE DIFFERENCE. CHRIS TIBBS 294 VOTES, WITH FOUR POLLS TO GO. THAT IS A PRETTY HEALTHY LEAD. WE’LL KEEP OUR EYES. TOO CLOSE TO CALL. YOU CAN’T SAY A MAJORITY, NO, IT’S A MINORITY. YOU WANT TO WATCH UNTIL THE END. AL HAWKINS IN TROUBLE, BIGGER THAN THAT, A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT IS IN TROUBLE. YOU’REYOU’RE WATCHING HISTORIC ELECTIONS, ONLY HAPPENED ONCE BEFORE IN OUR PROVINCE’S HISTORY. THIS IS QUITE SOMETHING. I WANT TO GET BACK TO THE N.D.P., THOUGH, ARIANA AND FRED. YOU WATCH ALISON COFFIN, YOU LOOKED AT THEIR VOTE SHARE WHEN IT WAS UP. THEY LOST 6% I THINK IT WAS.>>RIGHT.>>Anthony: THEY’RE UP A SEAT. OKAY, JORDAN BROWN IN LABRADOR. WHO IS JORDAN BROWN? WAIT A SECOND, MAYBE OTHER JORDAN BROWNS. WHAT IF, THIS WILL AGONIZE, I’M NOT TRYING TO UPSET THE N.D.P. CELEBRATION. WHAT IF THEY’D BEEN ABLE TO FIELD CANDIDATES IN ALL OF THE DISTRICTS?>>THEY ONLY HAD 14. 14. EVEN IF THEY HAD 20 OR HALF, WOULD HAVE BEEN A DIFFERENT SITUATION.>>Anthony: I’M NOT EVEN SPEAKING NECESSARILY OF N.D.P. GAINS. BUT WHAT WOULD THE COMPLEXION OF THIS MINORITY GOVERNMENT, IF IT STAYS THAT WAY, WOULD IT RESULT IN TORY GAINS? WHO KNOWS. WE’LL NEVER KNOW. MAYBE IN THE SITUATION WE’RE LOOKING AT, WITH THE N.D.P. WITH 3 AND THE MINORITY GOVERNMENT SITUATION, THAT IS AN ODDLY POWERFUL POSITION TO BE FOR JUST THREE 3 — M.H.A.s.>>THEY ENDED UP WITH ONE EXTRA SEAT.>>YEAH.>>Anthony: MAYBE THE ENERGY IS RUNNING FEWER DISTRICTS?>>I DON’T KNOW. FOCUS ON THOSE. BUT, I MEAN, IT’S JUST AN AMAZING STORY TO COME OUT OF THIS. ASIDE FROM THE MINORITY, WHICH IT APPEARS IT WILL BE. THE TWO INDEPENDENTS. ONLY THE SIXTH TIME, THE FIFTH AND SIXTH TIME IT’S HAPPENED IN OUR HISTORY. THE SECOND TIME FOR A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. THERE IS THE ONE — THE ONE DISTRICT WE’RE STILL WAITING FOR.>>IT IS INCREDIBLE, THOUGH. JUST A COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE THE ELECTION, SEEING ALISON COFFIN AT A NEWS CONFERENCE, HOW ARE YOU FEELING? GREAT. I’M SO FULL OF ENERGY. I’M SO EXCITED. SHE NEVER LOST THAT. PEOPLE SAID, OKAY, ARE YOU SURE YOU’RE THAT OPTIMISTIC.>>I HAVE SPOKEN WITH SITTING PREMIERS WHO KNEW THEY WERE ABOUT TO LOSE, THEIR GOVERNMENT WAS GOING TO GO OUT. YOU KNOW, ON THE SURFACE TALKING IN INTERVIEWS, OH, YES, WE’RE GOING TO DO IT. WE’RE GOING TO PULL THROUGH. BEHIND THE SCENES THEY KIND OF — OFF CAMERA, YEAH, WE’RE DONE.>>Anthony: YEAH.>>SHE NEVER DID THAT AT ALL.>>NEVER WAVERED.>>HER PRESENCE, IF YOU WILL, WAS THE SAME.>>Anthony: YEAH. SO THERE YOU SEE THE N.D.P. WITH A LOT TO CELEBRATE TONIGHT. OUR TERRY ROBERTS IS THERE, NOT TOO FAR FROM THE PODIUM. A LOT TO CELEBRATE. ONE OF THE BIG STORIES OF THE NIGHT IS WHAT THE N.D.P. MANAGED TO ACCOMPLISH. ALONGSIDE THE QUESTION OF WHETHER WE HAVE A MAJORITY OR A MINORITY. IT LOOKS LIKE THE MINORITY SITUATION WILL STAY WHERE IT IS, WHICH MAKES FOR A VERY, VERY INTERESTING RESULT.>>STILL LOOKING AT THIS DISTRICT NOW. THERE’S STILL THREE, FOUR POLLS LEFT TO REPORT. BUT, I MEAN, THIS WOULD BE KNOCKING OFF A CABINET MINISTER. CHRIS IS SOMEONE THAT THE P.C.s PUT A LOT OF FAITH IN. HE’S A FIRST-TIME CANDIDATE, APPARENTLY HE REALLY, REALLY WANTED IT. AND THAT MAKES A DIFFERENCE, TOO.>>Anthony: LEADERS, OKAY. N.D.P. RINGING ENDORSEMENT FOR ALISON COFFIN. CHES CROSBIE ALSO A RINGING ENDORSEMENT FOR HIM. WHAT HAPPENS WITH DWIGHT BALL? THAT’S THE BIG QUESTION. DOES HE STAY ON? DOES HE STICK AROUND LONG ENOUGH FOR THEM TO FIGURE OUT WHO IS HIS REPLACEMENT OR JUST APPOINT SOMEBODY, THEY HAVE A LEADERSHIP? THIS IS NOT THE RESULT HE ANTICIPATED WHEN HE CALLED THIS ELECTION.>>WELL, THERE’S TWO WAYS TO LOOK AT THIS. DWIGHT BALL WAS SUCCESSFUL TONIGHT, WINS THE GOVERNMENT. IF YOU’RE ONE OF THE PEOPLE WHO THOUGHT THE PARTY SHOULD HAVE GOTTEN RID OF HIM BEFORE TONIGHT, HE LOST THE MAJORITY GOVERNMENT TO CHES CROSBIE. A LOT OF LIBERAL INSIDERS GOING OKAY, LOOK, SORRY, DWIGHT, THIS IS NOT THE KIND OF RESULT THAT KEEPS YOU HANGING AROUND AS LONG AS PERHAPS YOU WOULD HAVE LIKED TO DO. THIS IS A FASCINATING RESULT ON THE POLITICAL LEVEL. BUT ALSO AS FAR AS GETTING ANYTHING DONE. WHAT ABOUT THE BUDGET? WHAT HAPPENS TO A BUDGET IN THIS SCENARIO? YOU KNOW, WE’RE GOING TO PASS THE BUDGET. MAYBE NOT. IF THEY DON’T, WE KNOW WHAT’S GOING TO HAPPEN.>>Anthony: AWAY WE GO. DON’T TAKE THE DISKS AWAY JUST YET. DON’T EVEN JOKE ABOUT THAT, FRED. DON’T EVEN JOKE. WE HAVE ONE OF THESE FEDERAL EDITIONS TO RUN IN THE FALL AS WELL. ANYHOW. WE’RE GETTING BEYOND OURSELVES. RIGHT NOW THE FUTURE DOES APPEAR THAT FOR THE SECOND TIME ONLY, IN THE PROVINCE’S HISTORY, WE’RE LOOKING AT A MINORITY GOVERNMENT SITUATION. PETER COWEN.>>BACK TO 1971, IF WE LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED THERE, WHERE WE HAD A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, DIDN’T LAST VERY LONG. ONE OF THE FIRST THINGS THAT HAPPENED, TRIED TO POLITICAL RED ROVER. WHO CAN GIVE US THE MAJORITY TO GOVERN. THE INTERESTING QUESTION IS SOMEONE LIKE — IF THESE NUMBERS HOLD, WHAT WOULD IT TAKE TO GET EDDIE JOYCE COMING OVER?>>Anthony: TRYING TO PICTURE EDIE PLAYING RED ROVER.>>YEAH.>>YOU ALSO HAVE TO LOOK AT OVER THE COURSE OF THE LAST COUPLE OF YEARS, THE LIBERALS LOST A NUMBER OF CABINET MINISTERS. PAUL LANE WAS UPSET WITH THE BUDGET, WHAT HAPPENS IF ONE PERSON IS UPSET WITH THE BUDGET AND ALL OF A SUDDEN THEY SAY YOU KNOW WHAT, I’M GOING TO GO SIT AS AN INDEPENDENT. OR NOW ALL OF A SUDDEN YOU’RE NOT HAVING THE NUMBERS IN ORDER TO BE ABLE TO PASS BUDGETS, PASS BILLS. IT’S NOT NEARLY AS STABLE A GOVERNMENT.>>Anthony: NO, IT’S NOT STABLE. IT COULD BE MORE CHAOTIC. ON THE OTHER HAND, TO MAKE ANYTHING HAPPEN, YOU HAVE TO BUILD CONSENSUS. ONE OF THE THINGS ABOUT THIS RESULT, YES, DWIGHT BALL HAS HELD POWER. THIS IS IN KEEPING WITH, WHEN YOU ANALYSE THE RESULTS, THIS IS IN KEEPING WITH OTHER PROVINCES. WE DON’T WANT YOU THE WAY YOU ARE. WE WANT TO PUNISH YOU. YOU’RE AN INCUMBENT GOVERNMENT. WE DECIDED TO PUT A REALLY HEAVY SET OF TRAINING WHEELS ON YOU, DWIGHT BALL, WE WANT YOU TO WORK WITH PEOPLE. THIS REQUIRES SOP CONSENSUS GOVERNMENT. OTHERWISE I CAN’T LOOK AT ANYBODY WHO WANTS TO GO INTO ANOTHER ELECTION. THEY HAVE TO FIND A WAY TO GET THINGS DONE. SOMETHING THAT VOTERS WANT.>>I THINK THAT’S SOMETHING THAT VOTERS HAD SAID AND JUST GOING ACROSS THE PROVINCE WITH THE LIBERALS FOR THE WEEK THAT I WAS ON THE BUS, I MEAN, ONE OF THE MESSAGES THAT THEY SAID WAS THESE JABS BACK AND FORTH, YOU KNOW, TAKING POT SHOTS AT EACH OTHER. THAT’S NOT WHAT THEY WANT TO SEE ANY MORE.>>Anthony: RIGHT.>>MAY BE ENTERTAINING TO WATCH. THEY’RE NOT GETTING ANYTHING.>>Anthony: YOU HERD A LOT OF GET HER DONE. STOP WITH THE GAMES, THE NAMES, GET HER DONE. OBVIOUSLY WE’VE SPOKEN ENOUGH ABOUT THIS RESULT. LET’S HEAR FROM PEOPLE AFFECTED WITH US ON MY LEFT HERE WITH BAILEY WHITE.>>RIGHT. WE SHOULD GAIN THIS OUT A LITTLE BIT AND LOOK AT THE NUMBERS AND HOW THIS POSSIBLY COULD FUNCTION. AN IMPORTANT DISTINCTION TO MAKE, WHEN WE TALK ABOUT A MINORITY GOVERNMENT IN 1971. THAT RESULTED IN A HUNG PARLIAMENT. YOU HAD 21, ONE AND 20 AND NOBODY COULD GET THE CONVERSATION. WITH THE NUMBERS THAT WE HAVE HERE, I MEAN, ALLISON COFFIN SAID SHE COULDN’T FIND ANYTHING TO COMPLAIN ABOUT IN THE LIBERAL BUDGET. SO IF THE N.D.P.s BACK THAT LIBERAL BUDGET, BACK THE LIBERALS, IT COULD BE AS EASY AS THAT. I JUST WANT TO PICK YOUR BRAINS A LITTLE BIT. MELISSA, HOW DO YOU SEE THIS FUNCTIONING?>>WELL, YOU’RE RIGHT THAT, YOU KNOW, THE LIBERALS HAVE A BIT — MORE OF AN EDGE OVER THE P.C.s NOW THAN THEY DID IN ’71. BUT, YOU KNOW, I THINK THE P.C.s ARE GOING TO BE TRYING TO GET SOME SUPPORT FROM THE LIBERALS, ESPECIALLY IF IT GOES DOWN. CHES CROSBIE MADE IT VERY CLEAR TO VOTERS OF THE N.D.P., THAT YOU’RE WELCOME TO VOTE FOR US, FEEL VERY COMFORTABLE IN OUR PARTY. BUT, YOU KNOW, AS LONG AS IT STAYS AT 20, 21, YOU TAKE OUT A SPEAKER, TRADITIONALLY COMES FROM THE PARTY WITH THE MOST SEATS. YOU KNOW, THE INDEPENDENTS ARE IN PLAY. THEY COULD ACTUALLY — WE COULD STILL — IT’S STILL POSSIBLE THAT WE COULD HAVE, YOU KNOW, KINGMAKER EDDIE OR PAUL. HE WERE TALKING EARLIER ABOUT N.D.P. CANDIDATES AND WITH THE SURPRISE THREE N.D.P. ELECTED. WHAT HAPPENED HAPPEN WITH A FALL SLATE? THAT’S TRUE — THEY RAN FOR THE N.D.P. LAST TIME. I WONDER IF THEY’RE THINKING, WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF I STUCK WITH MY OLD PARTY.>>RIGHT.>>IT’S INTERESTING SEEING THE NEXT LITTLE WHILE. I WANT TO SAY THAT IN ’72, PETER IS EXACTLY RIGHT. IT WAS NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN THE PARTIES. SWITCHING BACK AND FORTH. BUT THERE WERE ALSO RECOUNTS. AND THAT’S THE FAMOUS, THE INFAMOUS PART, WHERE SALLIE BURNED THE BALLOT BOXES. WE NEED TO REMIND PEOPLE NOT TO BURN THE BALLOT BOXES.>>PUT THE MATCHES DOWN, EVERYBODY. WHAT DO YOU SEE? WHO CAN WORK TOGETHER HERE?>>IT’S MY DREAM SCENARIO OUT OF THIS ELECTION, WHICH WAS A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. IT’S RAZOR-THIN. YOU’RE IN A SITUATION WHERE PAUL AND EDDIE, I DON’T BELIEVE THE N.D.P. WILL SWITCH OVER. THEY COULD DECIDE TO CAUCUS WITH THE LIBERALS AND GIVE THEM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. BUT THERE’S SO MUCH AT PLAY. AND NOW WE’RE INTO THAT OLD-SCHOOL POLITICS OF HORSE TRADING. I THINK THAT IF A GOVERNMENT USES THAT TO ATTAIN MAJORITY POWER, I THINK THE ELECTORATE WILL PUSH THEM FOR IT. I’M HOPEFUL TO GET THE MESSAGE OF THE MINORITY SCENARIO AND WORK WITHIN IT.>>I WANT TO GET MIMI IN HERE. WE CAME OUT OF A SESSION WHERE WE SAW ALLEGATIONS OF BULLYING AND HARASSMENT. DO THE PEOPLE GOING INTO THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY EVEN HAVE IT IN THEM TO COOPERATE, MIMI?>>YOU KNOW, I THINK WE’RE AT A POINT WHERE HOPEFULLY THESE RESULTS SHOW THAT THEY WILL NEED TO. I DON’T THINK, YOU KNOW, ANYBODY NECESSARILY WANTS TO GO TO, YOU KNOW, TO ANOTHER ELECTION. I THINK IT’S IN EVERYBODY TO TRY AND FIND SOME LEVEL OF CONSENSUS. AT LEAST I THINK I KNOW PEOPLE GOING IN AND VOTING, VOTED SPECIFICALLY FOR OPPOSITION, FOR THE VERY REASON, TO HAVE CHECKS AND BALANCES. I THINK THIS IS AN OUTCOME MOST PEOPLE ARE HAPPY ABOUT.>>COMMUNICATION IS KEY. THE OTHER KEY TAKEAWAY, OF COURSE, IS PUT THE MATCHES DOWN. [Laughter]>>YES. ALL RIGHTY. IT’S INTERESTING THAT TALKING ABOUT THE BUDGET BEFORE, ALISON COFFIN SAID NOTHING IN THE BUDGET SHE OBJECTED TO. DWIGHT BALL WANTS TO KEEP HER AT HER WORD. LISTEN, NOW, YOU SAID YOU DIDN’T OBJECT. THERE’S THREE OF YOU, 20 OF US. FOR GOODNESS SAKE, WHATEVER CHES AND THE INDEPENDENTS WANT TO DO, LET’S GET THE BUDGET THROUGH. A GOOD CHANCE THAT THE N.D.P. WILL SIGN ON. LET’S FACE IT. IT WAS A GOOD-NEWS BUDGET.>>THIS IS A HUGE LEARNING CURVE, NOT ONLY FOR VOTERS, WHO WATCH WHAT’S GOING ON AND HOW THEY’RE GOING TO MAKE IT WORK. THEY ALL JUST WENT THROUGH THIS HOW TO WORK BETTER TOGETHER AFTER THE HARASSMENT SCANDAL.>>Anthony: YEAH.>>BOY ARE THEY GOING TO NEED THE TRAINING NOW AND LEANING ON THAT HEAVILY.>>Anthony: NO QUESTION THAT’S GOING TO BE SOMETHING TO CONSIDER AS THEY REALLY FIND THEIR FEET IN ALL OF THIS, RIGHT. AS WE POINTED OUT, THIS HAS ONLY HAPPENED ONCE BEFORE. HOW LONG DID THAT LAST?>>SIX MONTHS.>>Anthony: I’M TELLING YOU, LEAVE THE DISK. LET’S HOPE THEY CAN ACTUALLY BEAT THAT RECORD.>>AND IT’S INTERESTING. I MEAN, YOU’D LIKE TO THINK — TO KNOW WHAT PAUL LANE IS THINKING NOW. HE HAS BEEN A TORY. HE’S BEEN A LIBERAL. BUT HE HAS SAID RECENTLY THAT IF HIS CONSTITUENCY VOTES HIM IN AS AN INDEPENDENT, HE WILL BE AN INDEPENDENT. AND EDDIE JOYCE SAID HE WILL NOT GO BACK TO THE LIBERALS LIBERALF SHIRLEY IS THERE. SHE’S BEEN RE-ELECTED. ARE THEY GOING TO SWAY ONE WAY OR ANOTHER?>>Anthony: I JUST THOUGHT OF SOMETHING. WE MAY HAVE A FALL ELECTION AFTER ALL.>>IF YOU ADD FIVE, SIX MONTHS UP. YOU NEVER KNOW. WHY ARE YOU SMILING AT ME LIKE THIS? IT’S QUITE POSSIBLE.>>Anthony: YEAH.>>WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE MINI BAR IS REALLY STRANGE OUTCOME THERE. YOU KNOW, A MIXTURE OF EVERYTHING.>>Anthony: YEAH, NO. IT SHOWS ON THE MAP BEHIND PETER, WE’LL GET A LOOK AT IT AGAIN A BIT LATER IN THE BROADCAST, AS WE WIND DOWN TO THE LAST DISTRICT. BUT IT IS INTERESTING WHEN PETER WAS SAYING THERE IS SOMETHING FOR EVERYBODY. IT IS THAT KIND OF NEAPOLITAN OUTCOME WE’RE TAKING A LOOK AT HERE, WITH 20 LIBERALS AGAIN. AND 15 CONSERVATIVES. JUST LOOK AT THAT MAP. THERE IS EVERYTHING THERE FOR YOU, AS PETER PUT IT. ORANGE, RED AND BLUE. A LOT OF PEOPLE THOUGHT THAT LABRADOR WAS UNAVAILABLE FOR THE LIBERALS. THAT DIDN’T TURN OUT TO BE TRUE. THE TYPICAL LIBERAL STRENGTH IN THE WEST, THEY TOOK A HIT IN SOME OF THE VOTES. A LOT OF BLUE IN THE MIDDLE AND THEN IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE AVALON. SO A MUCH DIFFERENT MAP THAN WHAT WE STARTED TONIGHT WITH.>>LOOKS LIKE CHRIS TIBBS. YEAH.>>Anthony: ALL RIGHT. WE’RE AT THE POINT OF THE EVENING, WE’VE BEEN WAITING, WAITING FOR THE NUMBERS TO SHOW IT. SO IMPORTANT NEWS. A BIT OF HISTORY IN THE MAKING FOR ONLY THE SECOND TIME, THE CBC ELECTION DESK HAS THIS NEWS. DWIGHT BALL WILL HAVE A MINORITY GOVERNMENT FOR ONLY THE SECOND TIME IN THIS PROVINCE’S HISTORY. A PREMIER WITH A SECOND — COMING BACK TO POWER, NOT WITH A MAJORITY, BUT WITH A MINORITY. SO THOSE NUMBERS ARE GOING TO STAY WHERE THEY ARE. LET’S TAKE A LOOK NOW. DISTRICT 16, THE ONE WE’RE TALKING ABOUT, I BELIEVE IT’S STILL IN THE NUMBERS. GRANDS FALLS-WINDSOR. WE’RE LOOKING AT SO MANY CLOSE RACING. AL HAWKINS, CABINET MINISTER, DEFEATED AND A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. CHRIS TIBBS WINS. THE PEOPLE OF GRANDS FALLS-WINDSOR KEPT US UP LATE. THERE YOU HAVE A LIBERAL MINORITY GOVERNMENT. CONSERVATIVES FIVE, FIVE BACK, THE N.D.P. THREE AND THE INDEPENDENTS TWO. 20 IN GOVERNMENT, 20 IN OPPOSITION. MY OH MY WHAT A DIFFERENT RESULT FROM WHERE WE STARTED TONIGHT.>>MY OH MY WHAT A DIFFERENT HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY WILL HAVE.>>Anthony: IT’S GOING TO BE INTERESTING TO SEE HOW THEY CAN MANAGE THIS.>>OH, YEAH. AGAIN THE LEARNING CURVE IS HUGE FOR EVERYBODY, AS REPORTERS, THE ELECTORATE. BUT MOST OF ALL FOR DWIGHT BALL. THE QUESTION MARK AROUND HIS LEADERSHIP. WILL HE BE THE PERSON DETERMINING HOW THE MINORITY GOVERNMENT WILL MOVE FORWARD?>>Anthony: SO MANY DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVES AND STORIES TO COME OUT OF THE NUMBERS OF THE RESULT THE VOTERS DECIDED TONIGHT TO RE-ELECT THE PREMIER, BUT PUT A TIGHT LEASH ON THE LIBERALS. I THINK A POINT WE MADE, A KIND OF GOVERNMENT YOU HAVE TO COMPROMISE OR AN ELECTION SITUATION ONCE AGAIN. AND THIS IS — THIS IS AN IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR THE N.D.P. AND THE INDEPENDENTS, THOUGH, AS WELL, RIGHT. THEY’RE THE FIVE THAT GIVE THE TORY 15, THE 20 ALL TOGETHER. SO THE MATH IS REALLY IMPORTANT.>>WELL, YES. AND THE LIBERALS HAVE TO APPOINT A SPEAKER.>>RIGHT.>>SO THIS IS GOING TO BE VERY INTERESTING.>>Anthony: PAUL FOR SPEAKER.>>WELL, HEY, OR EDDIE JOYCE. OR SOMEBODY FROM THE N.D.P. WHO KNOWS.>>STRANGER THINGS HAVE HAPPENED, LIKE THIS.>>Anthony: THEY MIGHT JUST GO THAT ROUTE. WE’RE WAITING NOW. WE’VE HEARD FROM ALISON COFFIN. HE FINDS HIMSELF POTENTIALLY AS LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION IN A MAJORITY SITUATION, WHICH IS MUCH DIFFERENT THAN BEING THE LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION, WHEN YOU’RE FACING A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. TRY TO MAKE SENSE OF THIS.>>ONE HAS TO WONDER, IS THIS BECAUSE OF CHES CROSBIE’S LEADERSHIP OR PEOPLE DON’T LIKE DWIGHT BALL.>>Anthony: RIGHT. THERE’S THE BROTHERS DINN.>>AND THEIR MOTHER.>>Anthony: AND THEIR MOTHER MARY. THERE’S A NICE FAMILY PICTURE. THERE SHE IS. SHE DOESN’T LIKE THE MEDIA. HAVING SAT DOWN WITH MRS. DINN. SHE HAD TWO BOYS, TOLD THEM BOTH DON’T GO INTO POLITICS. AND THERE THEY ARE. A CONSERVATIVE AND A NEW DEMOCRAT. THE STRANGE THING IS, I’M NOT TELLING — SHE’S ACTUALLY — SHE RESIDES IN PAUL’S DISTRICT. WHEN I ASKED HER WHO SHE WAS VOTING FOR, UNFORTUNATELY NOT EITHER OF MY SON. SHE WOULDN’T TELL ME IF SHE WAS VOTING LIBERAL OR NOT. WHO KNOWS WHO WON TONIGHT. YOU HAVE TO TEACH YOUR SONS TO BE FAIR.>>THEY MAY NEED TO GET HER TO MOVE.>>Anthony: THERE YOU GO. PAUL AND JIM DINN OBVIOUSLY CELEBRATING THE FACT, THE BROTHERS DINN. PETER COINED IT THERE. THERE THEY ARE CELEBRATING WITH THEIR MOM. A NICE HUMAN MOMENT IN THE ELBOWS-UP IN POLITICS. THERE THEY ARE CELEBRATING AT THE N.D.P. HEADQUARTERS. THIS MEANS PAUL HAS TO BRING DINN OVER TO THE TORY HEADQUARTERS.>>GREAT LINE FROM MARY DINN. I COULDN’T TELL THEM WHAT TO DO. THEY’RE IN THEIR 50s, THEY’RE STILL YOUNG. THEY’RE YOUNG MEN.>>Anthony: MY FAVOURITE PART OF THE INTERVIEW TO BE HONEST.>>YOUNG. ME.>>Anthony: ANYHOW. A NICE MOMENT. WE’RE WAITING TO CHES CROSBIE, WHO IS GETTING CLOSE TO SPEAKING TO REPORTERS. LOOKING AT IT, YOU KNOW, HE BASICALLY ASKED VOTERS TO SAY YES TO CHES. THEY DIDN’T.>>HE PUT UP A GOOD FIGHT.>>YEAH.>>Anthony: NOT THE YES HE WAS LOOKING FOR. NONETHELESS, HE INCREASES THE SIZE OF THE CAUCUS BY SEVEN M.H.A.s FOR EVEN TORIES WHO SAT THIS ONE OUT, THEY GIVE CHES CROSBIE HIS GUY. HE HANGS AROUND TO RUN AGAIN, HOW OLD WOULD HE BE?>>71. THAT’S A QUESTION FOR KEITH HUTCHINGS, WHAT DO YOU THINK THE PEOPLE WHO SAT THIS ONE OUT, COULD HAVE, WOULD HAVE, SHOULD HAVE.>>WE TALKED TO CANDIDATES ABOUT RUNNING. TO STEP UP AND PUT YOUR NAME ON A BALTIMORE. I THINK THERE’S SOME PRESS CONSERVATIVES OUT THERE WHO THOUGHT ABOUT RUNNING, MAYBE I SHOULD HAVE. IF YOU LUKE AT THE RESULTS HERE AND FOUR OR FIVE OF THE DISTRICTS, WERE RELATIVELY CLOSE. THE ONES WE COUNTED ON WINNING. SO, YOU KNOW, FOR A COUPLE OF HUNDRED VOTES HERE AND THERE, COULD HAVE BEEN A DIFFERENT RESULT. I THINK IT’S BEEN A GREAT RESULT.>>A LOT OF PEOPLE NOT WANT TO RUN BECAUSE CHES CROSBIE IS RUNNING? HIS STYLE IS DIFFERENT. HE’D ADMIT THAT.>>HIS STYLE IS DIFFERENT. WHO KNOWS. AS WAS MENTIONED EARLIER, MAYBE WE GET THE RAZZLE, DAZZLE OF CERTAIN POLITICIANS AND TIME FOR A CHANGE THE REALITY IS WE’VE GONE FROM EIGHT SEATS, TWO INCUMBENTS LEFT, TONIGHT WE’RE UP TO 15. WE WERE VERY CLOSE TO BEING A MINORITY, DEPENDING ON A FEW SEATS AND WHERE THEY WOULD HAVE.>>Anthony: I HAVE SEEN YOU IN OPPOSITION. IT’S KIND OF LONELY. WITH 15 IN THE MINORITY SITUATION, WHAT’S THE DIFFERENT DYNAMIC?>>IT’S HUGE. BECAUSE WHAT YOU HAVE IN TERMS OF SHARING THE LOAD IN REGARDS TO DIFFERENT DEPARTMENTS, IN DETERMINES OF THE BUDGET, DOING THE ESTIMATES, I MEAN, IT’S GOING TO BE SIGNIFICANT IN REGARDS TO SHARING THE WORKLOAD. WE HAVE GREAT NEW PEOPLE WHO ARE ELECTED, WITH GREAT BACKGROUNDS, THEY CAN DIG IN TO VARIOUS PORTFOLIOS IN QUESTION PERIOD, DEBATING BILLS, CERTAINLY IN THE ESTIMATES AND THE BUDGET. THAT’S NOT PASSED YET.>>Anthony: ALL RIGHT. AGAIN IF YOU HAVE NOT LEFT, AND I WOULDN’T SUGGEST THAW DO, GIVEN THE FACT THAT WE’VE GOT THIS. KIND OF RESULT WITH A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, FOR ONLY THE SECOND TIME IN OUR HISTORY WITH 20 LIBERALS, 15 CONSERVATIVES, THREE NEW DEMOCRATS AND TWO INDEPENDENTS. WE’RE STILL WAITING TO HEAR FROM CHES CROSBIE AND LATER DWIGHT BALL, OF COURSE, WHO IS GOING TO BE IN CHARGE OF THIS MINORITY GOVERNMENT. SO STAY TUNED. PETER?>>WE HEARD A LOT ABOUT APATHY. THIS WAS GOING TO BE THE ELECTION OF APATHY, WHERE PEOPLE WEREN’T ALL THAT EXCITED. I WANT TO POINT OUT TONIGHT THAT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A MAJORITY AND A MINORITY GOVERNMENT IS FIVE VOTES. THAT IS — SO FOR PEOPLE WHO THOUGHT, YOU KNOW WHAT, MY VOTE ISN’T GOING TO MATTER. WHAT’S THE POINT IN GOING TO VOTE? IN LABRADOR WEST THOSE COUPLE OF VOTES WOULD HAVE FLIPPED IT. THE LIBERALS WOULD HAVE 21. AND WE’D BE TALKING ABOUT A LIBERAL MAJORITY. IT WOULD BE A VERY SLIM MAJORITY, BUT THEY’D HAVE IT. AND IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO WATCH HOW THAT RECOUNT. BECAUSE THERE IS GOING TO BE AN AUTOMATIC RECOUNT. IT’S GOING TO BE DONE BY A JUDGE. HAS TO BE DONE WITHIN SEVEN DAYS. SO EVERY LITTLE SPOILED BALLOT, EVERY — THEY’RE GOING TO BE LOOKING AT EVERY TINY LITTLE X, YOU ONLY HAVE TO MOVE A FEW VOTES FROM ONE TO THE OTHER OR GET A FEW BALLOTS THROWN OUT. ALL OF A SUDDEN NOW WE’VE GOT A VERY DIFFERENT RESULT AND A VERY DIFFERENT LOOK IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. THAT’S HOW RAZOR-THIN THINGS ARE TONIGHT.>>N.L. WEBSITE, TAKING A LOOK DEVOTER TURNOUT. THE HIGHEST VOTER TURNOUT WAS IN ST. FRANCIS, YOU HAD KEVIN PARSONS, THE TORY STRONGHOLD. 70%. BUT WE ALSO HAD SOME OTHER AREAS WHERE IT WAS DOWN TO JUST A SMALL AMOUNT OF VOTES. HARBOUR GRACE, THEY HAD A VOTER TURNOUT OF 70-POINT — 70.4%, IT WASN’T A LANDSLIDE IN THE AREA, LIKE WITH PARSONS AND IN CAPE ST. FRANCIS.>>Anthony: CONSIDER THE EFFICIENCY OF THE VOTE, WHEN WE CRUNCH THE NUMBERS AT SOME POINT, WHAT THE DIFFERENT PERCENTAGES WERE. YOU MENTIONED THE INNER SAW THE VOTE COME DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY. THEY’RE UP. THE CONSERVATIVES HAD A VERY RESPECTABLE AMOUNT OF THE SHARE OF THE VOTE. YET THEY FIND THEMSELVES FIVE SEATS SHORT OF THE GOVERNMENT.>>Reporter: THE THING I FOUND AMAZING, I HEARD MORE AND MORE ORDINARY VOTERS SAYING YOU KNOW WHAT, I’D LIKE A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. THAT WAS THE MESSAGE I HAD NOT HEARD A LOT IN PREVIOUS GOVERNMENTS. GUESS WHAT, THEY GOT THE CHECKS AND BALANCES ON PLACE IN A GOVERNMENT. AND BECAUSE A LOT OF PEOPLE WERE LOOKING LIKE THE 2015 — OR 2016 BUDGET AND SAYING THAT WAS BAD. IF WE HAD A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, THERE WOULD HAVE BEEN SOMEONE TO SIT THERE, YOU KNOW WHAT, WE’RE NOT GOING TO SUPPORT THAT. AND IT’S A VERY DIFFERENT DYNAMIC WHEN YOU HAVE TO CONVINCE OTHER PARTIES TO SOMETHING, AS OPPOSED TO RELYING ON THE MAJORITY TO PUT LEGISLATION THROUGH THE HOUSE.>>I WONDER IF YOU CAN TYPE YOUR PASSWORD INTO YOUR PHONE AND PASS IT OVER TO ME. I WANT TO SEE WHAT PEOPLE ARE TEXTING YOU.>>I WAS LOOKING AT TWITTER ACTUALLY TO BE COMPLETELY HONEST. LOOK, WE WERE HOPING FOR A MAJORITY. BUT AT THE SAME TIME THE THING THAT’S KIND OF ROLLING THROUGH MY MIND RIGHT NOW, AS I LOOK AT THIS, YOU KNOW, DWIGHT BALL HAS BEEN CRITICIZED FOR PERHAPS NOT BEING THE DANNY WILLIAMS, THE BRIAN TOBIN, THE BRIAN PECKFORD, THE FIERCE LEADER, VERY STRONG AND STRONG OPINIONATED, STRONG-WILLED TYPE OF LEADER. INSTEAD WHAT HE IS, HE’S SOMEONE THAT’S WILLING TO WORK WITH ANYBODY, INCLUDING THOSE IN THE HOUSE AND ASSEMBLY. I THINK THAT’S AN ASSET TO HIM, AS WE GO THROUGH THE MINORITY SITUATION. AND A PURIST IN ME, TO BE HONEST, I’M A LIBERAL, I’M A NEWFOUNDLANDER AND LABRADOR RESIDENT, TOO, IT MIGHT BE A GOOD THING.>>Anthony: WILL HE STAY ON, DO YOU THINK?>>I THINK SO.>>WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT EDDIE JOYCE WILL COME BACK INTO THE LIBERAL FOLD?>>YOU KNOW WHAT, THAT ULTIMATELY DEPENDS. I THINK IT DEPENDS ON THE ATTACK THAT EDDIE TAKES. STILL AN ULTIMATUM. I’LL SAY HE SITS AS AN INDEPENDENT.>>WHETHER HE CAN WORK WITH A CABINET MINISTER, THAT WAS RE-ELECTED TONIGHT. WE’RE GET NOOK THE DETAIL — WE’RE GETTING INTO THE DETAILS OF THE PROBLEMS. WE CAN CERTAINLY GET INTO THAT KIND OF DETAIL AS OUR COVERAGE IS GOING TO CONTINUE. BUT I DO WANT TO SORT OF REITERATE RIGHT NOW, WE’RE LOOKING AT A MINORITY DWIGHT BALL GOVERNMENT, AS PROJECTED BY OUR ELECTION DESK WITH 20 SEATS FOR THE LIBERALS, 15 FOR THE CONSERVATIVES. I WANT TO SAY GOOD-BYE TO OUR NATIONAL AUDIENCE. BUT FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO ARE STILL HERE IN THE PROVINCE, YOU WANT TO CONTINUE WATCHING OUR COVERAGE. DON’T GO AWAY. BUT THANKS FOR WATCHING. ♪♪♪>>I’M LOOKING FORWARD TO FULFILLING MY PROMPT TO THE PEOPLE OF THE PROVINCE.>>WHAT ARE YOU DOING TOMORROW MORNING? I’LL HAVE TO TALK TO SOME PEOPLE.>>DO YOU SEE HER AS AN ALLY?>>WE HAVE ALLIES IN THE N.D.P. AND AMONGST THE INDEPENDENTS AND WE’LL JUST HAVE TO SEE WHERE OUR DISCUSSIONS TABLE US? I’VE BEEN, YOU KNOW, INVOLVED IN MY PROFESSIONAL CAREER IN THE DISCUSSIONS AND SETTLEMENTS IN EVERYTHING I’VE DONE. IF YOU HAVE TO DO IT ALL AGAIN, WHAT WOULD YOU DO DIFFERENTLY?>>I THINK DWIGHT BALL, HE WILL BE RUNNING THE GOVERNMENT, BUT I THINK THE TONE AND TENOR OF HIS REMARKS NOT CONCEDING VICTORY, PREDICTING DWIGHT BALL THAT HE WILL NOT SURVIVE.>>AND THIS, ON THE ONE HAND, YOU COULD SAY HE’S COMBATTITY AND ON THE OTHER HAND, HE’S TO SORE LIEUER. LOSER. I WOULD LIKE TO TALK TO POLITICAL INSIDERS AND IS CHES CROSBIE A SORE LOSER?>>IN ANY CAMPAIGN, I WOULD ACKNOWLEDGE PREMIER BALL RAN A CLOSE CAMPAIGN, RECOGNISEDDING HE WAS THE WINNER. BUT WHAT CHES IS LOOKING AT, WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE SPLITS, YOU HAVE 24 ON EACH SIDE. YOU LOOK AT THE POPULAR VOTE, CERTAINLY, IT WOULD EXCEED WHAT THE LIBERALS HAVE GOTTEN. I ASSUME WHEN HE SPEAKS TO THE GOVERNMENT SURVIVING AND MOVING FORWARD, WE HAVE A BUDGET COMING. I WOULD SUSPECT THE LIBERALS TODAY WOULD WISH THEY HAD PASSED THE BUDGET AND WHEN THE HOUSE WAS SITTING. NOW THEY HAVE TO GO INTO A LEGISLATURE WHERE THEY HAVE 20 SEATS. THEY HAVE TO PICK A SPEAKER AND EVERYBODY WILL HAVE TO STAND UP AND VOTE AND IF THEY DON’T VOTE, IT’S THE FALL OF THE GOVERNMENT.>>DO YOU THINK HE WORKED A MIRACLE WITH YOUR PARTY? I THINK THAT’S THE WORD YOU USE.>>I MIRACLE? I DON’T KNOW HOW YOU DEFINE A MIRACLE. HE DID A GOOD JOB.>>MIRACLES ARE BIG.>>MIRACLES ARE BIG, YEAH. I DON’T KNOW IF I CLASSIFY IT AS A MIRACLE.>>APPARENTLY HE WANTS TO TALK TO ALISON COFFIN BECAUSE YOU’RE FRIENDS.>>I TELL YOU ONE THING, WITH OUR SEATS THAT WE WON, WE’LL GO INTO THE HOUSE ASSEMBLY WITH OUR OWN AGENDA AND IF ANYBODY WANTS TO TALK TO US, IT WILL BE ON OUR TERMS BECAUSE WE’RE REPRESENTING A TERN POINT OF VIEW AND I THINK THE REAL WINNER HERE TONIGHT ARE THE VOTERS OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR BECAUSE THEY SAID NO MORE LIBERAL MAJORITY GOVERNMENTS ACTING WITH IMPUNITY AND THAT’S WHAT THEY HAVE DONE WITH THE GOVERNMENTS ACTING WITH IMPUNITY. I THINK IT’S GREAT AND I THINK THIS MINORITY SET-UP GIVES US LEVERAGE IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY TO ADVANCE TO THINGS THAT HAPPEN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.>>YOU ARE SURPRISED YOU GOT THREE SEATS? COME ON, A LITTLE BIT.>>I’M NOT SURPRISED. I’M DELIGHTED. THERE’S A DIFFERENCE. WE TARGETED, THREE, FOUR, FIVE SEATS. I’M DELIGHTED THAT WE ACHIEVED THOSE THREE SEATS, BUT WE WERE HOPEFUL AND SO I’M REALLY DETROITED. DELIGHTED. SURPRISED? NO.>>WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THE TENOR. I SUSPECT A LOT OF LIBERALS NOT HAPPY AT ALL WITH WHAT CHES CROSBIE HAD TO SAY.>>I DON’T KNOW WHAT TO SAY. TWO WORDS LEAP OUT AND THEY ARE SORE LOSER, ABSOLUTELY. THIS IS A MAN WHO SAID THE ATLANTIC ACCORD DEAL WOULD BE FAKE, WOULDN’T HAPPEN, AND THE ATLANTIC ACCORD DEAL HAPPENED. THEN HE SAID THE BUDGET IS AT STAKE AND THE GUY IS COMPLETELY DESPERATE. TO THINK THAT THE N.D.P.ES WILL COZY UP WITH ANDREW SCHEER AND STEPHEN HARPER HARD-WING CONSERVATIVES, WE’LL SEE.>>WE ALL WANT TO RESPONSE TO THAT.>>YOU CAN’T PREJUDGE WHAT ELECTED REPRESENTATIVES DO. WE TALK ABOUT COLLABORATION AND WE NEED COLLABORATION. IF PEOPLE AREN’T SATISFIED, THERE’S ROOM FOR COLLABORATION BASED ON 20 SEATS IN THE LEGISLATURE. WE CAN’T HAVE COLLABORATION ON ONE SIDE AND THE OTHER SIDE, YOU SAY MAYBE YOU SHOULDN’T SPEAK AND WITH A BUDGET COMING UP THAT LAY AHEAD THE NEXT YEAR. I THINK THE SAME THING. YEAH, IT MAY BE WHAT Mr. CROSBIE NOT WHAT THE LIBERALS WANTED TO HERE. WE HAVE TO GET AWAY FROM PARTISANSHIP. WE HAVE TO LEARN TO PULL TOGETHER TO FIX THE PROBLEMS IN IN PROVINCE. THEY’LL HAVE TO LEARN TO PLAY WITH US, INSTEAD OF SAYING WE WANT TO ACT WHAT WE WANT TO DO ON OUR TIME AND AGENDA.>>JOHN, IN YOUR OPINION, Mr. BALL WAS THE KIND OF GUY IS A GOOD CONSENSUS-BUILDING LEADER. YOU HAVE MONA RIGHT NEXT TO YOU AND EDDIE JOYCE WAS AVAILABLE BY FACE-TIME. WILL DWIGHT BALL BE REACHING OUT TO THE SAFE PEOPLE CHES CROSBIE MENTIONED?>>DWIGHT BALL WILL BE WILLING TO WORK WITH ANYBODY. I DIDN’T SEE ANY TALK OF COLLABORATIONS ON THE PART OF CHES CROSBIE RIGHT THERE. WHAT CHES CROSBIE DID WAS DECLARE WAR. WHAT THE LIBERALS ARE WILLING TO DO IS WORK WITH THE OTHER MEMBERS OF THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY AND I’M LOOKING FORWARD TO HEARING DWIGHT BALL SPEAK ABOUT THAT.>>YOU DON’T THINK HE WAS DECLARING WAR?>>AS I SAID, THERE’S 40 SEATS IN THE LEGISLATURE AND 20 HELD BY OTHERS AND THE LIBERAL PARTY. HE’S TALKING ABOUT COLLABORATION AND IF THERE’S BEEN A GENERAL CONSENSUS THAT PEOPLE AREN’T HAPPY WITH THE LIBERAL GOVERNMENT, THE POPULAR VOTE AND 20 SEATS ELECTED IN THE LEGISLATURE, WHY ISN’T IN HIS DISCUSSION, IT’S LEGITIMATE TO SAY WHY AREN’T WE TALKING TO THE OTHER 20 AND COLLECTIVELY AND COLLABORATIVELY, WE CAN DO SOMETHING DIFFERENT. THAT’S THE PARLIAMENT. THAT’S HOW IT WORKS. THERE’S 20 OTHER SEATS NOT HELL HELDBY THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT.>>IT’S COLLABORATION.>>WE HEARD THE WORD FRIEND OVER AND OVER AND HOW DID YOU THE CHES CROSBIE PC PARTY ALIGN WITH ALISON COFFIN’S N.D.P.?>>IF THEY WANT TO COME TO US AND TALK TO US ABOUT WHAT IS IMPORTANT TO THE DEMOCRATS, THEN WE’RE OPEN TO THOSE CONVERSATIONS, BUT WE HAVE A SET OF VALUES AND BELIEFS AND WE STAND UP FOR THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR THAT AREN’T REPRESENTED WELL IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. SO I DON’T THINK WE’LL NEGOTIATE A WAY WHO WE ARE, JUST SO I THINK THEY CAN TALK TO US AND WE’RE OPEN TO COLLABORATION AND DISCUSSING BUT WE WANT REAL CHANGE IN THIS PROVINCE AND EFFORT TO MAKE THAT CHANGE.>>THE LIBERALS NEED TO MAKE TWO FRIENDS, THOUGH, RIGHT? IF YOU HAVE 21, THEY NEED ONE FRIEND AND THEY NEED ONE FRIEND AND THEY CAN PASS THAT BUDGET. THE PCS NEED SIX AND I DON’T SEE SIX. SO HOW DOES THAT WORK ON A PRACTICAL LEVEL? YOU MAKE FRIENDS WITH ALL OF THE N.D.P. AND INDEPENDENTS AND THEN WHAT. AGAIN, THAT’S A GAME OF RED ROVER?>>I GUESS THE FIRST STEP IS THE SPEAKER AND I THINK THE LIBERALS WILL BE RELUCTANT BECAUSE IT PUTS THEM AT 19th. I DON’T KNOW WHAT THE NUMBERS ARE BUT YOU HAVE THE DISCUSSION AND COLLABORATION AND SEE IF THERE IS A WILLINGNESS TO COLLABORATE BUT THAT’S SOMETHING DECIDED AND WHETHER IT’S TWO, THREE, FOUR, FIVE OR IF IT NEVER HAPPENS, YOU WON’T KNOW UNTIL THE DISCUSSION STARTS AND THE COLLABORATION BEGINS.>>AND IF NOBODY AGREES TO WORK WITH THE LIBERALS, THEN BRING IT BACK.>>YOU HAVE TO ASK YOURSELF WHICH PARTY IS LEAST PREPARED AND DESIRES A QUICK ELECTION IN THE NEXT YEAR? WHEN I LOOK AT THE PARTIES, THEY’RE FACING ABSOLUTE, COMPLETE AND UTTER BURN-OUT IS THE INCUMBENT, THE GOVERNMENT. RIGHT NOW IT’S A TIME WHEN THE PARTIES GET TOGETHER SECRETLY FROM US AND TAKE A DEEP BREATH. WE KNOW WE GO TO THE POLLS IN THE FALL, SOMETHING RESEMBLING THE BUDGET AND GET THAT THROUGH AND BUY US A YEAR AND I WOULD SUSPECT THAT’S WHAT THE PARTIES DO. IN A YEAR, WE DON’T HAVE THE FEDERAL ELECTION IN THE FALL, BUT WHO KNOWS.>>THE OBVIOUS CHOICE WOULD BE EDDIE JOYCE, TO CONVINCE HIM TO COME BACK TO THE LIBERAL SIDE. WHAT DOES HE HAVE TO OFFER TO DO THAT?>>THAT’S NOT FOR ME TO SAY, FOUR SURE. THAT’S ABOVE MY PAY GRADE. [ Laughter ]>>I THINK THAT Mr. JOYCE HAS GOOD RELATIONSHIPS WITH THOSE IN THE HOUSE ASSEMBLY AND A LOT OF PEOPLE IN THE LIBERAL CAUCUS. REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHAT HAPPENS THERE. BUT I’M SURE THAT DWIGHT BALL IS WILLING TO WORK WITH ANYBODY IN THAT HOUSE ASSEMBLY AND I’M SURE THAT WOULD INCLUDE EDDIE JOYCE.>>IT WOULD BE FASCINATING WHEN WE SPOKE TO EDDIE JOYCE EARLIER AND I’M SAYING THIS TO THE PEOPLE WHO HAVE HELPED US PUT THIS SPECIAL TOGETHER BUT FASCINATING TO TALK AND RECONNECT WITH EDDIE JOYCE NOW BY FACE-TIME. [ Laughter ]>>THINGS ARE MUCH DIFFERENT THAN THEY WERE. EDDIE JOYCE TOLD ME IF WE WANTED TO TALK TO HIM — HE TOLD ME WHAT HE TOLD CONSTITUENTS, CALL ANY TIME. BUT IT GETS INTO THIS, WE’LL SEE AND HOW WILL THINGS BE. WALK ME THROUGH THIS.>>THE N.D.P. RESULT, I THINK IS A BIG SURPRISE. I THINK THAT IS A LESSON FOR THE LIBERALS TO LEARN AND THAT WE COULD HAVE DONE MORE ON THE GROUND, FOCUSING IN THE AREAS THAT WE COULD HAVE REALLOCATED. INSOFAR AS THE NUMBER OF 20, THAT WAS IN THE BACK OF MY MIND, FOR SURE, BUT THE BIGGER SHOCK IS THE N.D.P. GETTING THREE SEATS?>>NORMA, MUSIC TO YOUR EARS?>>MUSIC TO MY ANDS FOR SURE. YOU CALL A SNAP ELECTION WITH A LEADER THAT IS IN FOR CERTAINLY SEVENWEEKS DURING A TIME YOU’RE HEADING INTO A HOLIDAY SEASON AND I THINK THAT WAS UNPRECEDENTED IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR AND I THINK THE RESULTS REFLECT WHAT NEWFOUNDLANDERS THOUGHT ABOUT THAT AS WELL. A LOT OF PEOPLE WANTED TO STEP UP BECAUSE OF FAMILY COMMITMENT, WORK COMMITMENTS AND SO ON. 2023 WILL BE REALLY INTERESTING.>>THE QUESTION THAT CAME UP, IS PART OF YOU THINKING, OH, IF ONLY WE WERE COULD HAVE RUN A FEW MORE CANDIDATES? HAD THE N.D.P. DONE WHAT THEY HOPE DO, RUN A FULL SLATE OF CANDIDATES. IT’S A BIG IF.>>BUT WHO KNOWS WHAT THE RESULTS WOULD HAVE BEEN. THE REAL LOSERS WHEN GOVERNMENTS ACT WITH IMPUNITY, YOU DON’T GET THE OPPORTUNITY TO HAVE THAT CHOICE IN FRONT OF YOU. THAT NEEDS TO STOP. WE NEED TO FIX THE ELECTION AND IT’S EITHER WE HAVE A FIXED DATE LEGISLATION OR WE DO AND WE HAVE TO DO WHAT’S RIGHT, GIVE CHOICE, GIVE THE OPPORTUNITY, GIVE FAIRNESS, LEVEL THE PLAYING FIELD AND THAT’S WHAT WE NEED TO BE DOING. WE HAD DO THAT AND MINORITY GOVERNMENTS ARE BETTER AT GETTING AT WHAT WE NEED.>>IF THEY CAN GET ANYTHING DONE. ON THE SUBJECT, VOTERS WERE ASKED TO SAY YES TO CHES. THEY DIDN’T SAY YES AND IT WAS A POLITE NO AND WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR CONSERVATIVES.>>I THINK THE OLD ADDAGE WITH SOME OF WHAT WE SAW IF THE BACKLASH OF 2016. CHES HAS HIS STYLE AND SOME OF THE RESULTS WERE THERE. WE DIDN’T HAVE THREE SEATS. MISS COFFIN HAD A SHORT WINDOW AS WE ALL DID AND FOR US, TOO, WE HAD THREE OR FOUR OTHER SEATS THAT WE WOULD PROBABLY TAKE AND THAT WAS A BIT OF A ADVISE. WE DIDN’T DO THAT.>>SHOULD MENTION THAT DWIGHT BALL, HIS ADVANCED TEAM HAS GOTTEN TO THE BALLROOM. I’LL ASK YOU THIS QUESTION, CHES CROSBIE HAD TWO SPEECHES AND NEITHER APPLIED AND SPOKE OFF THE CUFF. HOW MANY SPEECHES DID DWIGHT BALL PREPARE.>>I’M WILLING TO BET IT ISN’T THE ONE HE WILL GIVE NOW.>>EDDIE JOYCE WAS THE OPEN SURE BET.>>LIBERALS ARE CHEERING THAT THEY HAD BEEN CONFIRMED TO GOVERNMENT AND THERE YOU GO. THIS IS THE CREW ARRIVING IN CORNER BROOKS.>>THE FACES SAY MINORITY.>>TO A LARGE DEGREE.>>THE OPPOSITION LEADER SEES THE DOOM AND THAT ACTUALLY WILL OPPOSITIONWILL NOT LAST THE YEA. SOMETIMES YOU CAN CONFUSE THE TWO AND I REMEMBER BUMPING INTO HIM AND I YOU HAVE TO REMEMBER, I’M THE BETTER LOOKING BALL.>>WILL HE DROP THE BALL LIKE CHES HAS DONE OR JUST TAKE HIS SEAT?>>ACROSS THE COUNTRY, THE QUESTION MARK IS ARE YOU GOING TO STAY ON AND REPLACE YOU AND TRY TO KEEP THIS MOMENTUM GOING? GIVE IT A YEAR AND LET THIS SETTLE DOWN AND THERE’S A CONSTITUTIONAL LEADERSHIP REVIEW, ISN’T THERE, AFTER IT’S CALLED FOR IN THE CONSTITUTION WITHIN TWO YEARS OR A YEAR AND A HALF OF AN ELECTION?>>RIGHT. WELL, THEY JUST HAD ONE IN JUNE. THE RESULTS WOULD CHANGE THINGS.>>SO WE’LL SEE. WE SAW A LITTLE TOPSY TURVY WORK.>>THEY’LL GIVE THEIR SPEECHES AND I DON’T THINK THEY’LL BE WAITING TWO YEARS AFTER THIS ELECTION TO QUESTION OR TO AT LEAST ASK, LIKE, ARE YOU REALLY GOING TO SAY? EITHER YOU MAKE THE DECISION OR DO YOU MAKE IT FOR YOU?>>AS WE WERE WAITING FOR DWIGHT BALL, I WAS LOOKING AT THE VOTING NUMBERS BECAUSE WE THOUGHT THE VOTER APATHY WOULD BE THE STORY. BUT THE LOWEST VOTER TURN-OUT WAS 20.4% IN HUMMER BAY WITH MOUNT SAIO HAS A LOWER TURN-OUT.>>THEY HAVE TO GET A LOT OF CONSENSUS AND WILL TAKE A LOT MORE TIME AND IT COMPLICATES THINGS. IT’S COMPLICATED AND TODAY IT’S VERY COMPLICATED BUT THE QUESTION IS WHETHER OR NOT WHAT HE SAYS NOW IN THE NEXT FIVE MINUTES WHEN HE SPEAKS WILL BE INDICATIVE OF WHERE WE’LL GO IN THE NEXT SIX MONTHS.>>LIKE THE MAY-TAG REPAIRMAN.>>I HOPE I’M MORE INTERESTING THAN THE REPAIRMAN.>>USUALLY. [ Laughter ]>>YOU WERE ASKING ABOUT EDDIE JOYCE AND COLLEAGUE BIRD WAS SPEAKING WITH HIM AND EDDIE JOYCE TOLD HER HE WILL NOT JOIN ANY PARTY. HE WAS ELECTED INDEPENDENT AND HE’LL STAY THAT WAY. NOW IF THE RIGHT OFFER CAME ALONG, IF HE FELT IT WAS IN THE BEST INTERESTS OF HIS CONSTITUENTS, PLEASE JOIN THE PARTY, THINGS CAN CHANGE BUT DON’T EXPECT EDDIE JOYCE WILL SAY, HA-HA, I’M A LIBERAL AGAIN.>>IT WOULD BE A BAD LOOK IF THE VOTERS VOTED HIM HIM AND AN HOUR LATER, HE SAYS IF I GET THE RIGHT OFFER.>>THE OTHER ONE, OF COURSE, THE PEOPLE WILL BE WONDERING IN TERMS OF INDEPENDENTS IS PAUL LANE, HE POSTED ON SOCIAL MEDIA ABOUT A WEEK AND A HALF AGO, BECAUSE PEOPLE HAVE BEEN ASKING THAT IF IT’S A MINORITY AND HE INSISTED MUCH OF THE SAME THING. HE SAID, LOOK, I’LL DO WHAT’S IN THE BEST INTEREST OF MY CONSTITUENTS AND I WON’T BE PLAYING KING-MAKER OR TAKING A CABINET POSITION.>>CABINETS ARE LIKE ROMANCE AND SOMETIMES THE MORE COY, THE MORE ATTRACTIVE YOU BECOME. YOU HAVE TO PLAY A DIFFICULT GAME BECAUSE YOU’RE TALKING ABOUT POWER HERE.>>AND MONEY.>>IT’S LIKE A $50,000 BUMP IF YOU’RE THE SPEAKER.>>HE DIDN’T SAY HE WOULD TAKE THE SPEAKER’S JOB.>>THAT IS AN EXCELLENT POINT. [ Laughter ]>>BECAUSE IT IS A ROLE THAT HE HAS TALKED ABOUT WANTING BEFORE.>>I DON’T THINK HE WHAT DEPUTY SPEAKER, BUT HE DID PLAY A ROLE AND I THINK IT WAS COMMITTEES. SO HE DOES HAVE SOME EXPERIENCE IN REGARDS TO THAT.>>THAT WAS A CONSULTATION PRIZE WHEN HE WASN’T MADE A CABINET MINISTER. AND HE HAS TALKED UP HIS CREDENTIALS AS SOMEONE WHO WANTS TO BE A CONSENSUS MAKER. I MEAN, HE CLAIMS THAT SOME PARTIES WERE INTERESTED IN TAKING HIM BUT NOT ON TERMS HE COULD ACCEPT. MAYBE THAT WILL CHANGE IN THINGS FOR WEEKS TO COME. EDDIE JOYCE SAID HE WOULD NOT SIT ON THE SAME SIDE OF THE HOUSE AND BENCH WITH HIS ACCUSER. HE TOLD A LOT OF PEOPLE HE HAD NO INTENTION ON DOING THAT, VERSUS THAT MAN KICKED EDDIE JOYCE OUT. DWIGHT BALL IS ABOUT TO TALK TO HIS SUPPORTERS AS HE HAS DONE SOMETHING THAT HAS HAPPENED ONLY ONCE BEFORE, THAT HE WON HIMSELF A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. SO HE IS GREETING HIS SUPPORTERS AND ON HIS WAY IN, SMILING. DWIGHT BALL WORKS A ROOM VERY, VERY WELL AND REMEMBERS THINGS AND HAS BUILT UP RELATIONSHIPS WITH A LOT OF PEOPLE AND SHAKING HANDS AND SMILING. HE’S A STEEL POLITICIAN ON THAT GROUND LEVEL AND HE WILL GET THERE EVENTUALLY.>>ANY FAVORITE MOMENT OF THE JUNE CAMPAIGN IN GANDER WAS WHEN HE GOT HIS ENDORSEMENT AND HE CAME IN AND PICKED SCOTT SIMMS OFF THE GROUND, THREE FEET AND SWUNG HIM AROUND, THE MP. I HAVE A PICTURE OF IT. I DON’T SEE SCOTT HERE TONIGHT SO HE’S SAFE. [ Laughter ]>>SCOTT ISN’T VERY TALL, THOUGH.>>I DON’T THINK HE’S IN THE MOOD TO PICK ANYONE UP.>>PRETTY SPRY.>>THIS IS THE BASE AFTER WHAT HAS TO BE — EVEN THOUGH THEY’VE WON THIS MINORITY GOVERNMENT, THIS HAS TO BE A LITTLE BIT OF A STING, NO DOUBT.>>I THINK YOU CAN SEE THAT ON HIS FACE TONIGHT, THAT THIS IS NOT WHAT HE EXPECT.>>SIGNIFICANT NUMBER OF SEATS EXPECTED IN THE ELECTION OF 2015, WHICH HAS TRANSLATED INTO THIS MINORITY GOVERNMENT BUT THE CHEERS, AGAIN, YOU CAN SEE HIS BROTHER SITS ON THE EDGE OF THE SCREEN. NOT TO FAR AWAY FROM DWIGHT BALL. HE’LL EVENTUALLY GET THE STAGE AND SPEAK. HE MIGHT CHAT UP PEOPLE FOR A LIBERAL TIME. NOT A POLITICIAN WHO NEEDS A MICROPHONE.>>THAT’S JOHN ALLEN TO THE LEFT.>>THE NOVEMBER OF 2015, WE ALL GATHERED IN THIS ROOM TO CELEBRATE AN HISTORIC WIN WHEN HE ASSUMED THE GOVERNMENT OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, VOLUNTEER SUPPORT AND PARTICIPATION AND YOU MADE IT HAPPEN! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THINK BACK, THINK BACK TO THOSE TIMES WHEN WE FORMED A GOVERNMENT. YOU KNOW, WE HAD DIFFICULT TIMES. WE HAD DIFFICULT CHALLENGES THAT WE MET. WE MET THEM HEAD-ON. WE HAD A 2.$7 ANNUAL DEFICIT. WE HAD THE LEGACY, THE NEGATIVE LEGACY OF MUSKRAT FALLS BUT WE HAD ONE THING GOING FOR US. WE HAD A PROVINCE THAT WANTED TO SUCCEED AND GROW IN ADVANCE AND WE HAD A PREMIER, A BRAND NEW ELECTED PREMIER THAT KNEW THE CHALLENGES AND KNEW THE OPPORTUNITIES. WE HAD A PREMIER IN PREMIER THE DWIGHT BALL! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] NOW TODAY, TODAY, TODAY AFTER INCREDIBLE CHALLENGES, THINGS THAT WE COULD NEVER HAVE FORESEEN, THINGS THAT WERE JUST NEVER ON THE BOOKS, A $2.7 BILLION DEFICIT, A MUSKRAT FALLS LEGACY, WE HAD A PREMIER, A BRAND NEW ELECTED PREMIER THAT NEVER SHIRKED RESPONSIBILITY AND TOOK IT HEAD ON AND HE BROUGHT THE PROVINCE TO A BRAND NEW ERA. NOW TODAY, NOW TODAY, WE HAVE NEW HOPE, BUT NOW, WE MAKE A NEW CHAPTER, A NEW CHAPTER OF THE GOVERNMENT OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR UNDER A PREMIER THAT HAS PROVEN HIMSELF VERY MUCH CAPABLE, READY AND ABLE TO DO HIS JOB AND HAS BEEN SUPPORTED BY THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] WHEN HE HAD THOSE CHALLENGES, WE HAD TO TRIM OUR SALE AND LEARNED WHAT THE CIRCUMSTANCESES WERE, WE HAD TO TRIM OUR SALES. WE HAD TO ADJUST AND TODAY WE ARE UNDER A NEW SITUATION, A NEW ENVIRONMENT AND WE WILL AJUST,AT AND GROW OUR PARTNERS. YOU ARE TO BE CELEBRATED. LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, PUT YOUR HANDS TOGETHER TO THE NEXT PREMIER OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, OUR INCUMBENT PREMIER, PREMIER DWIGHT BALL! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>THANK YOU! NO ONE CAN SAY MY POLITICAL LIFE HAS BEEN BORING. [ Laughter ]>>I AM SO GRATEFUL TO RUN IN THE DISTRICT AND I WANT TO SAY THAT THEY’VE BEEN REMARKABLE OVER THE LAST MONTH IN PUTTING OUR ELECTION TEAM TOGETHER, SO THANK YOU VERY MUCH TO THE PEOPLE! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>ALSO I WANT TO SAY NEW TO EVERY LIBERAL CANDIDATE WE HAVE WHO RAN AND PUT THEMSELVES ON THE PLOT IN THIS ELECTION. I’M SO GRATEFUL FOR THE CAMPAIGN TEAM THAT HAVE WORKED SO HARD ALONG THE 9,000 KILOMETERS WE’VE TRAVELED ACROSS OUR PROVINCE. ADDED TO THAT, I WANT TO SAY THANK YOU TO EVERY SINGLE PERSON THAT PUT THEIR NAME ON THE BALLOT TO RUN IN THE 2019 ELECTION. YOU PUT YOURSELF FORWARD. YOU’VE OFFERED YOURSELF FOR PUBLIC SERVICE AND FOR THAT, I SAY THANK YOU AND I OWE TO YOU A GREAT GRATITUDE. YES, THANK YOU. LET’S PUT YOUR HAND TOGETHER. (APPLAUSE).>>TO CHES CROSBIE AND ALISON COFFIN AND TO GRAYDON PELLEY, THANK YOU TO LEADING YOUR PARTIES UNDER YOUR RESPECTIVE BANNERS. WE’VE HAD OUR DIFFERENCES AS LEADERS, BUT WE ALL KNOW THAT THE JOB IS DIFFICULT AND I COMMEND YOU FOR ACCEPTING THOSE CHALLENGES. THE CANDIDATES IN THIS ELECTION PUT THEMSELVES FORWARD AT A VERY IMPORTANT TIME IN THE HISTORY OF OUR PROVINCE. IT IS IMPORTANT THAT WE WORK TOGETHER FOR THE GOOD OF ALL THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. I’VE ALWAYS STRESSED THE IMPORTANCE OF MHAS WORKING TOGETHER AND I WILL WELCOME COLLABORATION WITHIN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. PEOPLE EXPECT THAT FROM THEIR ELECTED OFFICIALS. SO WHEN I THINK ABOUT THE LAST FOUR YEARS, AND WHEN I THINK ABOUT THIS ELECTION, AND WHEN I THINK ABOUT THE CHALLENGES THAT WE HAVE FACED, I THINK OF ONE THING. WE OVERCOME. WE HAVE OVERCOME THE WORST FINANCIAL SITUATION THAT OUR PROVINCE HAS EVER FACED AND WE WILL RESTORE SURPLUS BUDGETS UNDER THIS NEW MANDATE AND DO IT WHILE CREATING JOBS, IMPROVING HEALTHCARE AND ENHANCING EDUCATION FOR NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] WE HAVE OVERCOME DISASTROUS MISTAKES OF MUSKRAT FALLS AND IN THIS MANDATE, THE PROJECT WILL BE COMPLETED AND THE PEOPLE OF OUR PROVINCE WILL BE PROTECTED FROM THE COST OF IMPACTS ON THEIR ELECTRICITY RATES. AND WE HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO ACHIEVE SO MUCH WHEN WE WORK TOGETHER, THAT PEOPLE OF OUR PROVINCE WANT TO SEE HARD WORK. THEY WANT TO SEE PARTNERSHIPS AND THEY WANT TO SEE HUMILITY. IT IS A GREAT HONOUR TO BE THE PREMIER OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. I SEE MORE OPPORTUNITIES AND I SEE CHALLENGES WHEN AS A GROUP WE WORK TOGETHER. IT IS A GREAT HONOUR TO WORK WITH BUSINESS LEADERS, WITH COMMUNITY LEADERS AND INDIGENOUS LEADERS TO CREATE A BETTERMENT FOR ALL OF NEIGHBORHOOD. NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. I’M PROUD TO SEE NEW HOSPITALS SPRINGING UP. NEARLY 6,000 JOBS MORE IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR THAN LAST YEAR THIS TIME AND WE HAVE PUT A PLAN AND VISION IN PLACE FOR NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR AND THAT PLAN IS WORKING! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] WHEN I GOT BACK TO MY DISTRICT LAST NIGHT, ONE OF THE STREETS I WANTED TO VISIT WAS A STREET THAT I GREW UP ON. NOT BAD FOR A YOUNG FELLOW WHO GREW UP ON ANCOX ROAD AND WAS 16 YEARS OLD. THERE WAS ANOTHER KIND OF MILK THAN CARNATION. IT SENDS A MESSAGE ACROSS OUR PROVINCE THAT YOU HAVE A FUTURE HERE AND YOU, TOO, CAN BE A FUTURE LEADER. SO I COMMIT TO ALL OF YOU THAT IN THE NEXT MANDATE, I WILL STAY HUMBLE AND I WILL HUMBLY HOPE THAT I WILL BE JOINED BY ALL MHAS, TO MATTER WHAT POLITICAL STRIFE. WHAT WE NEED IS A COMMITMENT TO MAKE THIS PROVINCE A BETTER PLACE TO LIVE AND A BETTER FUTURE FOR NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ARE BETTER TO TEACH US, BETTER THAN ROBO CALLS. WE ARE BETTER THAN POLITICS, STOPPING ANDPREPARING FOR PROGRESS. I WILL WORK WITH EVERY SINGLE MEMBER AND OUR LIBERAL GOVERNMENT MADE STRONGER WITH NEW MEMBERS AND EXPERIENCED VETERANS WILL KEEP MOVING NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR FORWARD AND I LOOK FORWARD IN THE COMING DAYS AND MONTHS IN THE NEW ERA OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR POLITICS. LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, THANK YOU. THIS IS A VICTORY FOR THE NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR LIBERAL PARTY. THANK YOU VERY MUCH. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>PREMIER DWIGHT BALL CONCLUDING HIS REMARKS AS HE HAS BASICALLY WON HIMSELF A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, MAKING A REFERENCE TO A NEW ERA OF POLITICS FOR OUR PROVINCE AND KEY WORDS THAT I TOOK FROM DWIGHT BALL, THE MOST IMPORTANT THING IS THAT HE’LL STAY HUMBLE WHICH CAN HAPPEN WHEN THE ELECTORATE TAKES AWAY AND YOU CAN HEAR HIM REACHING OUT. WE SEE HIM KISSING HIS GRANDDAUGHTER.>>VERY DIFFERENT SPEECH THAN WHAT WE HEARD EARLIER THAN CHES CROSBIE AND NO MENTION OF COMMENTS MADE BY Mr. CROSBIE ABOUT BALL NOT SURVIVING AS PREMIER OF THE PROVINCE.>>DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE HANGING AROUND THE WAY DWIGHT BALL USUALLY DOES, HAD THIS BEEN A RESPECTABLE MAJORITY. .I THINK CHES CROSBIE THERE.>>HE TOOK THE HIGH ROAD. THE ONE WORD THAT STOOD OUT TO ME, WE’VE OVERCOME THE WORST FINANCIAL CRISIS. THE THING I WAS THINKING, HIS HE SEEN THE BOOKS? BUT I THINK WHEN HE FIRST GOT INTO POWER AND THE SITUATION WAS AS BAD AS A $2 BILLION DEFICIT. WE STILL HAVE A DIRE DEFICIT, BUT HE MENTIONED PARTNERSHIPSES. THAT IS NOT AS OVERT AS SAYING CHES CROSBIE. HIS IS MORE LIKE PARTNERSHIPS ARE WHAT PEOPLE WANT. THEY WANT HUMBLE LEADERSHIPS, NOT THE MUD-SLINGING. CHES PUSHED THE ENVELOPE WITH HIS SPEECH AND SCRUM AFTERWARDS.>>I SUSPECT WE’LL BE HEARING FROM OTHER LIBERALS ELECTED WHO WILL TAKE LESS KINDLY AND CERTAINLY JERRY BURN IS ONE PERSON I SUSPECT WILL HAVE A LOT OF WORDS TO SHARE. JERRY BURN HAD SPOKEN ABOUT CERTAIN TACTICS THAT HE ALLEGES THE CONSERVATIVES USE IN THIS CAMPAIGN. THE PREMIER MADE A REFERENCE TO ROBO-CALLS THAT THE CONSERVATIVES HAD BEEN ACCUSED OF. BUT BY AND LARGE, HE TRIED TO LOOK LIKE A LEADER AND WE ARE ENTERING INTO A NEW ERA.>>THAT WHAT’S CLASSIC DWIGHT BALL. CHES CROSBIE DOESN’T SHOW A LOT OF EMOTION AND DWIGHT BALL DOESN’T EITHER. HE COULD HAVE COME OUT TONIGHT, GUNS BLAZING AND FIRING OUT BUT HE KNOWS HIS WINGS HAVE BEEN CLIPPED. JOHN, YOU’RE NODDING IN AGREEMENT.>>SORRY TO INTERRUPT. WE MIGHT BREAK AWAY TRY TO ENGAGE THE PREMIER AS HE SPEAKS AT THE HEADQUARTERS BUT PLEASE GO AHEAD.>>I MEAN, OBVIOUSLY, IT WASN’T A VICTORY SPEECH HE WAS HOPING TO GIVE TONIGHT.>>THE FIRST THING, HE LOOKED LIKE A PREMIER. BUT NOT ONLY THAT, FURTHER TO THE THINGS YOU WERE SAYING, ONE THING I KNOW ABOUT DWIGHT BALL, HIS HEART RATE STAYS THE SAME NO MATTER WHAT. THAT’S PART OF WHAT YOU SAW AND THAT’S A BENEFIT THAT HE’LL HAVE IN MANAGING A MINORITY SITUATION.>>MONA, YOU WERE SHAKING YOUR HEAD IS DISBELIEF LISTENING TO DWIGHT BALL.>>TWO THINGS, I’M HAPPY TO HEAR A LITTLE HUMILITY BECAUSE THAT WAS NOT ON DISPLAY WHILE THEY HAD A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT AND I’M NOT SURE WHAT ELECTION RESULTS JERRY BURN HAS BEEN LOOKING AT BUT THAT WAS JUST BIZARRE. THEY HAVE A MINORITY GOVERNMENT TONIGHT AND THAT CELEBRATORY, WE DONE IT ALL. NO, YOU HAVEN’T. NEWFOUNDLANDS HAVE SAID, WE DON’T LIKE YOUR STYLE OF GOVERNMENT AND GIVING YOU A MINORITY GOVERNMENT NOW AND WE WANT TO SEE CHANGE. I’M GLAD TO HEAR THE HUMILITY BECAUSE IT HAS NOT BEEN ON DISPLAY.>>I WOULDN’T WANT TO SELL SHORT THE ACCOMPLISHMENTS OVER THE PAST FOUR YEARS. SURE, THERE ARE STILL FISCAL CHALLENGES TO BE FACED, ABSOLUTELY. THIS IS A BIG ELEPHANT WE HAVE TO EAT AND EAT IT ONE BITE AT A TIME. WHEN IN 2015, THERE WAS A 2.$7 DEFICIT. .7DEFICIT AND SPENDING WAS STAB.>>THE ELECTION IS OVER NOW. [ Laughter ]>>I THINK WE SHOULD ASSESS RESULTS.>>IT MATTERS. WE SHOULDN’T LET THE SEAT OF PERFECTION GET IN THE WAY OF PROGRESS AND HOPEFULLY THE PARTIES CAN WORK TOGETHER TO CREATE MORE PROGRESS, BECAUSE THIS ISN’T GOING TO HAPPEN OVER A SHORT-TERM.>>ARE YOU BUYING THIS?>>YOU KNOW, IT’S INTERESTING, HUMBLING COOPERATION WHICH MEANS IT DIDN’T EXIST BEFORE AND ONE OF THE OTHER ISSUES, THE WORK HE NEEDS TO DO, MOVING FORWARD WITH A BUDGET AND CONCILIATION AND THE THINGS HE HAS TO DO ACROSS THE AISLE, IF YOU WILL AND GETTING HIS PLATFORM MOVING FORWARD, I THINK HE RECOGNISEDS THAT. AS WELL, I DID SEE DISAPPOINTMENT IN DWIGHT. I WORKED IN THE HOUSE WITH TWILIGHTAND RESPECT HIM, BUT I K HE’S SHOWING, MAYBE, THE STRATEGY OF PLAYING WITH THE FIXED ELECTION DATE A LITTLE BIT, OF BRINGING A BUDGET IN AND NOT PASSING THE BUDGET ON THE ATLANTIC ACCORD. THAT STRATEGY DIDN’T WORK AND I THINK HE’S A LITTLE DISAPPOINTED, AS I SUSPECT ANYONE WOULD BE.>>I SUSPECTED A LITTLE BIT OF DEJECTION BECAUSE I COVERED HIP HIMTO GET THAT. IT WOULD BE A SUBTLE THING TO CATCH. IS IT FAIR TO ASK, DID THE LIBERALS HAVE A PLAN B?>>WHAT I MEAN, IF THE FAST ELECTION CALL DIDN’T WORK TO QUICKLY CAUSE PROBLEMS FOR THE CONSERVATIVES AND THE N.D.P., WHAT WAS PLAN B AFTER THAT, OTHER THAN A SPENDING THAT CAME FROM MONEY WE DIDN’T REALIZE WE HAD?>>I THINK IT WAS CLEAR THAT THE IDEA HERE WAS, WE’RE AHEADING INTO A FALL ELECTION WITH FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. WE’LL BE PASSING A BUDGET WHICH IS AT A CRITICAL JUNCTURE AND WHAT IT WAS ABOUT, PUTTING THAT BUDGET TO THE PEOPLE AND THAT’S WHAT WE DID. MINE, THE ATLANTIC ACCORD IS A PART OF THAT, BUT WHAT THE TEA DEBATE WOULD BE THE MOST RECENT BUDGET.>>THE PEOPLE HAVE DECIDED TO WORK WITH OTHERS AND THAT’S WHAT DWIGHT BALL SAID HE WOULD DO.>>LET’S ADDRESS ISSUES WE BROUGHT UP. HOW ABOUT WE TALK ABOUT THE VOTE? YOU MENTIONED ON THE AIR, ONE OF THE THINGS YOU WOULD BE LOOKING FOR TONIGHT WAS VOTER TURN-OUT?>>I THINK WE WERE ABOVE WHERE WE WERE. MY QUICK MATH –>>LET’S TAKE A LOOK.>>OK.>>WE’LL SEE EXACTLY WHERE WE ARE AS FAR AS VOTER TURN-OUT.>>THE TOTAL VOTES AND THERE YOU GO. 60.1%. THAT’S UP SIX PERCENTAGE FOR POINTS.THERE WAS SO MUCH PESSIMW LOW WE HAD DROPPED. THAT IS ANOTHER INTERESTING STORY TONIGHT.>>ABSOLUTELY. I HAVE TO ADD, THE VERY, VERY, SHOCKINGLY LOW 20% THAT WE HEARD THERE, THERE WAS FROM THE ELECTIONS N.LING WEBSITE.>>LEAD GO BACK.>>THE PEOPLE THAT ELECT US, THEY CAN DO GREAT THINGS.>>WHAT ARE YOUR FUTURE?>>IN POLITIC, TO CONTINUE ON WITH THE MANDATE I’VE BEEN GIVEN TONIGHT AND WORK WITH ALL 40 MEMBERS.>>HOW LONG WILL YOU DO THAT IN.>>I’LL DO THAT AS LONG THE MANDATE TAKES ME. WE HAVE A GREAT PLAN IN PLACE, CREATING JOBS FOR NEWFOUNDLANDERS AND LABRADOR AND CREATING NEW INFRASTRUCTURE. THE NEW WATERFORD WILL BE REPLACED. THERE WILL BE A LOT THAT WILL BRING GREAT THINGS.>>LAST TIME IT LASTED ONE DAY. DO YOU EXPECT YOURS TO LAST LONGER?>>OURS WILL DEFINITELY LAST LONGER. THIS IS A BUDGET WE PUT IN PLACE AND I’LL BE REACHING OUT TO OTHER PARTY LEADERS. WE PUT TOGETHER A PLAN TO MOVE FORWARD.>>WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO IN TERMS OF THE SPEAKER?>>AS I SAID, THE BEST THING FOR ANY LEADER TO DO TONIGHT IS GET A GOOD NIGHT’S SLEEP, RECOVER FROM THE LAST 28 DAYS, RECOVER FROM WHERE THIS CAMPAIGN HAS US.HAVE CONVERSATIONS WITH PEOP.>>UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES WOULD HE REJOIN THE LIBERAL PARTY. EDDIE JOYCE SAID HE WILL NOT REJOIN THE PARTY. DOES THAT MAKE A DIFFERENCE?>>THERE WILL BE GREAT THINGS TO DO TOGETHER. SOMETIMES IT TAKES A BIT OF COURAGE AND A BIT OF WILL AND NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR HAS SPOKEN CLEARLY.>>YOU DID NOT PASS –>>WHAT ABOUT THE COMMENTS AFTER SAYING YOU WOULD NOT BE PREMIER IN LESS THAN A YEAR. CHES CROSBIE HAD 15 SEATS, WE HAVE 20 SEAT, FIVE SEATS MORE THAN THE PCS IN THIS PARTICULAR CASE AND I’M NOT SURE WHICH OF THE 15 WILL BE SPEAKING FOR OUR 20. I WILL GUARANTEE HE IS NOT SPEAKING FOR OUR 20. LET’S KEEP IN MIND, HE RAN A A DIRTY CAMPAIGN. HE COULD HAVE SAID NO TO THAT AND DECIDED TO DO IT. ONE THING THAT CHES SAID YES TO WAS THE ROBO-CALLS.>>YOU DID NOT PASS A BUDGET BEFORE YOU CALLED THIS ELECTION. HOW WILL YOU GET YOUR PLAN THROUGH IN.>>BUDGETS PASS. YOU TAKE A VOTE AND THE BUDGET WILT BE PASSED IN THE HOUSE WITH ALL 40 MEMBERS.>>WHAT ABOUT PAUL LANE RETURNING TO THE LIBERAL CAUCUS?>>TONIGHT IS A NIGHT TO GET SOME SLEEP, GET SOME REST AND THINK ABOUT WHAT THE NEXT FEW WEEKS LOOK LIKE.>>WHAT ABOUT A RECOUNT IN BONA VISTA?>>THERE’S RECOUNTS ANYWAY, SO IT’S UP TO THE — I’LL SPEAK TO THE MHAS INVOLVED THERE. THE THING IS, WE EXPECT ALL 40 MEMBERS TO WORK TOGETHER.>>DO YOU PLAN TO REACH OUT TO EDDIE JOYCE TONIGHT IF.>>I WILL BE SPEAKING AND EXPECT ALL 40 MEMBERS TO DO WHAT’S BEST FOR NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR AND THE CONSTITUENTS THEY REPRESENT.>>YOU SAID TODAY YOU WERE EXPECTING A MAJORITY. YOU WERE CONFIDENT YOU WOULD GET A MAJORITY AND OBVIOUSLY THIS IS A MINORITY. WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THE N.D.P. GETTING THREE SEATS?>>GREAT. I ACCEPT THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE OF OUR PROVINCE. WE HAVE THREE N.D.P. MHAS AND TWO INDEPENDENTS. WE HAVE 20 LIBERALS AND 15 N.D.P.ES. ALL OF US ACCEPT IT. ALL 40 AND THE MESSAGE IS THEY WANT US TO WORK TOGETHER TO THEIR BENEFIT.>>REPORTS RAN OUT OF QUESTIONS AND DWIGHT BALL WAS WILLING TO ANSWER SOME MORE. IT’S INTERESTING THAT HE DID REFER TO THE DIRTY TACTICS. I GUESS HE COULDN’T RESIST. WE’LL BE HEARING ABOUT THAT AS TO WHO DID WHAT. THAT’S USUALLY WHAT HAPPENS. THE IMPORTANT THING IS THE RESULT. MY SENSE, BOTH OUR PANELS AND POLITICAL INSIDERS, APART FROM THE FACT THAT HE REFERRED TO THE ROBO CALLS, THERE WAS, I THINK, MORE OBVIOUS MANIFESTATION OF THE FACT HE SEEMS TO BE HUMBLED BY THE RESULTS.>>HOW COULD IT NOT?>>HUMBLED AND TIRED, TOO.>>NO QUESTION. CAMPAIGNS ARE GRUELING. IT SEEMS BOTH CHES CROSBIE, ALTHOUGH WITH A LITTLE LESS CLASS THAN THE PREMIER ARE TRYING TO SET THE GROUND, LOOK, LET’S TAKE A DEEP BREATH, GET A GOOD NIGHT’S SLEEP. WE MAY NEED LUBRICATION BEFORE THE WEEKEND IS DONE AND NEXT WEEK IS A NEW WEEK.>>THERE HAS TO BE A COUPLE OF RECOUNTS. SO THAT COULD CHANGE THE WATER ON THE BEANS. FIVE VOTES IN LAB WEST, THAT COULD EASILY FLIP BACK.>>TAKING A LOOK WHO THE LIBERALS LOST, TWO CABINET MINISTERS. SO IT WILL BE A VERY DIFFERENT LIBERAL CAUCUS, AS WELL, WHEN WE RETURN TO THE LEGISLATURE.>>AND A LOSS OF TEN, AS I MENTIONED A QUARTER OF THE NUMBER OF SEATS IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY. ONE OTHER FEATURE LOOKED AT AS WE WIND DOWN THE DATA. THERE’S A BIG FEATURE OF A CAMPAIGN AND ISSUE FOR A LOT OF PEOPLE WAS THE ACTUAL PARTICIPATION OF WOMEN POLITICS IN OUR PROVINCE FOR NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. AN EQUAL VOICE TRYING TO ENGAGE FOR WOMEN TO PUT THEMSELVES FORWARD AS CANDIDATES. NOT GREAT NEWS, BUT I SUPPOSE IT COULD BE WORSE. THERE IS ONE FEWER FEMALE MHA INVOLVED IN THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY THAN THERE WAS AND THAT’S NOT THE TREND PEOPLE WANTED. GENDER DIVERSITY INCREASED IN THE HOUSE AND THAT HAS GONE DOWN. VOTER TURN-UP IS UP BUT FEWER WOMEN BY ONE INSIDE THE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY.>>A LOT OF PEOPLE WILL SAY THAT IS BECAUSE OF THE EARLY ELECTION CALL. WE’VE HEARD EQUAL VOICE AND OTHER GROUPS SAYING A LOT OF CANDIDATES, FEMALE CANDIDATES COULDN’T GET READY IF TIME. THAT’S THE ARGUMENT THEY’RE MAKING. BUT OF COURSE, ANY TIME YOU SEE 9-40.>>WE’RE LESS THAN A YEAR OUT FROM THE HARASSMENT AND BULLYING SCANDAL AND A FINANCE MINISTER WHO WAS A POWERFUL BUSINESSWOMAN SAYING THERE WAS GAS LIGHTING. WE HAD TO MEET SECRETLY IN BATHROOMS. THAT’S NOT AN ATTRACTIVE KIND OF THING, A JOB POSTING. COME ON OVER HERE. YOU CAN’T DO VARIOUS THINGS AND WE HAVE TO SPEAK TOGETHER QUIETLY SOMEWHERE ELSE. THAT COULDN’T HAVE HELPED.>>IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE JILLIAN PEARSON, SHE DIDN’T WIN IN THE DISTRICT. PAULINE GOT THAT. NOT THIS ELECTION BUT MAYBE THE NEXT ONE, SOMEONE WOULD BE A STRONG FEMALE VOICE.>>PETER?>>IT’S INTERESTING TO SEE THE NUMBER OF WOMEN. IT IS — WE TALK ABOUT THE N.D.P. THEY DID HAVE TWO AND LOST ONE AND THE NATURE OF SOME OF THE CANDIDATES THEY RAN AND WE DID SEE A LOT FEWER WOMEN ON THE BALLOT. SO IT’S AT LEAST GOOD WE DIDN’T SEE A BIG SHRINK IN THE NUMBER OF WOMEN ELECT. BUT I THINK IN ORDER TO GET MORE WOMEN IN THE HOUSE, YOU NEED THEM ON THE BALLOT IN THE FIRST PLACE.>>YOU COME BACK WITH NOT RUNNING SO MANY CANDIDATES, AND PRESUMABLY A GOOD NUMBER, 26 THAT WEREN’T RUN, THEY COULD BE WOMEN.>>THE N.D.P. HAD MORE WOMEN ON THE BALLOT.>>AS WE MAKE SENSE THIS, AS WE WINE DOWN OUR SPECIAL COVERAGE OF ELECTION 2019, WE’LL COME BACK AND I’M INTERESTED AFTER THE MAY 4 WEEKEND? I THINK WE’LL LOOK TO SEE THAT OUR PLATFORM, THE THINGS WE HAD IN OUR AGENDA ARE MET WITH SOME INTEREST AND THAT WE COMPROMISE AND THAT THE LEGISLATURE WORKS FOR THE PEOPLE OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR AND IT IS PARTISAN AND MORE COOPERATE. BECAUSE I THINK, QUITE FRANKLY, YOUNG PEOPLE DON’T GET INVOLVED. SO WE HAVE TO SET A NEW TONE AND NEW WAY FORWARD FOR THIS PROVINCE. THEY HAVE TO DO ESTIMATES AND ALL MHAS ARE COMING IF AND USUALLY THE HOUSE WOULD CLOSE AROUND EARLY JUNE AND IT COULD BE A BUSY SUMMER FOR ALL MHAS AND CERTAINLY NEW MHAS IN REGARDS TO THE HOUSE AND A BUDGET.>>WHAT DOES THAT BUSY SUMMER LOOK LIKE FOR THE LIBERALS?>>IT IS CERTAINLY BACK TO THE WORK. SO I GUESS WE’LL TAKE THE WEEKEND AND I GUESS IT WILL BE ABOUT THE RESULTS HERE AND THEN TAKING A LOOK AT HOW THIS LEGISLATURE WILL WORK. THE BUDGET DOES HAVE TO GET PASSED AND SO THAT WILL BE THE FIRST ORDER OF BUSINESS THROUGH TH THAT. BECAUSE THERE’S LESS ROOM FOR THAT KIND OF BEHAVIOUR BEFORE IT BECOMES A SERIOUS PROBLEM. I WANT TO THANK YOU FOR BEING A PART OF THIS COVERAGE. THE MINORITY GOVERNMENT, A LATER NIGHT THAN MOST. THANK YOU VERY MUCH AND IT’S BEEN GREAT TO WORK WITH ALL OF YOU. I’LL TURN TO THIS SIDE TO GET A FINAL CLOSING THOUGHT ON WHAT WE WITNESS AND WHERE WE GO. PETER, MAYBE WE’LL START ON YOUR EXPERTISE.>>LABRADOR, THERE WAS A LOT OF SHOCK BY THE NARROW WIN AND LABRADOR WEST. THE THINGS TO KEEP IN THE BACK OF YOUR MINE IS HOW MUCH INTEREST DO VOTERS HAVING GOING TO THE POLLS? RIGHT NOW I

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36 Responses

  1. Old Man says:

    Im so disappointed in NL. WTF?

  2. Kotas Liuaka says:

    Interesting result.

  3. oldn dayzd says:

    WHY 🤡🤯🙉

  4. elias t says:

    2:26:48
    The share of votes disappears.

  5. JENNIE ens says:

    Enjoy your Liberal party . Guess your not ready for change . Hopely by oct you all will get off your butts and vote .

  6. juliano ribeiro says:

    Liberal corrupt!!!!!

  7. Cat Mccauley says:

    Wow wow wow, Alberta has No Jobs. Thanks. So, keep yer younguns there, cause there are no jobs here. Year after year you have done this, the least you could do is stand up for this. Disgusted. You are welcome.

  8. Rodney Snider says:

    Paz me the two b four, by!

  9. Hammy Red says:

    Nl you deserve every problem you will get

  10. Cory D says:

    Newfies are so screwed up. How many voters do they got out there? like a hundred or so…ohh well. enjoy your little liberal island.

  11. tattooed shepherd says:

    Yuck

  12. Freedom News says:

    To everyone bitching out the people of Newfoundland, how about you all get your heads out of your asses. The Jackass Liberals are the ones that called a snap elections not following the fixed election date laws giving the opposition a huge handicap. Not even the PC party had all their candidates ready and the Liberals had the largest war chest. The moral here is to get all your facts before you shoot your mouths off you ignorant fucks.

  13. Don’t Poke The Bear says:

    WTF Typical. We wouldn’t expect anything less from Nfld.

  14. Ali Al ali says:

    Liberal is the best from cost to cost .

  15. Royal Caymanian Dashcams says:

    Newfies stay away from roofies when you vote this time!

  16. GhostSpectre says:

    Newfoundland dropped the ball.

  17. Susan Thomson-Lafosse says:

    Free gov money . Be ashamed .

  18. Creepy Little Girl says:

    Support for Liberals has gone down though, even in the Liberal-entrenched Maritimes.

  19. Judge1982 says:

    Who cares about the politicians, They're just the tax farm management for the Zionist concentration camp known as Canada… The Crown are the Farm owners.. Farming Human Beings…. When was The Crown elected by Canadians through the Democratic process? They stole this land through Genocide and Crimes Against Humanity, Every Canadian is a slave to private foreign bankers and The Crown, The Governments job is to make sure everyone's life is being converted into the bankers pocket. They wouldn't be politicians if they weren't screened at the lodge first.

  20. regular donkey says:

    Have not provinces always vote liberal. Who else give millions for nothing?

  21. Brenda Best says:

    That Crosbie that was running , is he a descendant from Crosbie from the 70's ?Just curious….

  22. Brian T says:

    Well done NFLD!
    Can't trust any party to do right by the people when they have a majority.
    We in Ontario are paying large for the Anti-Wynne vote.
    PC majority is just screwing us over at every turn. It's like having our own Trump tard in charge.

  23. Mason McDixon says:

    Newfies ……..the joke is on them

  24. P Hill says:

    Where yah to boyo??

  25. George Macpherson says:

    So far NL have done the right thing and voted for a left wing government.

  26. Mary Hale says:

    the mentality of the maritimes is tainted..they can't seem to get out of the fog of leftwing thinking..bad economy doesn't seem to make a difference in their thinking..

  27. Al Dingman says:

    I can't believe people still voted for Liberal Crime Family members after all the scandals, corruption, treason and theft by the Lieberal Crime Family.

  28. Liberty Man says:

    Michelle Remple for P.M. U.S.A. WATCHING what you guys are doing up there . Change your government or enjoy the suck like the E.U.

  29. Iasan O’lunney says:

    WTF is wrong with you Newfoundland? Honestly do you hate yourselves? A vote for any liberal anywhere under the grouper is a vote for him, snap out of er!

  30. The Bank Beater fishing says:

    See what happen when you inbred. The Gene pool is all screwed up.maybe we should send all the illegals there.

  31. Marti Osmond says:

    I hope people realize that the liberals will turn Canada into the UN so much for a free country

  32. Marti Osmond says:

    and by the way im married to a newfy

  33. Kirill Gupalo says:

    It's interesting how sometimes you are searching for some cute dog videos and then suddenly discover yourself diving deep into Canadian regional politics.

  34. Lar M says:

    Liberals can only fool those who are way out of touch with the rest of Canada as Newfoundland and Labrador.

  35. Lar M says:

    So Newfoundland and Labrador agree that the budget can balance itself and the Liberal will fulfil their promise.Wake up you people.You have to work for your own destiny.

  36. Richard Truesdale says:

    Newfie's are all inbreds and this proves it..

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